詹姆士看天下 2015/10/19

PowerPoint

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.2015/10/19

Copyright 2014 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.

122.03103.2035.8790.7639.7349.50

220082014()-34.64% -15.70%-36.09% -7.28%-20.81% ---18.82%-5.58%-21.11% -12.76%-9.52% -5.56%

Bloomberg() 2015/8/312005/12/31%

Copyright 2014 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.G 64042

Bloomberg1bp=0.01% :2015/10/163(%)(bp)(bp)(bp)5.545185152977.816136183358.437737534614.04269263218

()()()()()

Copyright 2014 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.IND>HE00H0A0IM00ADOLLDMP

3

: Bloomberg 2015/10/16

4(%)4.04(&)5.547.81%%8.43

Copyright 2014 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.IND>12)4

5

: Bloomberg 2015/10/1694%

MSCIMSCI(%)

Copyright 2014 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.6OPEC920121021OPEC

(%)

: Bloomberg 2015/10/16119.44$1177.332.033%$1.1348$47.26


6

7: Bloomberg 2015/10/16 ==225= (%)


7

(6.5%)3300

(-4.3%)94%132016201719%

8


8

9Bloomberg

Copyright 2014 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.WFII

9

10 ()Bloomberg : 2015/10/16()

Copyright 2014 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.BLP WEEKLY REPORT :>

10

11 ()Bloomberg : 2015/10/16()


: Bloomberg

1210/19()GDP6.8%7.0%96.0%6.1%910.8%10.8%10/20 ()9114.7112.610/21()14.25%14.25%7.50%7.50%10/22()95375310.05%0.05%10/23()Markit1052.953.1Markit1051.752.0Markit1051.752.3

GDP10


12

10330092%9102%OPEC50200

13


13

(60%)NowotnyQE2251800010GPIF3300HISIS(40%)

(2015/10/19)

14


90.1%(PPI)0.5%9(CPI)0.2%CPI0.2%1.9%

Jack Lew113Jack Lew 11 36

15


15

10ZEW912.11.92014106.9ZEW

9(CPI)0.1%552

16


16

(RCEP)TPPTPP(RCEP)RCEPTPP1630%7TPP

991.1%17.7%3762.0889

17


17

30

1-83.8%20153.9%20160.7%

18


18

996.195.595.990.1%0.2%0.2%9CPI0.0%-0.2%-0.1%9PPI-0.5%-0.2%0.0%9-0.2%-0.2%-0.4%1092.189.087.29CPI-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%-0.5%-0.5%0.8%10ZEW1.96.512.19CPI-0.1%0.0%0.0%ILO(6-8)5.4%5.5%5.5%

: Bloomberg19


19

9PPI-3.9%-3.9%-3.6%9M213.1%13.1%13.3%91.05900080969()603.4482.1602.49CPI1.6%1.8%2.0%9PPI-5.9%-5.9%-5.9%1.50%1.50%1.50%GDP0.1%-0.1%-2.5%9-24.3%---20.7%9-3.7%-4.8%-4.3%8()1.60.031.979.8%9.8%9.6%9CPI-0.8%---0.8%8-6.9%-5.8%-3.9%

: Bloomberg20


20

(%)MSCI1683.550.58 3.24 -5.46 -4.83 -1.53 4.34 2033.110.90 3.83 -4.40 -2.31 -1.25 7.76 1162.31-0.26 -0.09 -8.27 -7.15 -3.52 7.39 363.130.09 2.36 -10.49 -10.05 6.01 13.95 251.69-0.85 0.43 -9.97 -7.90 9.01 20.24 22518291.80-0.80 1.23 -11.42 -6.93 4.82 25.87 4621.220.00 1.27 -9.65 -3.50 5.24 19.39 3391.356.54 9.47 -14.30 -20.90 4.84 44.86 MSCI865.280.69 4.27 -8.11 -17.01 -9.52 -11.41 MSCI427.891.80 4.73 -6.53 -17.18 -6.47 -3.57 MSCI283.71-0.94 3.78 -7.21 -12.19 -4.34 -21.44 MSCI2046.93-3.81 1.80 -16.41 -21.72 -24.96 -35.12 MSCI252.54-0.16 4.29 -7.56 -12.46 -6.73 -14.29 Bloomberg123.710.42 1.64 2.04 0.13 2.11 2.47 Bloomberg131.100.27 0.45 0.29 -2.59 -0.93 0.28 Bloomberg137.370.51 1.53 1.32 -2.31 0.47 0.39 Bloomberg145.650.36 -0.28 -1.85 -2.11 -0.46 -1.82 Bloomberg150.580.32 -0.44 -2.85 -3.52 0.49 -0.41 Bloomberg160.730.29 -0.23 -1.22 -1.85 1.17 3.29 ETF46.400.91 0.94 -2.19 -3.49 -1.04 0.79 Bloomberg143.630.67 1.30 -0.79 -1.77 1.99 0.26 Bloomberg124.490.36 3.04 0.10 -1.39 0.05 -1.63 Bloomberg151.960.85 2.17 1.68 -0.86 3.03 4.79

