global landslide disaster resilience. an integrated framework demonstration of the global disaster...
DESCRIPTION
Landslides Represent Permanent Deformation Caused By The Downward And Outward Movements Of Large Volumes Of Soil And/Or Rock Under The Influence Of Gravity. Landslides Occur Naturally. Landslides Can Be Triggered And/Or Exacerbated By: 1) Water (From Precipitation During A Tropical Storm, Hurricane, Or Typhoon), Or 2) Vibrations (From Ground Shaking) During An Earthquake. Millions Of Communities Are Not Resilient To Landslide Disasters. The International Community Often Provides Millions To Billions Of Dollars In Relief To Help “pick Up The Pieces, ” But This Strategy Is Not Enough By Itself To Ensure Disaster Resilience. The Challenge Is To Create, Adjust And Realign Programs, Partners And People Until One Has Created The Kind Of "Turning Points" Needed For Moving Towards Landslide Disaster, Resilience. Using Educational Surges Containing The Past And Present Lessons To Foster And Accelerate The Creation Of Turning Points. Integration Of Scientific And Technical Solutions With Political Solutions For Policies On Preparedness, Protection, Early Warning, Emergency Response, And Recovery. Presentation courtesy of Dr. Walter Hays, Global Alliance For Disaster ReductionTRANSCRIPT
GLOBAL LANDSLIDE DISASTER RESILIENCE:AN INTEGRATED FRAMEWORK DEMONSTRATION OF THE GLOBAL DISASTER LABORATORY MODEL
FRAMEWORK 1A COMPREHENSIVE, INTER-DISCIPLINARY DIALOGUE
ON GLOBAL DISASTERS
AND DISASTER RESILIENCE
1. SCOPEFROM VULNERABLE CONTINUUMS
TO A DISASTER
TO
DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
THROUGH IMPLEMENTATION OF
“THE BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES” OF DISASTER RESILIENCE
A DISASTER is ---
--- the set of failures that occur when the continuums of: 1) people, 2) community (i.e., a set of habitats, livelihoods, and social constructs), and 3) recurring events (e.g., landslides, volcanic eruptions, floods, ...,) intersect at a point in space and time, when and where the community is not ready.
THREE DYNAMIC CONTINUUMS
• PEOPLE (7+ Billion and counting)
• COMMUNITIES• RECURRING EVENTS
(AKA Natural Hazards, which are proof of a DYNAMIC EARTH)
PEOPLE = INNOVATION PEOPLE = INNOVATION
200 NATIONS AND 7+
BILLION PEOPLE
200 NATIONS AND 7+
BILLION PEOPLE
NORTH AMERICA
NORTH AMERICA
CARIBBEAN BASIN
CARIBBEAN BASIN
SUB-SAHARAAFRICA
SUB-SAHARAAFRICA
MEDITER-RANEAN
MEDITER-RANEAN
ISLAND NATIONS ISLAND NATIONS
ASIA ASIA
SOUTHAMERICASOUTH
AMERICA
EUROPEEUROPE
INTERSECTION OF THESE CONTINUUMS IS INEVITABLE
SOME INTERSECTIONS WILL CAUSE A DISASTER,
AND SOME WON’T
THE PEOPLE CONTINUUM
• 7 + BILLION (DISTRIBUTED THROUGHOUT
THE WORLD)
LIKE AN INFINITE SERIES: A CONTINUUM OF INNOVATION NEVER ENDS
LIKE A CHAIN: A CONTINUUM HAS WEAK LINKS TO IMPROVE
FOUR UNIVERSAL WEAK-LINKS
• IGNORANCE• APATHY• DISCIPLINARY
BOUNDARIES• LACK OF POLITICAL WILL
THE COMMUNITY CONTINUUM: (SOCIAL CONSTRUCTS TO BENEFIT THE PEOPLE)
• GOVERNMENT• DWELLINGS• SCHOOLS• HEALTH CARE
FACILITIES• BUSINESSES• INFRA-
STRUCTURE• ETC
EACH COMMUNITY MUST BE READY FOR THE INEVITABLE
INTERSECTION THAT WILL CHALLENGE ITS STATE-OF-RESILIENCE
THE RECURRING - EVENTS CONTINUUM
• LANDSLIDES• FLOODS• SEVERE
WINDSTORMS• EARTHQUAKES• DROUGHTS
• ETC.
