epic research special report of 06 oct 2015
TRANSCRIPT
DAILY REPORT
06th
OCT. 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance The prospect of a delay in the U.S. Federal Reserve's plan to raise interest rates and signs of some stability in oil and commodity markets boosted Asian stocks on Tuesday. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.7 percent to two-week high. Japan's Nikkei extended the rebound from eight-month low hit a week ago, helped by speculation that the Bank of Japan might adopt stimulus to support the flagging economy. European shares rose sharply on Monday as weak data in Europe and elsewhere reinforced expectations the broad monetary policy backdrop will remain equity-friendly, with Glencore and Arcelor Mittal lifting the mining sector. The FTSEurofirst 300 index ended up 3% and the euro zone's blue-chip Euro STOXX 50 climbed 3.3%. Both had fallen on Friday before Wall Street rebounded to end in the black. Euro zone business activity grew at its weakest pace in four months during September, surveys showed on Monday. France's CAC outpaced the rest of Europe with a gain of 3.5 percent following a report showing services activity accel-erated in September more than previously thought, a sign that the euro zone's second-biggest economy finished the third quarter on a firm footing. U.S. stocks rose on Monday, with the S&P 500 up for the fifth day, after last week's disappointing jobs report hard-ened views that the Federal Reserve won't raise interest rates this year. Previous day Roundup It was a spectacular start to the week as the Sensex surged more than 600 points intraday Monday and the Nifty sur-passed 8100-mark, tracking strong global cues. Bank Nifty outperformed benchmarks, rising 3% on hopes of more rate cuts going ahead as disappointed US jobs data may delay interest rate hike by Fed. The Sensex surged 564.60 points or 2.15 percent to 26785.55 and the Nifty jumped 168.40 points or 2.12 percent to 8119.30. The broader mar-kets underperformed benchmarks as the BSE Midcap gained 1.8% and Small-cap rose 1.6%. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [up 209.05pts], Capital Goods [up 499.65pts], PSU [up 141.98pts], FMCG [up 60.29pts], Realty [up 15.59pts], Power [up 42.26pts], Auto [up 366.43Pts], Healthcare [up 89.56Pts], IT [up 147.41pts], Metals [up 170pts], TECK [up 86.08pts], Oil& Gas [up 151.98pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
D J l 16776.43 +1.85
S&P 500 1987.05 +1.83
NASDAQ 4781.27 +1.56
FTSE 100 6298.92 +2.76
Nikkei 225 18258.01 +1.40
Hong Kong 21982.89 +0.59
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
TATASTEEL 225.50 13.25 6.24
TATAMOTORS 315.00 17.25 5.79
ICICIBANK 281.20 14.10 5.28
BOSCHLTD 20,281.05 974.65 5.05
HDFC 1,256.50 59.90 5.01
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
MARUTI 4,422.00 158.35 -3.46
DRREDDY 4,179.55 53.40 -1.26
LUPIN 2,084.40 24.45 -1.16
HINDUNILVR 809.90 6.50 -0.80
WIPRO 599.60 0.15 -0.03
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
APOLLOHOSP 1,475.10 30.75 2.13
DISHMAN 371.95 17.45 4.92
TVTODAY 281.50 7.80 2.85
- -
- -
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 8119.30 +168.40 +2.12
SENSEX 26785.55 +564.60 +2.15
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
GUJGASLTD 465.00 -21.50 -4.42
MOIL 192.70 -5.95 -3.00
MOTHERSUMI 239.65 13.65 6.04
SADBHIN 101.00 1.00 1.00
DAILY REPORT
06th
OCT. 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
3. MOTHERSON SUMI [CASH]
MOTHERSON SUMI LTD is looking strong on charts, if it sustains above 240 levels. We advise buying around 235-240 levels with strict stop loss of 215 for the targets of 250 - 255 levels.
MACRO NEWS
Auto: CV`s rebound sharply; 2Ws & tractors remain sub-dued
DP to exceed 7.5%, taxes to fall short of target: Finmin
Bharti Airtel up 2%; Goldman retains buy, sees 40% up-side
Maruti falls 2%; Jefferies downgrades, slashes target
World Bank trims China's 2015 GDP outlook to 6.9% from 7.1%
Auto: CV`s rebound sharply; 2Ws & tractors remain sub-dued\
DLF to raise $1.5-2 bn from rental biz asset sale
IDBI Bank To Seek Shareholder Nod To Issue 29.61 Cr Shares At `75.28/Sh To Govt On Pref Basis On Nov 4
PNGRB invites bids for CNG retailing licences in 34 cities
Copthall offloads 3.78 lk share (0.57% stake) in Jubilant Foodworks for 63.5 cr (BSE Bulk Deals)
Wockhardt: No Critical Observations By UK MHRA After Inspection At Chikalthana
New Millennium Iron Corp Announces Settlement On Tata Steel Minerals Canada Ownership
Ranbaxy & Galephar Enter Into Non- Exclusive License Agreement With Actavis
Tech Mahindra bags Bombardier deal to develop aircraft ground control systems
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. SKS FUTURE [FUTURE]
SKS FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above 420 levels. We advise buying around 422-426 levels with strict stop loss of 414 for the targets of 434-442 levels.
