DAILY REPORT

01st

OCT. 2015

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Global markets at a glance Asian equities followed Wall Street higher early Thursday, but caution remained the overall sentiment ahead of the release of key data from around the region. US stocks closed sharply higher on Wednesday as investors sought bargains among beaten-down stocks and the re-cently battered biotechnology index bounced back on the last day of Wall Street's worst quarter since 2011. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite led gains with a jump of 2.3 per-cent overnight, while the DJI Average and the S&P 500 closed up 15 and 1.9 percent respectively, following a rally in global markets. Ahead of the market open, the Bank of Japan's quarterly tankan survey showed the country's large manufacturers less optimistic than expected. Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by 2,340 to 758, for a 3.09-to-1 ratio; on the Nasdaq, 2,063 issues rose and 783 fell for a 2.63-to-1 ratio favoring ad-vancers. S&P 500 posted 3 new 52-week highs and 18 new lows; Nasdaq recorded 22 new highs and 179 new lows. European shares rose on Wednesday as a bruising quarter ended, after a Chinese tax cut boosted automakers and mining company Glencore rallied when it said had no sol-vency issues. European equities still turned in their poorest quarterly performance since the worst of the euro zone debt crisis in 2011. Stocks steadily lost ground on signs of a slowdown in China. The FTSEurofirst 300 index ended up 2.56%, having lost more than 9% in the quarter. The euro zone's blue-chip Euro STOXX 50 index gained 2.34%. Previous day Roundup Bulls charged up Dalal Street again as equity benchmarks surged over a percent following strong lead from global peers on Wednesday. The rally was in addition to 0.6% up-side seen in previous session post surprised 50-bp rate cut by RBI. The Sensex soared 376.17pts or 1.46% to 26154.83 and Nifty rallied 105.60pts or 1.35% to 7948.90. The broader markets traded in line with benchmarks as the BSE Midcap index added 1.7% and Smallcap gained 1%. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [up 49.21pts], Capital Goods [up 215.52pts], PSU [up 80.31pts], FMCG [up 178.68pts], Realty [up 28.05pts], Power [up 33.95pts], Auto [up 247.15Pts], Healthcare [up 299.52Pts], IT [up 206.13pts], Metals [up 222.40pts], TECK [up 126.75pts], Oil& Gas [up 158.47 pts].

World Indices

Index Value % Change

D J l 16684.70 +1.7

S&P 500 1920.03 +1.91

NASDAQ 4620.16 +2.28

FTSE 100 6061.61 +2.58

Nikkei 225 17714.55 +1.88

Hong Kong 20846.30 +1.41

Top Gainers

Company CMP Change % Chg

CAIRN 154.45 9.35 6.44

IDEA 148.40 8.70 6.23

TATASTEEL 213.90 12.50 6.21

GAIL 305.15 14.25 4.90

BHARTIARTL 337.75 15.10 4.68

Top Losers

Company CMP Change % Chg

BANKBARODA 183.30 3.95 -2.11

TECHM 559.45 10.95 -1.92

SBIN 237.95 3.95 -1.63

TATAPOWER 65.10 0.95 -1.44

AXISBANK 497.80 6.70 -1.33

Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH

Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg

CEATLTD 1,277.40 16.45 1.30

DISHMAN 320.80 9.00 2.89

JUBILANT 379.50 16.35 4.50

MARUTI 4,670.00 -12.30 -0.26

TVTODAY 279.50 37.70 15.59

Indian Indices

Company CMP Change % Chg

NIFTY 7848.9 105.60 +1.35

SENSEX 26154.83 376.17 +1.46

Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW

Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg

ADLABS 112.00 -0.40 -0.36

OIL 423.50 -3.70 -0.87

SADBHIN 99.45 -0.90 -0.90

- -

DAILY REPORT

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OCT. 2015

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STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] 3. JUBILANT [CASH]

JUBILANT again faced resistance at 488, in last session it made high of 488.70 then whole day it consolidate around 480 since volume was high as compare to daily basis so we can see breakout above 389 so we advise to buy it above 389 for target of 394-400-410 use stop loss of 384 MACRO NEWS Gas price cut $3.82; will dent govt revenue by Rs 800cr Demand pick-up may see steel price rise to Rs 1500/tn: HPCL received its board's approval for implementation of

Mumbai refinery capacity expansion from 7.5 MMTPA to 9.5 MMTPA

Ashok Leyland has cumulatively sold 18,00,000 equity shares of Rs10 each held in Induslnd Bank in the open market during the period between Sept 25- 29, 2015.