RECURRING VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS
RECURRING EARTHQUAKES
RECURRING TROPICAL STORMS TYPHOONS, HURRICANES, AND CYCLONES
RECURRING FLOODS
RECURRING WILDFIRES (Makes a locale susceptible to landslides)
CURRENT KNOWLEDGE
IS DEFINED BY ANECTDOTAL, EMPIRICAL, LINEAR, NON-LINEAR,
STATISTICAL, FUZZY, PROBABILISTIC, . . . AND THEORETICAL MODELS
HAVING DIVIDES, GAPS, AND UNCERTAINTIES
FRAMEWORK 2A COMPREHENSIVE, INTER-DISCIPLINARY INTEGRATION
OF KNOWLEDGE FORTHE END GAME OF
DISASTER RESILIENCE IN THE 21ST CENTURY
POLICIES AND PRACTICES FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
Anticipatory Preparedness
Adoption and Implementation of Realistic Urban Plans, Building Codes & Standards
Monitoring and Timely Early Warning
Timely Emergency Response (including Evacuation and Emergency Medical Services)
Cost-Effective Recovery/Reconstruction
YOUR COMMUNITY
YOUR COMMUNITYDATA BASES
AND INFORMATIONDATA BASES AND INFORMATION
HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS
• FLOODS • SEVERE WIND
STORMS• EARTHQUAKES …
ETC
A DISASTER
CAUSES
FAILURES IN POLICIES
FAILURES IN PRACTICES
COUNTER MEASURES
• BEST POLICIES• BEST PRACTICES
DISASTER RESILIENCE
THE END GAME CHALLENGE:BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES
INNIVATIVE ACTIONS: CREATE, ADJUST, AND REALIGN PROGRAMS, PARTNERS AND PEOPLE UNTIL YOU HAVE CREATED THE PARA-DIGM SHIFTS THAT ARE NEEDED FOR MOVING TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENCE
BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES
WILL IDENTIFY/CLOSE KNOWLEDGE DIVIDES AND GAPS,
AND IDENTIFY/FIX WEAK LINKS IN THE
PEOPLE/COMMUNITY CONTINUUMS
BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES WILL
CALL FOR INNOVATIVE USE OF TECHNOLOGY
AND STRATEGIC PLANNING
BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES WILL
CALL FOR INNOVATIVE USE OF TECHNOLOGY
AND STRATEGIC PLANNING
THE STATE-OF-RESILIENCE WILL INCREASE EXPONEBTIALLY AS ---
a) The CAPACITY of the PEOPLE is increased, b) Physical and organizational VULNERABILITIES in the COMMUNITY are eliminated, and c) Each people-community-hazard INTERSECTION is met successfully.
LANDSLIDES
INNOVATIVE PREPAREDNESS
USE GLOBAL LANDSLIDE DISASTER LABORATORIES AS A
BASIS FOR PREPARING FROM “A” (Emergency Response) TO “Z” (Recovery and Reconstruction)
INNOVATIVE PREPAREDNESS
USE GLOBAL LANDSLIDE DISASTER LABORATORIES AS A
BASIS FOR PREPARING FROM “A” (Emergency Response) TO “Z” (Recovery and Reconstruction)
SITING AND BUILDING ON UNSTABLE SLOPES
LANDSLIDESLANDSLIDES
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO FALLS
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO TOPPLES
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO SPREADS
SOIL AND ROCK SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOWS
PRECIPITATION THAT TRIGGERS SLOPE FAILURE SHAKING
GROUND SHAKING THAT TRIGGERS SLOPE FAILURE
CAUSES OF DAMAGE
CAUSES OF DAMAGE
GLOBAL
DISASTER LABORATORIES
GLOBAL
DISASTER LABORATORIES
DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES
DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES
EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES FOR LANDSLIDE DISASTER RESILIENCE
EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES FOR LANDSLIDE DISASTER RESILIENCE
• FORECASTS OF SLOPE FAILURE
• MONITORING TECHNOLOGIES (E.G., THE ISS; SATTELITES; SENSORS IN LOCAL ACTIVE SLIDES)
• WARNING SYSTEMS
• FORECASTS OF SLOPE FAILURE
• MONITORING TECHNOLOGIES (E.G., THE ISS; SATTELITES; SENSORS IN LOCAL ACTIVE SLIDES)
• WARNING SYSTEMS
• DATABASES FOR EACH LANDSLIDE
• COMPUTER MODELS OF SPECIFIC LANDSLIDES
• HAZARD MAPS • DISASTER
PLANNING SCENARIOS
• RISK ASSESSMENT MODELS
• DATABASES FOR EACH LANDSLIDE
• COMPUTER MODELS OF SPECIFIC LANDSLIDES
• HAZARD MAPS • DISASTER
PLANNING SCENARIOS
• RISK ASSESSMENT MODELS
DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES
DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES
• PURPOSE• PREVENTION• IDENTIFICATION OF
SPECIFIC RISKS • IDENTIFICATION OF
LANDSLIDES AFTER STORMS OR EARTHQUAKES
• PURPOSE• PREVENTION• IDENTIFICATION OF
SPECIFIC RISKS • IDENTIFICATION OF
LANDSLIDES AFTER STORMS OR EARTHQUAKES
• TECHNIQUE• RETAINING WALLS
(LOCAL SCALE)• USE OF SITE-
SPECIFIC DATA • USE OF REMOTE
SENSING TECHNOLOGIES
• TECHNIQUE• RETAINING WALLS
(LOCAL SCALE)• USE OF SITE-
SPECIFIC DATA • USE OF REMOTE
SENSING TECHNOLOGIES
SITE-SPECIFIC IDENTIFICATION OF SPECIFIC RISKS
SITE-SPECIFIC IDENTIFICATION OF SPECIFIC RISKS
• INTEGRATION OF SITE-SPECIFIC GEOLOGIC AND ENGINEERING DATA DURING CON-STRUCTION OF A HIGHWAY CAN PREVENT FUTURE LOSS OF FUNCTION FROM LANDSLIDES.
