alpha matters mar2014

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Quant Researc h APR 2014

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Page 1: Alpha matters   mar2014

Quant Research

APR 2014

Page 2: Alpha matters   mar2014

Introducing AlphaMattersQuantitative Research services and

products for market participants

Proven offerings in

Key Expertise

the market

in:

Trend / Mean Reversion / Stat Arb modeling;

Complete trading system design

Proprietary and Confidential ALPHAMATTERS2

Page 3: Alpha matters   mar2014

Core Team

Ganapathy Subramanian: 20+ years in the start up ecosystem as an investor, mentor and entrepreneur; Engg from NIT (Trichy), MBA from XLRI

Bharath Rao: 10+ years of experience in analytics, product development and marketing; Engg from RV College of Engineering (Bangalore), MBA from University of Georgia; Led Developer Marketing in IBM and held senior positions in many startups

Hemanth Kumar: 8+ Years of Research Experience in Image Processing, Speech Recognition, Computer Vision and Artificial Intelligence; Credited with 3 patents; Engg from PESIT (Bangalore) Completing PhD at the Indian Institute of Science

Page 4: Alpha matters   mar2014

Model the Market’s

Develop proprietary indicators after

validation of hypotheses

Mind with MathMathematical modeldesign integratingtime tested trading

practices

Entry /Exit Signals plus real time trade management

Generate Alphaconsistently

Proprietary and Confidential ALPHAMATTERS4

Page 5: Alpha matters   mar2014

IndexMatters:(Index trading system)

Comprehensive intraday trading system for NIFTY (Indian Equity Index) from

entry till exit

Annualized yield:~38%

Can be used as an alpha generating input for hedged strategies or as a Decision Support System for intraday

hedging the Indian index Nifty

Distributed through Thomson Reuters and

several brokers in Indian market

Page 6: Alpha matters   mar2014

Instruments Nifty Futures (Current Month)

Net Winners’ Ratio 59%

Performance Metrics of IndexMattersTime Period 2 years

Frequency of trades ~ 1.7 per day

Profitability (Post Transaction) 0.09% per trade

Max Drawdown 2.6% of Capital

Sharpe Ratio 2.9

Annualized Return 38%

Transaction Cost Assumed 0.06% per trade

Leverage Assumed 1x

Page 7: Alpha matters   mar2014

Equity Curve of IndexMatters

1 7 13 19 25 31 37 43 49 55 61 67 73 79 85 91 97 103 109 115 121 127 133900000

950000

1000000

1050000

1100000

1150000

1200000

1250000Cumulative Capital versus Time in Days

Page 8: Alpha matters   mar2014

CommodityMatters

Short Term Momentum based trading system for agri commodities

Annualized Yield:~29%

Being evaluated by an APAC based hedge

fund

Can be used asDSS for hedging

Decisions

Page 9: Alpha matters   mar2014

Instruments Corn, Wheat, Soy Futures (2nd Month Continuous)

Net Winners’ Ratio 48%

Performance Metrics of CommodityMattersTime Period 4 Years

Frequency of trades ~ 1 per day

Profitability (Post Transaction) ~ 0.1% per trade

Max Drawdown 14% of Capital

Sharpe Ratio 1.7

Annualized Return 29%

Transaction Cost Assumed 0.03% per trade

Leverage Assumed 1x

Page 10: Alpha matters   mar2014

Instruments Corn, Wheat, Soy Futures (2nd month Continuous)

Net Winners’ Ratio 48%

Performance Metrics of CommodityMattersTime Period 4 Years (Feb 2010 ton Jan 2014)

Frequency of trades ~ 1 per day

Profitability (Post Transaction) 0.09% per trade

Max Drawdown 12% of Capital

Sharpe Ratio 1.7

Annualized Return 29%

Transaction Cost Assumed 0.03% per trade

Leverage Assumed 1x

Equity Curve of CommodityMatters

1 40 79 118 157 196 235 274 313 352 391 430 469 508 547 586 625 664 703 742 781 820 859 898 937 976500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

2500000

3000000

Cumulative Capital versus Time in Days

Page 11: Alpha matters   mar2014

Proprietary Algorithms

Feature Selection Algorithm to

identify the early and confirmatory indicators (like

implied vol, global markets, broader markets, high beta indices, currency

etc.)

An advanced classifier built on

top of SVM, trained on 200k

samples & tailored to financial

markets torecognize when“random walk”

breaks

Intelligent filter designed to cut

the market noise and identify 2 to3

real trends / reversals in a day

and trail the trends

Page 12: Alpha matters   mar2014

Tools

Algos

• Stat ArbPar

adig

ms • Mean

Reversion• Trade

Execution

• Factor Models

• TrendFollowing

Too

l Exp

ertis

e • Matlab / R / Python,

• Excel / VBA,• PHP• MySQL• C / C++ /

Java

Mat

h E

xper

tise • Time Series

Modelling• Multivariate

Regression• Neural

Networks• Support Vector

Machines• Decision Trees• Markov Chains• Monte Carlo

Simulations

Page 13: Alpha matters   mar2014

Customers / Partners

Financial Information providers

Broking firms

Advisory service provider

HedgeFunds

Page 14: Alpha matters   mar2014

Collaborate in Developing Algo trading systems / Decision Support Systems;

License our IP;

Customize our IP to different markets;

Leveraging us

Page 15: Alpha matters   mar2014

Thank Youwww.alphamatters.com

Bangalore – Mumbai – [email protected]

+91 99027 06060