Odisha raises electricity duty rate by 1% on industry Govt to join Cairn tax arbitration; to appoint arbitrator Crude oil futures fall on weak Asian cues Govt cuts natural gas prices by 16% to $4.24 per unit India's vegetable oil import is likely to surpass 15mn ton-

nes to set a new record in the oil year 2015-16 No ban on export of basmati rice: Government August Core Sector Data: Eight Core Industries' Growth

At 2.6% Vs 1.1% (MoM) Coal Production Growth At 0.4% Vs 0.3% Growth (MoM) Crude Oil Production Growth At 5.6% Vs 0.4% Decline (MoM) Natural Gas Production Growth At 3.7% Vs 4.4% Decline (MoM) Petroleum Re-finery Products' Output Growth At 5.8% Vs 2.9% Growth (MoM) Fertiliser Production Growth At 12.6% Vs 8.6% Growth (MoM) Steel Production Down 5.9% Vs 2.6% De-cline (MoM) Cement Production Growth At 5.4% Vs 1.3% Growth (MoM) Electricity Production Growth At 5.6% Vs 3.5% Growth (MoM)

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. TECHM [FUTURE]

TECHM future last session create Three black crows bearish pattern on EOD chart it deplete around 2% while OI increase by 7% , in last August we seen correction from 577 level and it again got reversal from 585 level, since RSI also given negative cross over so indicator showing weakness then it will be good to sell around 570-575 use stop loss of 585.30 for target of 560-550-535. 2. SKSMICRO [FUTURE]

SKSMICRO future given breakout of reverse island gap with rose of 4.80% but the momentum indicator not supportive for long, since in second half Nifty also given bounce from lower level for that we can see around 420 level in SKSMICRO, so buy it above 413 use strict stop loss of 406 for target of 419-427-435.

DAILY REPORT

01st

OCT. 2015

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FUTURE & OPTION

MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION

Symbol Op-

tion

Type

Strike

Price

LTP Traded

Volume

(Contracts)

Open

Interest

NIFTY CE 8,100 98.10 4,28,624 27,69,975

NIFTY CE 8,200 61.10 3,66,550 40,86,375

BANKNIFTY CE 18,000 221.00 56,490 5,73,625

IDFC CE 140 0.95 30,970 30,88,000

IDFC CE 142 0.05 23,037 55,84,000

IDFC CE 145 0.05 22,488 82,16,000

IDFC CE 150 0.05 8,497 60,08,000

RELIANCE CE 860 28.20 5,939 4,33,500

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION

Symbol Op-

tion

Type

Strike

Price

LTP Traded

Volume

(Contracts)

Open

Interest

NIFTY PE 7,800 98.00 3,45,185 40,44,900

NIFTY PE 7,700 75.00 3,15,705 26,85,525

BANKNIFTY PE 16,500 230.00 31,982 2,94,750

IDFC PE 140 0.05 10,847 44,36,000

IDFC PE 137 0.05 7,392 25,26,000

IDFC PE 135 0.05 6,361 37,06,000

RELIANCE PE 840 14.45 5,056 3,53,750

RELIANCE PE 820 9.00 2,781 2,01,250

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS

BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY SELL

No. of

Contracts Amount in

Crores No. of

Contracts Amount in

Crores No. of

Contracts Amount in

Crores NET AMOUNT

INDEX FUTURES 72404 1639.13 74395 1783.72 784427 17551.8 -144.584

INDEX OPTIONS 375172 8921.91 384511 9042.2 1982844 60871.6 -120.287

STOCK FUTURES 96579 2544.13 99378 2654.72 1762719 44637.6 -110.587

STOCK OPTIONS 54852 1372.14 52448 1294.31 50992 1328 77.8308

TOTAL -297.62

STOCKS IN NEWS IOC Hikes Diesel Prices By 50p/L w.e.f Midnight HCL Tech sounds revenue warning, sees adverse cur-

rency hit L&T Construction wins Rs 1,376 crore contracts Axis Bank cuts base rate by 0.35% to 9.50% Bank of India cuts base rate by 25 bps to 9.70% UltraTech Cement commissioned a cement grinding

unit with a capacity of 1.6mn TPA Shree Renuka Sugars declares Brazilian unit bankrupt Axis Bank implemented a state-of-the-art EPH on a

modern architecture powered by TCS BaNCS. NIFTY FUTURE

After giving a flat opening Nifty remained range bound to positive in last trading session. Nifty Future closed in green, the impact of rate cut was seen in the market to some extent. As now on this level Nifty has strong resis-tance so it may see downside. So it is advised to sell on rise around 7990-8000 for the targets of 7890 and 7750 with strict stop loss of 8200.

INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2

NIFTY 8,010.00 7,979.00 7,927.00 7,896.00 7,844.00

BANK NIFTY 17,605.00 17,410.00 17,255.00 17060.00 16,905.00

DAILY REPORT

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OCT. 2015

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RECOMMENDATIONS

GOLD

TRADING STRATEGY:

BUY GOLD OCT ABOVE 26000 TGTS 26080,26170 SL BE-

LOW 25900

SELL GOLD OCT BELOW 25700 TGTS 25620,25530 SL

ABOVE 25800

SILVER

TRADING STRATEGY:

BUY SILVER DEC ABOVE 34700 TGTS 34900,35200 SL BE-

LOW 34400

SELL SILVER DEC BELOW 34400 TGTS 34200,33900 SL

ABOVE 34700

COMMODITY ROUNDUP MCX Crude oil futures trimmed losses in afternoon as the global prices edged up following supportive cues from equi-ties. Stocks soared in Europe as markets braced for further stimulus from the ECB following a negative reading in the European prices. The major indices are trading higher in excess of 2% right now. WTI Crude oil also came off the lows amid these cues and broke above $45 per barrel mark. The MCX Crude oil futures are trading at Rs 2972 per barrel right now, still down 1.78% on the day after testing a low of Rs 2958 per barrel earlier in the session. Gold continued to drop after hitting one month highs last week as steady gains in global equities trimmed buying in-terest in the yellow metal. Stocks soared in Europe as inves-tors eyed more stimulus from the ECB. Consumer prices across the single currency bloc fell to - 0.1% in Sept, more than economists expected, and down from a 0.1% gain a month earlier. US data was also supportive as Companies in the US private sector added 200,000 jobs in September, ac-cording to the large payroll processor ADP. COMEX Gold futures are quoting at $1119 per ounce, down 0.70% on the day after the US data. The MCX Gold futures are trading at Rs 26205 per 10 grams for the December delivery, down 1% on the day. Traders are cutting positions in the near month October series which is expiring on coming Monday. Now-defunct Indian Commodity Exchange (ICEX) plans to re-launch futures trading in non-agri commodities by Decem-ber. The exchange is anchored by MMTC and Reliance ADAG. Precious and industrial metals hold enormous poten-tial. Daily average commodity volumes in India are a mea-gre, 0.2 per cent of the GDP, as compared to Chicago Mer-cantile Exchange, which enjoys 26 per cent volume of the United States GDP, which constitutes Rs 290 lakh crore. Steel markets around the world are oversupplied relative to current demand. This, along with cheap raw materials, has resulted in the September steel price collapsing to its lowest level since February 2004, according to MEPS. US market conditions for flat rolled products continue to be challeng-ing. The domestic steelmakers are faced with strong compe-tition from imports, heightened by the strength of the US dollar. Imported tonnages, ordered before the recent filings of trade cases, continue to flood in, MEPS says. Volumes are expected to decline as time progresses. Overall demand, with the exception of the energy sector, is relatively good. Oversupply is the issue, leading to short delivery lead times and high inventories at the service centres. Moreover, low scrap costs are creating even more downward pressure

DAILY REPORT

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OCT. 2015

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NCDEX

NCDEX ROUNDUP

Spices exports from India touched Rs 3,976.65 crore ($626.81 million) during the first quarter of the financial year 2015-16 compared to Rs 3,059.74 crore ($511.22 mil-lion) in the corresponding period in 2014-15, registering a 30 per cent increase in terms of value in rupee. Volume wise the increase is marginal at 215,215 tonnes compared to 213,443 tonnes of the corresponding period last year.