2. PFC [FUTURE]
PFC FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above 250 levels. We advise buying around 247-252 levels with strict stop loss of 241 for the targets of 258-264 levels.
DAILY REPORT
06th
OCT. 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 8,000 96.50 3,97,985 32,72,050
NIFTY PE 7,900 72.70 3,92,685 32,75,850
BANKNIFTY PE 16,500 104.00 36,879 4,04,125
TATAMOTORS PE 300 6.90 3,195 5,17,000
RELIANCE PE 860 11.50 3,170 2,47,000
RELIANCE PE 840 7.00 2,538 3,80,750
LT PE 1,500 25.50 2,276 1,56,000
ICICIBANK PE 250 1.20 2,105 16,69,000
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 8,200 108.90 5,03,872 41,51,200
NIFTY CE 8,300 65.60 3,85,530 44,14,950
BANKNIFTY CE 18,000 297.95 64,867 4,55,075
TATAMOTORS CE 320 11.75 7,014 12,37,000
RELIANCE CE 900 19.00 5,752 6,71,750
JINDALSTEL CE 70 4.50 5,215 22,22,000
ICICIBANK CE 280 10.30 5,098 21,95,000
IDFC CE 70 0.95 4,984 49,62,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY SELL
No. of
Contracts Amount in
Crores No. of
Contracts Amount in
Crores No. of
Contracts Amount in
Crores NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 140360 3337.08 78347 1710.43 908815 20574.1 1626.656
INDEX OPTIONS 433366 10617.7 431293 10136 1945629 62123.9 481.6929
STOCK FUTURES 108459 2799.2 80572 2127.84 1786454 46148.4 671.3571
STOCK OPTIONS 66880 1711.46 65830 1654.85 76218 2074.58 56.6099
TOTAL 2836
STOCKS IN NEWS HDFC Cuts Lending Rate By 25 bps Effective October 6 PTC India Fin Announces Its Credit Enhancement
Scheme Adani Ent proposes to set up fertilizer factory in Sindri Tata Motors negotiating with AP, TN and Maharashtra
Govts for grant of stage carriage permit for PV ‘Magic’ CanBank Cuts Base Rate By 25bps Effective October 7 NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future, affected by the global clues, rallied spec-tacularly and surpassed the resistance level. Though Nifty made a bullish candlestick pattern but it also has strong resistance of Fibonacci 38.2 level and Nifty may either consolidate or reverse from this level. So we ad-vise you to sell Nifty Future on rise around 8180-8200 for the targets of 8080 and 7950 with strict stop loss of 8350
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 8,208.23 8,163.77 8,084.43 8,039.97 7,960.63
BANK NIFTY 17,915.87 17,794.93 17,578.82 17,457.88 17,241.77
DAILY REPORT
06th
OCT. 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD OCT ABOVE 26500 TGTS 26580,26670 SL BE-
LOW 26400
SELL GOLD OCT BELOW 26200 TGTS 25620,25530 SL
ABOVE 25800
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER DEC ABOVE 36800 TGTS 37000,37300 SL BE-
LOW 36500
SELL SILVER DEC BELOW 36300 TGTS 36100,35800 SL
ABOVE 35600
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
WTI Crude oil futures soared sharply today, rising in tune with the global equities asa recovery continued for the com-modity. Global stocks surged as weak US employment data fueled speculation the US Federal Reserve won't increase interest rates this year. Oil traders also eyed the possibility of further economic stimulus from China and WTI crudefu-tures surged well above $46 per barrel mark. The counter currently trades at $46.53 per barrel, up 2.17% on the day. MCX Crude oil futures are trading at Rs 3047 per barrel, up2.56% on the day. Meanwhile, oil might not hold up to further rallies from here on as key supplier Saudi Arabia has announced a sharp cut in its crude oil prices.
COMEX Gold futures dropped on profit selling today after recording massive gains in the last session. Global equities are in an excellent nick today with major indices soaring around 1.5% - 2% on the day. DOW soared 200 points fol-lowing the nonfarm payrolls as traders reassessed their stance about the probable Fed interest rate hike. COMEX Gold soared following this, adding around 2% on Friday but dropped today amid all around gains in equities. The shiny metal is quoting at $1131 per ounce, down 0.49% on the day. MCX Gold futures for December are trading at Rs 26329 per 10 grams, up 1% as traders factored in the wild up move in the global prices when the local exchanges were shut for a national holiday on Friday.