Bloomberg 2015/10/1621


(%)()MSCI206.770.03 10.38 -4.03 -15.14 -13.05 -18.66 MSCI196.64-1.11 3.73 -10.26 -14.29 -11.84 -11.32 MSCI98.740.62 3.49 -7.56 -5.66 -3.91 1.23 MSCI195.540.30 2.56 -3.37 -0.95 5.01 16.75 MSCI208.281.08 5.25 -0.91 0.29 4.18 10.45 MSCI191.53-1.43 3.03 -5.13 -6.48 -3.91 2.41 MSCI143.441.18 4.57 -3.59 -0.03 1.53 12.69 MSCI66.900.51 0.28 -7.47 -5.08 -2.14 0.81 MSCI116.701.86 6.16 6.16 -0.51 -5.17 0.21 MSCI205.712.10 -2.55 -9.52 -5.65 2.91 11.62 NBI3290.371.89 -11.85 -20.96 -11.80 3.55 18.56 AMEX134.120.57 15.52 4.32 -24.10 -18.24 -28.28 REITsFTSE14425.581.19 5.73 2.51 -0.17 1.25 10.37 REITsFTSE1765.391.16 6.16 3.15 0.33 1.69 11.81 REITsFTSE1478.431.34 4.23 -4.45 -2.43 17.98 32.65 REITsFTSE1446.631.23 5.38 -1.20 -7.24 -4.89 -0.54 (/)1177.331.73 3.35 3.76 -2.25 -0.65 -4.94 (/)16.051.31 5.42 8.98 0.29 2.00 -8.10 (/)5285.00-0.19 -1.75 -4.95 -12.79 -16.11 -19.34 (/)50.46-4.16 6.57 -11.40 -20.27 -11.76 -41.28 (/)47.26-4.78 6.02 -6.92 -15.02 -11.08 -42.76 CRB199.45-1.60 2.71 -7.04 -10.94 -13.27 -26.84 855.230.19 1.86 -7.75 -3.25 -11.34 -10.06

: Bloomberg 2015/10/1622


(%)1.1348-0.09 1.52 4.94 5.79 -6.10 -11.25 119.440.69 1.02 4.13 -0.13 0.37 -10.38 1.54380.76 -0.44 -0.80 3.57 -0.89 -4.49 0.95370.82 1.95 1.20 0.31 4.31 -1.09 1.29140.24 2.62 0.60 -5.35 -10.03 -12.63 0.7264-0.98 1.86 -1.45 -5.95 -11.13 -17.29 1129.371.30 4.13 1.76 -3.60 -3.40 -6.00 32.28500.09 0.56 -3.57 -3.45 -1.95 -5.89 6.3538-0.14 0.27 -2.27 -2.47 -2.33 -3.63 13540.00-0.95 6.79 -1.42 -5.03 -8.51 -9.45 64.8150-0.12 2.54 -2.01 -3.87 -2.73 -4.58 35.26500.77 1.53 -2.33 -8.20 -6.75 -8.54 1.38420.75 1.91 -0.93 -2.54 -4.20 -8.23 4.1785-1.19 1.45 -8.93 -12.56 -16.30 -21.42 46.0650-0.41 1.24 -1.78 -3.54 -2.92 -2.37 13.08511.99 2.94 -4.98 -7.22 -11.60 -15.81 2.89160.68 3.79 -6.84 -6.81 -19.39 -22.54 61.28000.38 7.78 -7.01 -12.85 -0.85 -33.13 3.7319-0.42 0.37 2.16 -0.33 -4.96 -11.45 273.440.30 1.69 4.98 1.77 -4.10 -12.04 3.8904-0.10 1.60 4.85 6.16 -4.77 -11.26 3.9236-4.26 -2.39 -19.55 -23.02 -32.27 -36.98 16.42600.04 1.59 -2.38 -5.77 -10.06 -17.47 9.4874-1.53 -1.26 -3.78 -6.55 -10.78 -10.69

: Bloomberg 2015/10/1623


(%) () (bp)30 2.8812-3.6-20.1-22.830.612.9-5.4102.0334-5.5-26.1-31.714.4-13.8-12.30.32000.0-5.0-12.8-0.9-0.9-16.70.5480-6.7-22.6-28.546.30.7-27.20.9170-6.9-25.0-22.156.59.1-34.51.6040-9.0-31.6-38.622.5-28.6-97.51.7700-6.3-35.7-20.941.915.9-44.52.43603.4-27.8-24.155.0-25.1-104.02.67600.8-36.3-31.238.415.8-5.910.1600-13.0-51.088.0125.0214.096.010.0206-37.3-116.0-36.5-39.4-298.612.43.310011.0-27.0-36.03.0-29.0-94.08.1400-4.2-31.37.935.217.13.015.797014.561.2321.7323.0343.3416.25.8990-2.8-29.0-8.319.25.58.02.0620-2.8-21.5-42.0-9.3-54.3-67.38.65904.2-86.839.9114.486.332.5*7.55000.5-20.6-29.4-25.0-30.7-82.1102.4940-11.7-47.0-32.8-16.4-23.5-86.5

: Bloomberg 2015/10/1624


/

(02)770-888886633 (03)620-5699897 (04)3700-7988360171 (07)972-118839Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.


Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.


詹姆士看天下 2015/10/19

Economy & Finance