Chana prices fell 1.16% to Rs 4,763 per quintal in futures market largely dragged down by easing demand at prevail-ing levels in the spot market against adequate stocks. At NCDEX, chana for delivery in Oct. month declined by Rs 56, or 1.16% to Rs 4,763 per quintal with an open interest of 49,010 lots. The Nov. contract traded lower by Rs 17, or 0.35% to Rs 4,861 per quintal in 85,750 lots. Offloading of positions by speculators, tracking fall in spot demand against adequate stocks position, mainly led to decline in chana prices in futures trade.

Although fresh cotton arrivals and piling inventory in do-mestic yarn mills have put pressure on cotton prices in the past few weeks, buyers are waiting for a further fall in prices to pick up quality stuff. The demand for current cot-ton arrivals in the market remains subdued. In September, cotton prices declined by Rs 2,000 to Rs 33,500 per candy of 356 kg from Rs 35,500 a candy. It might go below Rs 32,000 a candy over the next month, say experts. new cotton has started to arrive in Gujarat, Maharashtra, Punjab and South-Indian states. An estimated 15,000-20,000 bales (one bale is 170 kg) arrive every day. Traders expect the supply to reach its peak by mid-October, with the bulk of it being good qual-ity cotton.

NCDEX INDICES

Index Value % Change

CAETOR SEED 4114 +0.37

CHANA 4807 +0.52

CORIANDER 11160 -0.13

COTTON SEED 1560 +0.91

GUAR SEED 3794 +3.97

JEERA 15660 +0.32

MUSTARDSEED 4420 -0.45

REF. SOY OIL 601.4 -0.78

TURMERIC 7512 +0.45

WHEAT 1552 -0.58

RECOMMENDATIONS

DHANIYA

BUY GUARGUM OCT ABOVE 8200 TARGET 8250 8320 SL

BELOW 8140

SELL GUARGUM OCT BELOW 8130 TARGET 8080 8010 SL

ABOVE 8190

GUARSGUM

BUY CORIANDER OCT ABOVE 11277 TARGET 11304 11384

SL BELOW 11250

SELL CORIANDER OCT BELOW 11160 TARGET 11133 11053

SL ABOVE 11187

DAILY REPORT

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OCT. 2015

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RBI Reference Rate

Currency Rate Currency Rate

Rupee- $ 65.7418 Yen-100 54.8000

Euro 73.7952 GBP 99.5331

CURRENCY

USD/INR

BUY USD/INR OCT ABOVE 65.95 TARGET 66.08 66.23 SL BE-

LOW 65.75

SELL USD/INR OCT BELOW 66.86 TARGET 66.73 66.58 SL

ABOVE 67.06

EUR/INR

BUY EUR/INR OCT ABOVE 73.9 TARGET 74.05 74.25 SL BE-

LOW 73.7

SELL EUR/INR OCT BELOW 73.8 TARGET 73.65 73.45 SL

ABOVE 74

CURRENCY MARKET UPDATES:

The Indian rupee on Wednesday closed at a six-week high against the US dollar, tracking gains in the local equity and Asian currencies markets. This was the third consecutive session when rupee closed higher. The home currency

closed at 65.59, a level last seen on 20 August, up 0.56% from its previous close of 65.96. The local unit opened at 65.88 per US dollar and touched a high of 65.58, a level last seen on 22 September.

Most Asian currencies closed higher. Malaysian ringgit was

up 1.41%, South Korean won 1.4%, Taiwan dollar 0.43%, Philippines peso 0.4%, Singapore dollar 0.33%, Thai baht

0.33%, Indonesian rupiah 0.26% and China renminbi

0.12%. However, Japanese yen was down 0.46%.

The yield on 10-year bonds hit a two-year low after the RBI on Tuesday lowered its benchmark interest rate by a higher-than-expected 50 basis points, seeking to ease bor-

rowing costs and stimulate economic growth by taking ad-vantage of record-low consumer price inflation. One basis

point is one-hundredth of a percentage point. The yield on India’s 10-year benchmark bond closed at 7.54% compared

with its Tuesday close of 7.611%. Bond yields and prices move in opposite directions. In opening trade, it touched a

low of 7.527%, a level last seen on 12 July 2013.

Since the beginning of this year, the rupee has lost 3.88%, while FIIs have bought $3.74 billion from local equity and

$6.22 billion from bond markets.

