cascao_south_sudan_nile_hydropolitics
TRANSCRIPT
South Sudan: South Sudan: the Birth of a New Nile State
Ana Elisa CascãoGWP-SIWI Brown Bag Lunch
11 October 2011
The Nile Basin and its hydropolitical complexityThe Nile Basin and its hydropolitical complexity
10 riparian states
Complex hydrology
Past of conflict (of interests) between Egypt/Sudan and the upstream neighbours
Colonial agreements
Cooperation despite tense basin/regional political relations
Huge development potential
Geopolitics Hydropolitics
South Sudan: the White Nile bend and the South Sudan: the White Nile bend and the SuddSudd
South Sudan: a new Nile riparian stateSouth Sudan: a new Nile riparian state
11st riparian state
Economic development: oil + water
Nile: a relevant and unifying element in South Sudan political
economy
‘Nile Republic’?
Political and hydropolitical implications of South Sudan’s
secession?
South Sudan: South Sudan: the political processthe political process
The post-referendum negotiationsThe post-referendum negotiations
Nile Water Agreeement – the future scenariosNile Water Agreeement – the future scenarios
South Sudan: Up the Nile, Down the Nile? South Sudan: Up the Nile, Down the Nile?
Political back calculations
Political and economic relations with Egypt and Sudan
Political and economic relations with the African neighbours (Uganda, Kenya, Ethiopia, Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Eritrea, DR Congo)
End of the colonail period in the Nile River Basin?
Hydropolitical chessboardHydropolitical chessboard
Official ‘dyad’
UpstreamBloc
Geo-politics mixed with Geo-economicsGeo-politics mixed with Geo-economics
Jonglei Canal: the creation of a new border? Jonglei Canal: the creation of a new border?
Jonglei Canal
Jonglei Canal: a symbol of colonialism and a symbol of war
Egypt: ‘rapproachment’ with South Sudan
Implications: hydrological, environental, social, political, ...
Technical engineering or social-political engineerings?
[email protected]@siwi.org
Nile: Nile: opportunity, opportunity,
Diplomatic corridorDiplomatic corridoror new border?or new border?