Zinc, used to rust-proof steel used in automobiles and con-struction, stood as an outlier through months, even as all other minerals and metals were losing value, following the end of a commodity supercycle. The support came because traders found its fundamentals the best among all non-ferrous metals, with deficit in supply the order of the day. This status was lost recently when in one trading session on the LME, zinc skid to a day's maximum limit of five per cent. But, the price fall to a five-year low, has got much to do with moving inventories to LME warehouses in New Orleans for delivery against short speculative positions. From a low inventory of 426,875 tonnes in August, warehouse stocks climbed to 600,000 tonnes and the shifting site was mostly New Orleans in the US.
Russia imported 19,013 tons of stainless steel products in August of this year, down 11.6% m-o-m. Meanwhile, Russia imports of stainless steel plate fell 13.5% in August m-o-m, stainless steel long products imports increased 5% in August m-o-m, and stainless steel wire products imports increased 46.5% and seamless tubes imports slipped 44.8% m-o-m, respectively.
DAILY REPORT
06th
OCT. 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NCDEX
NCDEX ROUNDUP Mustardseed futures have witnessed steady gains today due to receding supplies in physical mandies against strong crushing demand. The sources stated that total arrivals of around 7-8 lakh tonnes have been in local mandies against 11-12 lakh tonnes of last year. The poor stocks were mainly due to weak production in the last year. Moreover, millers are witnessing strong mustard seed demand ahead of win-ter season in Northern India. The NCDEX November futures added 4% to settle at Rs 4838 per quintal. The NCDEX fu-tures added 11.73% in open interest indicating fresh buying by traders. Cottonseed oilcake prices spurted Rs 34 to Rs 1,627 per quintal in futures trade today, largely on the back of a strong demand in physical markets. The rise in cottonseed oilcake prices at futures trade to rising demand, mostly from cattle-feed makers amid tight stock position. At the NCDEX, cottonseed oilcake for delivery in Dec hardened by Rs 34, or 2.13%, to Rs 1,627 per quintal in an OI of 54,440 lots. The January 2016 contracts rose Rs 30, or 1.86%, to Rs 1,641 per quintal, having an open interest of 26,990 lots. Soyabean prices flared up Rs 145 to Rs 3,854 per quintal in futures trading today after participants enlarged positions, tracking a firming trend in global markets. Besides, a firming trend at the domestic physical market too supported the upside. Widening of positions by participants, driven by firming trend in the overseas markets mainly led to the rise in soyabean prices at futures trade. Furthermore, rising edi-ble oil prices influenced futures trade. At NCDEX soyabean for delivery in February shot up by Rs 145, or 3.91 per cent, to Rs 3,854 per quintal, with an open interest of 6,160 lots. The Nov contract shot up by Rs 135, or 3.81 per cent, to Rs 3,675 per quintal, having an open interest of 91,710 lots.
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
CAETOR SEED 4151 +0.68
CHANA 5188 +4.24
CORIANDER 11526 +2.75
COTTON SEED 1628 +2.20
GUAR SEED 3891 +0.80
JEERA 15745 +0.51
MUSTARDSEED 4780 +3.98
REF. SOY OIL 625.5 +3.18
TURMERIC 7652 +2.03
WHEAT 1562 +0.64
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY CORIANDER OCT ABOVE 11614 TARGET 11641 11721
SL BELOW 11587
SELL CORIANDER OCT BELOW 11500 TARGET 11473 11393
SL ABOVE 11527
GUARSGUM
BUY GUARGUM OCT ABOVE 8210 TARGET 8260 8330 SL
BELOW 8150
SELL GUARGUM OCT BELOW 8160 TARGET 8110 8040 SL
ABOVE 8220
DAILY REPORT
06th
OCT. 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 65.2905 Yen-100 54.3900
Euro 73.3931 GBP 99.3134
CURRENCY
USD/INR
BUY USD/INR OCT ABOVE 65.6 TARGET 65.73 65.88 SL BE-
LOW 65.4
SELL USD/INR OCT BELOW 65.5 TARGET 65.37 65.22 SL
ABOVE 65.7
EUR/INR
BUY EUR/INR OCT ABOVE 73.9 TARGET 74.05 74.25 SL BE-
LOW 73.7
SELL EUR/INR OCT BELOW 73.32 TARGET 73.17 72.97 SL
ABOVE 73.52
CURRENCY MARKET UPDATES:
The Indian rupee today surged by another 22 paise to close at a seven-week high of 65.29 per dollar on persistent sell-ing of the American currency by banks and exporters amid strengthening equities. Weakness of dollar in the overseas market also boosted the rupee value against the dollar.
