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    From the SelectedWorks of Rohit Jindal

    January 2012

    Payments for Ecosystem Services (PES): evolutiontowards ecient and fair incentives formultifunctional landscapes

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    1

    AnnualReviewofEnvironmentandResourceshttp://www.annualreviews.org/toc/energy/37/1

    Payments for Environmental Services: evolution

    towardefficient

    and

    fair

    incentives

    for

    multifunc

    tionallandscapes

    MeinevanNoordwijk1,BeriaLeimona

    2,Rohit Jindal

    3,GraceB.Villamor

    4,MamtaVardhan

    5,Sara

    Namirembe6,DeliaCatacutan

    7,JohnKerr

    8,PeterA.Minang

    9andThomasP.Tomich

    10

    1WorldAgroforestryCentre(ICRAF),Bogor16880,Indonesia;email:[email protected]

    2WorldAgroforestryCentre(ICRAF),Bogor16880,Indonesia;email:[email protected]

    3.BantingPostdoctoralFellow,DepartmentofResourceEconomicsandEnvironmentalSociology,UniversityofAlberta,

    Edmonton,T6G2H1Canada;Email:[email protected]

    4.CenterforDevelopmentResearch(ZEF),UniversityofBonn,GermanyandWorldAgroforestryCentre(ICRAF);email:

    [email protected]

    5. InstituteforSustainableEnergy,EnvironmentandEconomy,UniversityofCalgary,Calgary,Alberta,CanadaT2N1N4;

    email:[email protected]

    6.WorldAgroforestryCentre(ICRAF),Nairobi,Kenya;email:[email protected]

    7. WorldAgroforestryCentre(ICRAF),Hanoi,Vietnam;email:[email protected]

    8.DeptofCommunity,Agriculture,RecreationandResourceStudies,MichiganStateUniversity,EastLansing,MI 48824;

    email:[email protected]

    9.WorldAgroforestryCentre(ICRAF),Nairobi,Kenya;email:[email protected]

    10AgriculturalSustainabilityInstitute,

    UniversityofCalifornia,Davis,California956168523;email:[email protected]

    Abstract

    Paymentsforenvironmentalservices(PES),ornonprovisioningecosystemservices, target

    alignment of microeconomic incentives for land users with meso and macroeconomic

    societalcostsandbenefitsoftheirchoicesacrossstakeholdersandscales.Theycaninterfere

    with or complement social norms and rightsbased approaches at generic (land use

    planning) and individual (tenure, use rights) levels, and with macroeconomic policies

    influencing the drivers to which individual agents respond. In many developing country

    contexts,communityscalefactorsstronglyinfluencelandusersdecisionswhileunclearland

    rights complicate the use of marketbased instruments. PES concepts need to adapt.

    Multiple paradigms have emerged within the broad PES domain. Evidence suggests that

    forms of coinvestment in stewardship alongside rights are the preferred entry point.

    Commodification ofESandESmarketsmightevolvelateron,butrequirestronggovernment

    regulationtosetandenforcerulesofthegame.Weframehypothesesforwidertestingand

    noregretsrecommendationsforpractitioners.

    KEY WORDS: Altruism, Ecological economics, Environmental governance, Rightsbased

    approaches,Tradeoff

    Pleaseciteas: vanNoordwijkM,LeimonaB,JindalR,VillamorG

    B,VardhanM,NamirembeS,CatacutanD,KerrJ,MinangPA,

    TomichTP,2012.PaymentsforEnvironmentalServices:evolution

    towardefficientandfairincentivesformultifunctionallandscapes.

    AnnualReviewofEnvironmentandResources37(inpress)

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    2

    IntroductionTheriseofagriculturecoincidedwiththeremarkable

    climatic stability of the Holocene1, but land use

    changeandfossilfuelusethreatentogetusbackto

    thewilderfluctuationsofthePleistoceneandearlier

    periods in the geological history of our planet2,3.