• INTEGRATION OF SITE-SPECIFIC GEOLOGIC AND ENGINEERING DATA DURING CON-STRUCTION OF A HIGHWAY CAN PREVENT FUTURE LOSS OF FUNCTION FROM LANDSLIDES.
SITE-SPECIFIC IDENTIFICATION OF SPECIIC RISKS
SITE-SPECIFIC IDENTIFICATION OF SPECIIC RISKS
• LOSS OF FUNCTION IS REDUCED WHEN SITE-SPECIFIC GEOLOGIC AND ENGINEERING DATA ARE WELL INTEGRATED.
• LOSS OF FUNCTION IS REDUCED WHEN SITE-SPECIFIC GEOLOGIC AND ENGINEERING DATA ARE WELL INTEGRATED.
MEXICO: REMOTE SENSING AFTER HEAVY RAINS, JULY 2007
CHINA: IDENTIFICATION OF EARTHQUAKE LAKE, MAY 12, 2008
DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES
DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES
• PURPOSE• STABALIZE
HAZARDOUS SLOPES
• AVOID SPECIFIC LANDSLIDE HAZARDS
• PURPOSE• STABALIZE
HAZARDOUS SLOPES
• AVOID SPECIFIC LANDSLIDE HAZARDS
• TECHNIQUE• SITE MODIFI-
CATION• MAPS OF
SPECIFIC HAZARDS: LAND USE ZONING ORDINANCES
• TECHNIQUE• SITE MODIFI-
CATION• MAPS OF
SPECIFIC HAZARDS: LAND USE ZONING ORDINANCES
CHINA: STABALIZE HAZARDOUS SLOPES, MAY 12, 2008
CHINA: STABALIZE HAZARDOUS SLOPES. MAY 12, 2008
CHINA: CREATION OF DIVERSION
CHANNEL, MAY 12, 2008
DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES
DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES
• PURPOSE• SEARCH AND
RESCUE• EVACUATION
• PURPOSE• SEARCH AND
RESCUE• EVACUATION
• TECHNIQUE• COMMUNITY
EMERGENCY RESPONSE PLAN
• COMMUNITY EVACUATION PLAN
• TECHNIQUE• COMMUNITY
EMERGENCY RESPONSE PLAN
• COMMUNITY EVACUATION PLAN
HONDURAS: SEARCH AND RESCUE
• WHEN A MUDFLOW TRIGGERED BY A HURRICANE BURIES A TOWN, SEARCH AND RESCUE BECOMES VERY URGENT AND VERY COMPLICATED.
CHINA: SEARCH AND RESCUE: MAY 12, 2008
LANDSLIDE DEBRIS REMOVAL: COM-MUNITY EMERGENCY RESPONSE PLAN
AN URGENT NEED FOR EVACUATION AS LANDSLIDES DAM RIVER
Evacuation needed! The rising lake of water behind the debris dam threatened to break through its banks and send a wall of water into the entire epicentral area.
TANGJIASHAN, LARGEST OF 69 "QUAKE LAKES"
ONE OF 69 "QUAKE LAKES": BEI HE RIVER DAMMED BY LANDSLIDE DEBRIS
CHINA: THOUSANDS EVACUATE
•Warned by government officials, survivors in Beichuan (100 km; 60 miles south) and other towns down river evacuated as fast as possible, using all available means.
CHINA: EVACUATION, MAY 12, 2008:
TEMPORARY SHELTERS: COMMUNITY EVACUATION PLAN