The rupee opened higher at 65.25 per dollar as against the last weekend’s level of 65.51 at the Interbank Foreign Ex-change market and firmed up further to 65.19 before fin-ishing at a 7-week high of 65.29, showing a gain of 22 paise or 0.34 per cent. The local currency has gained by 87 paise or 1.31 per cent in last ten days. The rupee had last ended at 65.27 as on August 19, 2015. It hovered in the range of 65.33 and 65.19 per dollar during the day.
The dollar index was traded down by 0.18 per cent against a basket of six currencies in the late afternoon trade. In the overseas markets, the dollar slipped against a basket of currencies on hopes that the US Federal Reserve will delay the first interest rate hike in almost a decade in the wake of a lackluster US jobs data for September 2015.
The Indian rupee hardened further against the pound ster-ling to finish at 99.18 from the last weekend’s level of 99.23 while dropped against the Euro to 73.32 from 73.09. However, it recovered against the Japanese currency to settle at 54.30 per 100 yen from 54.71 last week.
The US dollar recovered a little from intraday lows on Monday, although the greenback remained broadly lower against a basket of currencies. U.S. jobs data dampened expectations for a U.S. rate hike before the end of the year. Investors are now eyeing an upcoming report on U.S. service sector activity. The dollar was higher against the yen, with USD/JPY up 0.28% at 120.23, off Friday's one-month low of 118.66, as investors locked in profits on the greenback's fall. As against the pound, the dollar was steady with GBP/USD at 1.5181, after rising to one-week highs of 1.5244 earlier in the session. Sterling was hit after Markit reported that its U.K. services PMI fell to 53.3 in September from a reading of 55.6 the previous month.
DAILY REPORT
06th
OCT. 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date Commodity/ Currency
Pairs Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
05/10/15 NCDEX DHANIYA OCT. BUY 11350 11377-11457 11323 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
05/10/15 NCDEX DHANIYA OCT. SELL 11150 11123-11043 11177 NOT EXECUTED
05/10/15 NCDEX GUARGUM OCT. BUY 8300 8350-8420 8240 SL TRIGGERED
05/10/15 NCDEX GUARGUM OCT. SELL 8180 8130-8060 8240 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
05/10/15 MCX GOLD OCT. BUY 26500 26580-26670 26400 NOT EXECUTED
05/10/15 MCX GOLD OCT. SELL 26200 25620-25530 25800 NOT EXECUTED
05/10/15 MCX SILVER DEC. BUY 35100 35300-35600 34800 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
05/10/15 MCX SILVER DEC. SELL 34700 34500-34200 35000 NOT EXECUTED
05/10/15 USD/INR OCT. BUY 65.90 66.03-66.08 65.70 NOT EXECUTED
05/10/15 USD/INR OCT. SELL 65.78 65.65-65.50 65.98 NOT EXECUTED
05/10/15 EUR/INR OCT. BUY 73.60 73.75-73.95 73.40 BOOKED PROFIT
05/10/15 EUR/INR OCT. SELL 73.20 73.05-72.85 73.40 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
05/10/15 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 7950-7960 8070-8170 7750 NOT EXECUTED
05/10/15 TECHM FUTURE SELL 570-575 560-550 585.30 CALL OPEN
05/10/15 ADANI PORTS FUTURE BUY 308 311-315 304 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
05/10/15 LAMBODHARA CASH BUY 920 935-950 904 BOOKED PROFIT
DAILY REPORT
06th
OCT. 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or
liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. Sincere efforts have been made to present the
right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for per-
sonal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility. The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment
decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate par-
ticular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any trans-
action conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. The share price projec-
tions shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change
without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is
browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners
or anyone can be held responsible for . Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment
in equity & bullion market has its own risks. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. We are not responsible for any
loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invi-
tation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid or Unpaid), any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share
our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious
Legal Actions can be taken.
Disclaimer
TIME REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS
FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, OCT. 05
10 AM ISM NONMANUFACTURING INDEX SEPT. 57.5% 59.0%
TUESDAY, OCT. 06
8:30 AM TRADE DEFICIT AUG. -$48.1 BLN -$41.9 BLN
WEDNESDAY, OCT. 07
3 PM CONSUMER CREDIT AUG. -- $19 BLN
THURSDAY, OCT. 08
8:30 AM WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS OCT. 3 271,000 277,000
2 PM FOMC MINUTES SEPT. 17
FRIDAY, OCT. 09
8:30 AM IMPORT PRICE INDEX SEPT. -- -1.8%
10 AM WHOLESALE INVENTORIES AUG. -- -0.1%