The dollar index was trading at 96.143, up 0.3% from its

previous close of 95.855.The dollar strengthened against its main rivals Wednesday, but still posted quarterly de-

clines against the euro and yen after the Federal Reserve

opted to leave interest rates unchanged at its September policy meeting. The euro traded at $1.1177 late Wednes-day in New York, down 0.7% from $1.1248 late Tuesday

in New York. The dollar was little-changed at Yen119.88

late Wednesday. The euro gained 0.3% against the dollar, its second straight quarter of gains, while the dollar shed 2% of its value against the yen.

DAILY REPORT

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CALL REPORT

PERFORMANCE UPDATES

Date Commodity/ Currency

Pairs Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark

30/09/15 NCDEX DHANIYA OCT. BUY 11250 11277-11357 11223 BOOKED PROFIT

30/09/15 NCDEX DHANIYA OCT. SELL 11150 11123-11043 11177 NOT EXCUTED

30/09/15 NCDEX GUARGUM OCT. BUY 8110 8160-8230 8050 BOOKED PROFIT

30/09/15 NCDEX GUARGUM OCT. SELL 7800 7750-7680 7860 NOT EXCUTED

30/09/15 MCX GOLD OCT. BUY 26400 26680-26770 266500 NOT EXCUTED

30/09/15 MCX GOLD OCT. SELL 26200 26320-26530 26800 BOOKED FULL PROFIT

30/09/15 MCX SILVER DEC. BUY 35100 35300-35600 34800 NOT EXCUTED

30/09/15 MCX SILVER DEC. SELL 34800 34600-34300 35100 BOOKED PROFIT

30/09/15 USD/INR OCT. BUY 66.38 66.51-66.66 66.18 NOT EXCUTED

30/09/15 USD/INR OCT. SELL 66.27 66.14-65.99 66.47 BOOKED FULL PROFIT

30/09/15 EUR/INR OCT. BUY 74.61 74.76-74.96 74.41 NOT EXCUTED

30/09/15 EUR/INR OCT. SELL 74.40 74.25-74.25 74.60 BOOKED FULL PROFIT

Date Scrip

CASH/

FUTURE/

OPTION

Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark

30/09/15 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 7950 7850-7750 8200 CALL OPEN

30/09/15 VEDL FUTURE SELL 85.25 84-82-80 87 BOOKED PROFIT

30/09/15 DISH TV FUTURE SELL 110 108-106-103 112 NOT EXCUTED

30/09/15 GSPL CASH SELL 117.5-118 115-113 120 NO PROFIT NO LOSS

29/09/15 SOBHA CASH BUY 267 281-285 262 BOOKED PROFIT

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NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS

ECONOMIC CALENDAR

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TIME REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS

FORECAST PREVIOUS

MONDAY, SEP. 28

8:30 AM PERSONAL INCOME AUG. 0.4% 0.4%

8:30 AM CONSUMER SPENDING AUG. 0.3% 0.3%

8:30 AM CORE INFLATION AUG. 0.1% 0.1%

10 AM PENDING HOME SALES AUG. -- 0.5%

TUESDAY, SEP. 29

8:30 AM TRADE IN GOODS DEFICIT AUG. N/A -$59.1 BLN

9 AM CASE-SHILLER HOME PRICE INDEX JULY -- -0.1%

10 AM CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX SEPT. 94.5 101.5

WEDNESDAY, SEP. 30

8:15 AM ADP EMPLOYMENT SEPT. -- 190,000

9:45 AM CHICAGO PMI SEPT. -- 54.5

THURSDAY, OCT. 01

8:30 AM WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS SEPT. 26 N/A N/A

9:45 AM MARKIT PMI SEPT. -- 53.0

10 AM ISM SEPT. 51.1% 51.1%

10 AM CONSTRUCTION SPENDING AUG. 0.8% 0.7%

TBA MOTOR VEHICLE SALES SEPT. 17.4 MLN 17.7 MLN

FRIDAY, OCT. 02

8:30 AM NONFARM PAYROLLS SEPT. 190,000 173,000

8:30 AM UNEMPLOYMENT RATE SEPT. 5.1% 5.1%

8:30 AM AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS SEPT. 0.1% 0.3%

10 AM FACTORY ORDERS AUG. N/A 0.4%