mainstreet - ghomeshi trial

8/19/2019 Mainstreet - Ghomeshi Trial

1/13

Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 2,017 Toronto Residents by Smart IVR™ on March 24th, 2016. A mixture of landlines andell phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 2.18%, 19 times out of 20. Regional margins of error: Downtown (DT): +/-4.37%;

Etobioke (Etob): +/-4.39%; Scarborough (Scar): +/-4.27%; North York (NY): +/-4.42%; 19 times out of 20. Results wereweighed by geography, age and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

METHODOLOGY

THE GHOMESHI TRIAL


2/13

ONFIDENCE IN JUSTICE SYSTEM DROPS POST-GHOMESHI

March 26, 2016 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll conducted shortly following the verdict inhe Jian Ghomeshi case nds Torontonians reporting decreased condence in the criminal justice system.

The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.18%, 19 times out of 20.

The Jian Ghomeshi trial will be remembered for many things, including the fact that it was the rst trial toeavily include social media. 4 out of every 10 Toronto residents followed this case very closely, and another5% followed somewhat closely. Every piece of evidence, every detail, and every story was shared, tweetednd posted and discussed. We saw many journalists live tweet the entire thing, down to every sentence ofhe verdict," said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research.

It’s clear that not many people believe the prosecution did a good job, including 34% of women whotrongly disapprove of the crown’s performance, and additional 18% somewhat disapproved for a combined2% disapproval rating among Toronto women. Among men the crown received a 40% combinedisapproval rating.

The verdict which saw Mr. Ghomeshi acquitted on all charges received the disapproval of 49% of men,ncluding 30% who strongly disapproved. Women were less likely to approve of the verdict with just 11%trongly approving and another 22% somewhat approving."

There appears to be a generational gap in the scores with older Torontonians registering higher approvalsor the verdict and performance of the crown than younger respondents.

Condence in our justice system seems to be shaken, with 38% saying the trial and its verdict decreasedheir condence in the criminal justice system. Immediately following the verdict we saw protests, and aublic outcry on social media despite the fact and perhaps because many anticipated the verdict would notesult in any guilt verdicts for Mr. Ghomeshi. 46% of women say their condence in the system decreasedompared to just 30% of men who said the same,” he nished.

About Mainstreet ResearchMainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of

overnment, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public

pinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in BritishColumbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling rmn several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the onlyolling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

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Available for Interview from Ottawa: Quito Maggi, [email protected] more information: David Valentin, (514) 913-5524 - [email protected]

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protectedby copyright. The information and/or data may onlybe rebroadcast or republished with full and propercredit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia”.


3/13

How closely have you been following thestory of the Trial of Jian Ghomeshi?

Following Trial

Very Closely Somewhat Closely Not Too Closely Not At All Closely Not Awar


4/13

Very Closely

Not Too Closely

Not At All Closely

Not Aware of Story

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

Somewhat Closely

Sample

Very Closely

Not Too Closely

Not At All Closely

Not Aware of Story

Toronto Etob. Scar. DT NY

Somewhat Closely

Sample

48%

12%

18%

18%

5%

263

40%

34%

7%

9%

10%

377

43%

27%

10%

9%

11%

620

41%

27%

8%

12%

13%

757

42%

24%

9%

14%

11%

964

44%

26%

13%

10%

8%

1,053

43%

25%

11%

12%

9%

2,017

36%

30%

15%

6%

13%

503

43%

27%

10%

10%

10%

497

47%

19%

6%

21%

7%

526

43%

26%

14%

6%

10%

491

How closely have you been following thestory of the Trial of Jian Ghomeshi?


5/13

Do you approve or disapprove of theperformance of the Crown prosecutors

in the Jian Ghomeshi case?

Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure

Approval of Crown


6/13

Strongly Approve

Somewhat Disapprove

Strongly Disapprove

Not Sure

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

Somewhat Approve

13%

22%

16%

33%

17%

13%

22%

14%

28%

24%

13%

19%

22%

29%

18%

18%

20%

20%

25%

18%

20%

21%

17%

23%

18%

8%

20%

18%

34%

20%

Strongly Approve

Somewhat Disapprove

Strongly Disapprove

Not Sure


Somewhat Approve

14%

20%

18%

29%

19%

15%

17%

24%

27%

17%

16%

20%

19%

26%

19%

15%

23%

15%

27%

19%

12%

18%

16%

34%

20%

Do you approve or disapprove of theperformance of the Crown prosecutors

in the Jian Ghomeshi case?


7/13

Do you approve or disapprove of theJudge’s verdict in nding Jian Ghomeshi

not guilty on four counts of sexual assaultand one count of choking?

Approval of Verdict

Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure


8/13

Strongly Approve

Somewhat Disapprove

Strongly Disapprove

Not Sure

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

Somewhat Approve

9%

20%

20%

40%

11%

10%

19%

21%

41%

9%

12%

24%

18%

35%

11%

19%

34%

15%

16%

16%

13%

26%

19%

30%

12%

11%

22%

18%

39%

11%

Strongly Approve

Somewhat Disapprove

Strongly Disapprove

Not Sure


Somewhat Approve

12%

24%

19%

34%

11%

12%

21%

20%

31%

17%

13%

22%

17%

34%

15%

13%

25%

19%

34%

9%

10%

26%

20%

37%

8%

Do you approve or disapprove of theJudge’s verdict in nding Jian Ghomeshi

not guilty on four counts of sexual assaultand one count of choking?


9/13

Has the trial of Jian Ghomeshi and itsverdict increased your condence in thecriminal justice system, decreased your

condence or had no effect?

Condence in Justice System

Increased Decreased No Effect Not Sure


10/13

Increased Condence

No Effect

Not Sure

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

Decreased Condence

20%

49%

16%

15%

23%

48%

15%

13%

29%

30%

27%

13%

31%

24%

32%

13%

28%

30%

26%

16%

23%

46%

18%

13%

Increased Condence

No Effect

Not Sure


Decreased Condence

25%

38%

22%

15%

27%

34%

23%

16%

25%

39%

20%

16%

22%

41%

22%

14%

29%

37%

21%

13%

Has the trial of Jian Ghomeshi and itsverdict increased your condence in thecriminal justice system, decreased your

condence or had no effect?


11/13

How closely have you been following the story of the Trial of Jian Ghomeshi?

Very closelySomewhat closely

Not too closelyNot at all closely

Not aware of this story

Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of theCrown prosecutors in the Jian Ghomeshi case?

Strongly approveSomewhat approve

Somewhat disapproveStrongly disapprove

Not sure

Do you approve or disapprove of the Judge’s verdict in ndingJian Ghomeshi not guilty on four counts of sexual assault and one count of choking?

Strongly approveSomewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapproveNot sure

Has the trial of Jian Ghomeshi and its verdict increased your condencein the criminal justice system, decreased your condence or had no effect?

Increased your condenceDecreased your condence

Has had no effectNot sure

SCRIPT


12/13

ONLY WECALLED

THELIBERAL

MAJORITY.

Mainstreet Research | 132−2255B Queen Street East| Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada

“I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because it’s an interviewwith a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Public

Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such condence, a weekbefore we voted.

Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 2013,in deance of the majority of the polls.

His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanationfor how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running a

political campaign.” - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015


13/13

Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all threelevels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadianpublic affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots ofpublic opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberalgovernment in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has

been the most accurate polling rm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoralelection. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majoritygovernment in the 2015 federal election.

CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITEmainstreetresearch.ca

TWITTER@MainStResearch

FACEBOOKfb.com/mainstresearch

mainstreet - ghomeshi trial

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