    Much of agriculture and the dramatic change in

    humanpopulationsizeandsocialorganizationthat it

    made possible4 was based on reducing dependency

    onnaturalecologicalprocessesforsecuringfood,by

    finding effective technical substitutes to secure

    growthand reproductionofplantsandanimalswith

    the most desirable properties through

    domestication5. The culture of land, with

    agriculture as its shorthand, was contrasted with

    wild and uncontrolled nature. Its key featuresapartfromgeneticselectionweremodification ofthe

    soil environment by tillage, breaking out of the

    constraints of the local nutrient cycle by use of

    fertilizers, and controlling pests and diseases by

    chemicalmeans6.Manipulationofthewaterbalance

    by irrigationanddrainage,however, involved lateral

    flows7 of water that created new dependencies on

    thesurroundinglandanditswatershedservices.

    The fossil record of the Neolithic revolution that

    startedagriculturesuggeststhat ithadmixedeffects

    onhumanwellbeingwhenhealthandqualityof life

    rather thandemographicgrowthareconsidered8. In

    terms of the human brain, it required and further

    strengthenedtherational,reflectivesystem2 that

    canoperateatdiscount rates thatallow investment

    inactivitiesthatprovideyield inafewmonthstime,

    balancing with the intuitive, subconscious, direct

    system 1 that seeks immediate rewards9 and

    dominatedinourhuntergatherhistory.Thesystem

    3 that responds to and shapes social norms coevolvedwithsocietalorganization.

    Aprimarymeasureofthesuccessofagriculturewasasocialsegregationwhenurbandevelopmentbecamepossible, as rural labor could be freed for otheractivities10.Expansionofagriculturealsoimpliedthatforest, landsbeyond theperimeterofthevillages,

    and nature, land without direct human influence,declined in area11. Urban lifestyles developed, withdifferent norms, aspirations and expectations.Ironically,partoftheseexpectationsnowadaysrelatetoareturntomorenaturalformsoffarmingalongwithfairertraderelations12andforecoagriculture

    landscapesastargetsforrecreationandleisure13

    .Thedramatic success in increasing the goods that couldbederived fromagroecosystemscameatacost forthe regulatory and supportive ecosystem services14.Humankind may currently approach planetaryboundaries of safe operating space15: clean water,cleanair,floraandfauna,andmorerecentlythegascompositionoftheatmospherethataffectsclimate.

    Econsandhumans

    ThalerandSunstein16 positedthatwedeal

    withtwospecies:EconsandHumans.Economics,asthetermsuggests,isgoodat

    predictingthedecisionsmadebyEcons,but

    thescienceofdecisionmakingbyHumans

    remainslargelyunexploredterritory,and

    needstobuildontheadvancesinpsychology,

    neuroscienceandbehavioraleconomicsof

    thepasttwodecades.Econsaretheefficient

    calculatorsimaginedineconomictheory,able

    toweighmultipleoptions,forecastallthe

    consequencesofeach,andchooserationally.

    Humansareordinarypeople,who,fallwell

    shortofHomoeconomicus:theyareneither

    fullyrational(asmostanalysesofeconomic

    downturnsandcrashesimply)norcompletely

    selfish,andtheirtastesareanythingbut

    stable.CallingourselvesHomosapiens,

    however,stretchestheconceptofwisdom

    beyondhowitiscurrentlyunderstood,and

    maywellreflectthecognitiveillusionand

    overconfidencethatishardwiredinour

    brains.TheliteratureonPESwasinitiallyfocusedonbringingenvironmentalissuesinto

    theframeworkofefficiencyorientedEcons,

    buthasgraduallyincorporatedmorerealistic

    perspectivesonhumanbehaviorandits

    abilitytodealcollectivelywiththreatsand

    pressures.

