詹姆士看天下 2016/12/12

25
警警 警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警 警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警 :, Copyright © 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd. 1 2016/12/ 12

Upload: ezfunds

Post on 16-Apr-2017

15.755 views

Category:

Economy & Finance


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

PowerPoint

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.2016/12/12

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

: Bloomberg 2016/12/9

(%)9/053.834.056.55%%5.10

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#IND>IND>12)HE00H0A0DXEM(20160411)ADOL2

Bloomberg1bp=0.01% :2016/12/9(%)(bp)(bp)(bp)4.054213952976.554644283355.103263092773.87204193181

()()()()()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#IND>18)>>14)16)OASHE00H0A0DXEM(20160411)ADOLLDMP3

: Bloomberg 2016/12/9

MSCIMSCI

(%)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

: Bloomberg 2016/12/9

(%)

(bp)0.3650.0612.468$1.0561$51.500115.32$1160.90101.59

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#bp5

: Bloomberg 2016/12/9 ==225= (%)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

6

(7.1%)

(6.6%)10 9 0.3%

(-0.3%)

(-0.3%)TPP Note 7

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

7

Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#WFII

8

()Bloomberg : 2016/12/9()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#BLP WEEKLY REPORT :>

9

()Bloomberg : 2016/12/9()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

12/12 () 10 1.2%-3.3% 3 GDP 0.3%3.1%12/13 () 11 CPI 1.1%0.9% 11 6.1%6.1% 3 GDP ()-0.4%-0.4%12/14 ()0.75%0.50% 11 0.4%0.8% 10 ()--0.1%12/15 ()0.25%0.25% 12 Markit PMI ()53.653.7 12 Markit PMI ()53.753.8 11 CPI ()0.6%0.6% 11 CPI 1.8%1.6% 12 PMI ()--51.312/16 () 11 123.0132.3

: Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#CDR2) >>GALAXY

9ISMPMI50.211

14 7% 1 QE 9 2017 12 4 800 600 5,400 QE 1%OPEC 11 30 1 OPEC 11 3,419 OPEC 11 1,121 30 WGCAAOIFI6

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

12

500Softbank5005

6 8 4 9.2 5.48

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

13

4 6 2 CDU 1,000 89.5% 4

8 QE 2017 3 12 4 800600

5 6 60 4

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

14

300 9 299 234 56 7 2 2/3200

7 1 2

GDP GDP 1.8 % 2.2 % 3.3 % 0.5 % 5 2008 3.6 % GDP

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

15

WalmartEnrique Pea Nieto13 3 1 4 800

Renan Calheiros5 Marco Aurelio8

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

10 ()4.6%3.4%4.8% 10 2.7%2.6%0.3% 11 Markit PMI ()54.654.954.7 12 ()98.094.593.80.50%0.50%0.50% 11 Markit PMI55.254.054.5 11 Markit PMI ()51.652.652.6 11 Markit PMI ()55.155.055.0 11 Markit PMI ()53.854.154.1 3 GDP ()1.7%1.6%1.6%0.00%0.00%0.00%

: Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#PMIGDP17

11 PMI ()51.8--50.5 3 GDP ()1.3%2.3%2.2% 3 GDP 1.8%2.2%3.3% 11 PMI53.1--52.4 11 CPI 2.3%2.2%2.1%6.25%6.00%6.25% 11 CPI 7.00%7.40%7.16% 11 CPI 5.8%5.9%6.1% 11 Markit PMI55.8--53.7 11 Markit PMI45.3--44.9

: Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#9CPI18

(%)MSCI1760.122.99 3.72 2.59 5.70 5.85 7.47 2259.533.08 4.39 4.65 7.80 10.55 12.28 1388.075.62 8.24 12.32 19.26 22.20 23.54 355.384.72 5.30 3.84 6.75 -2.85 -0.12 252.113.68 4.63 2.50 4.03 -3.63 -0.83 22518996.373.10 10.86 15.52 16.02 1.20 0.16 5058.604.21 11.87 16.81 16.41 7.86 7.72 3232.88-0.34 1.15 6.98 10.44 -8.65 -5.87 MSCI877.852.90 3.39 -1.30 6.56 10.54 13.48 MSCI431.792.17 2.12 -1.66 6.32 6.98 9.63 MSCI287.254.72 8.18 5.05 6.33 17.52 19.35 MSCI2345.824.34 6.34 -1.34 11.18 28.20 26.35 MSCI239.275.08 6.83 0.34 4.03 13.82 21.72 Bloomberg123.12-0.36 -1.83 -3.60 -3.15 0.69 0.37 Bloomberg136.60-0.04 -0.98 -1.84 0.05 3.76 3.50 Bloomberg142.21-0.29 -1.58 -3.27 -1.54 4.85 4.09 Bloomberg159.180.95 0.50 0.28 4.33 14.10 12.13 Bloomberg168.861.22 1.19 1.63 6.49 16.77 15.01 Bloomberg171.520.77 0.30 0.26 2.89 7.64 6.00 ETF45.932.20 2.29 1.46 5.01 6.12 5.40 Bloomberg154.290.84 -2.00 -3.40 1.06 9.91 8.95 Bloomberg123.850.28 -2.99 -4.89 -2.36 1.65 1.85 Bloomberg159.730.42 -3.03 -5.63 -1.05 7.70 7.67

Bloomberg 2016/12/9

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

19

(%)()MSCI217.761.91 8.84 6.92 9.61 22.10 23.41 MSCI227.133.29 4.36 8.12 13.25 22.99 23.91 MSCI108.174.90 7.85 14.78 19.25 11.49 13.74 MSCI199.873.42 5.12 3.82 6.75 3.23 4.02 MSCI205.672.32 1.27 -6.33 -6.00 -1.31 0.74 MSCI215.481.86 2.95 4.43 8.14 12.34 13.43 MSCI162.253.90 3.00 3.25 11.39 10.84 10.99 MSCI67.713.30 5.09 -5.42 -5.13 -0.32 2.17 MSCI112.882.50 2.60 2.60 -6.87 1.08 4.23 MSCI190.380.85 -2.94 -6.96 -6.44 -9.43 -6.81 NBI2818.54-0.40 -6.43 -6.26 0.71 -20.39 -15.80 AMEX176.99-3.49 -1.77 -26.01 -23.35 59.20 51.93 REITsFTSE15739.723.82 6.18 -3.78 -0.26 7.43 11.57 REITsFTSE1902.043.88 5.63 -4.26 0.08 6.29 10.62 REITsFTSE1285.034.66 4.92 -4.79 -8.60 -11.61 -10.56 REITsFTSE1650.901.44 0.60 -7.66 -5.65 11.70 15.25 (/)1160.01-1.46 -5.89 -12.97 -9.29 8.87 7.52 (/)16.860.72 -0.58 -11.91 -3.52 21.57 23.10 (/)5826.001.15 7.63 25.75 29.04 23.83 27.21 (/)54.33-0.24 26.46 17.12 11.97 51.80 49.20 (/)51.50-0.35 23.87 16.16 9.58 45.17 50.95 CRB191.980.15 4.72 4.94 -0.47 8.99 9.79 845.060.99 1.13 2.61 -8.01 2.56 0.53

: Bloomberg 2016/12/9

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

(%)1.0561-0.97 -1.81 -6.16 -6.63 -2.94 -4.08 115.32-1.59 -6.08 -11.77 -7.95 4.14 4.84 1.2572-1.23 0.82 -5.58 -11.75 -14.54 -16.83 1.0171-0.59 -1.99 -4.57 -5.30 -1.60 -3.25 1.31790.85 3.32 -0.62 -2.16 5.47 4.67 0.7449-0.11 -1.32 -1.48 0.91 2.31 2.93 1165.930.56 -0.07 -5.04 0.09 0.22 1.05 31.82300.21 0.22 -0.52 1.48 2.96 2.78 6.9080-0.41 -1.69 -3.23 -5.00 -6.00 -6.95 13319.001.43 0.07 -0.97 -0.51 3.16 5.66 67.41751.18 -1.46 -1.10 -1.03 -1.87 -0.86 35.6740-0.04 -0.50 -2.22 -1.33 1.02 1.26 1.4309-0.80 -1.21 -5.32 -5.39 -0.96 -1.63 4.42450.64 -4.28 -7.96 -8.58 -2.94 -3.48 49.7600-0.31 -1.20 -4.60 -7.55 -5.94 -4.88 13.79600.04 4.46 2.98 9.81 11.96 9.35 3.47721.24 -6.23 -15.42 -16.78 -16.86 -15.08 62.46362.09 6.19 3.95 5.57 16.69 13.34 4.2144-0.26 -2.36 -8.24 -7.36 -7.01 -5.86 298.13-1.47 -3.07 -7.73 -7.19 -2.74 -3.34 4.2612-0.76 -1.51 -7.32 -6.34 -2.50 -4.00 3.38022.78 -4.58 -3.14 0.59 17.18 11.01 20.38941.16 1.84 -7.40 -7.27 -15.30 -14.78 15.9923-0.39 -5.93 -5.89 -13.51 -19.14 -39.17

: Bloomberg 2016/12/9

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

(%) () (bp)30 3.15299.121.876.270.213.728.2102.46758.431.780.582.719.834.10.06102.18.36.320.1-20.4-26.10.36508.416.235.433.2-26.4-23.50.81309.427.250.742.6-17.5-10.42.040013.828.779.265.644.447.01.5140-2.923.743.29.2-25.7-11.43.847015.056.568.678.0133.1139.13.6100-20.946.071.353.366.763.111.3300-3.078.0157.0174.059.094.08.5148-29.82.346.6-21.7-103.9-103.03.3500-18.022.045.09.02.0-12.08.8990-13.17.314.2-13.7-89.67.911.8810-47.133.1-38.1-57.4-463.1-374.37.3270-2.472.9139.2132.4105.0100.82.2000-6.055.069.254.811.5-0.77.6610-39.930.074.03.8-108.4-86.8*6.399015.6-26.9-64.6-108.8-136.2-137.92.6940-1.953.156.468.319.44.2

: Bloomberg 2016/12/9 *

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

20082014-26.69% -5.61%-36.09% -7.28%-20.81% ---18.82%-5.58%-21.11% -12.76%-9.52% -5.56%

Bloomberg() 2016/11/21%

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#G 640423

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

105008 (02)770-888886610 (04)3700-7988360171 (07)972-118839Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#