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    The urban segment of population started to attach

    value to the natural capital and ecosystem services

    andregrettedtheirloss;theyevenbecamewillingto

    pay moderate amounts of money to have secure

    accesstosuchecosystemservices(ES*).Bypaying,

    somemightevenfeellessguiltyabouttheirpatterns

    of consumption and its global consequences. The

    social, cultural, political and economic differences

    between those able to provide or enhance ES and

    those interested in supporting such activities had

    become substantial and the interaction required a

    framing that referred tobothfairness (a system3

    concept) and efficiency (system 2) to bridge that

    gap. Analysis of system2 (micro) economics

    suggestedthatthediscountratesusedweretoohigh

    tojustifyinvestmentsinenvironmentalqualitiesthat

    operate on decadal rather than annual timescales.Lowering the apparent discount rates might nudge

    decisionmakerstowardsdecisionsenhancinghealth,

    wealthandhappinesswithgreaterpubliccobenefits,

    andas suchjustifiedpubliccoinvestment16.Dealing

    with intergenerational equity and expected scarcity

    of global ecosystem functions requires system 3

    brain functions that operate at zero or negative

    discount rates, complementing the system1 and

    system2 functions that had much more time to

    evolve

    9

    . Low or even negative discount rates mayseem surprising to conventionally trained

    economists, but the conventional discounted cash

    flow analysis assumes complete markets (including

    marketsforinsuranceandrisk)aswellasreversibility

    of asset transactions. Yet, missing and imperfect

    markets, prospects of extinctions and other

    BOXMiniglossary

    Coinvestment:Investmentacrossassettypes

    (capitals)inenhancementofESby

    beneficiariesandprovidersofES;examples

    canincludeinvestmentinconditional

    tenurialsecurityinareasofhighESvalue

    (includingecologicalcorridorsorbufferzones),combinedsocial+human

    capitalenhancementininstitutional

    development,improvementsofhealth,

    educationandinfrastructure

    Commodification: Thederivationand

    definitionofstandardizedunitsofESthat

    canbetradedwithinregulatedmarkets

    and/ortheassociationofverifiableESwith

    brandedcommodities

    Compensation:Governmentmediated

    paymentstooffsettheopportunitycosts

    for(voluntarilyormandated)foregone

    legallyalloweddevelopmentoptionsthat

    woulddecreaseESfunctions

    Ecosystemservices(ES*):Thebenefitshumans

    derivefromecosystems;usuallycategorizedas

    provisioning,regulating,culturaland

    supportivefunctions(ananthropocentric

    conceptthatcanincorporateintrinsicvalue

    onlythroughitshumanambassadors)

    Environmentalservices(ES):Ecosystemservices

    minustheprovisioningservicesforwhich

    marketscanbeexpectedtobalancesupplyand

    demand

    Gigaeconomics: Studyofmanagementoptions

    anddecisionmakingonuseand/or

    conservationofscarceresourcesatglobal

    (supranational)scale

    Picoeconomics: Studyofthewaythehumanbrain(atsynapselevel)processesnewlyacquired

    information,memoryandaccumulatedvalue

    judgmentsinevaluatingmanagementoptions

    anddecisionmaking

    Rightsbasedapproach:Developmentapproachthatbuildsonthebundleofuserightsthatindividualsandcommunitiescanacquirebasedonlegalpluralismandcrossscaleharmonizationofprinciplesandcriteriaforresourcemanagement,balancingprivateandpublicinterests

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    essentially irreversible contingencies, and prospects

    for only limited (if any) substitution among major

    asset classes say between some forms of natural

    and financial capital mean that some important

    resourcesreallywillbescarcerinthefuture,entailing

    verycostlyadjustments.16

    Where markets have been generally acclaimed for

    linking demand and supply of goods and nudging

    producer decisions towards efficient use of

    resources,threatstoecosystemservices14,17became

    associated with market failure and

    externalities18,19,20. Two types of solutions have

    been tried to address this imbalance: 1) to restrict

    marketfunctionsongoodsprovisionbyregulationof

    resource access to secure conservation of natural

    capitalandES*,and2) tobringmarketefficiencytothe supplyofES*,bymaking increasedprovisionof

    such services pay at a level that the tradeoffs

    betweengoodsandservicescanbemanagedat the

    leveloffarmerorlandmanager.Thelatterapproach

    is conventionally,butnot veryaccuratelyaswewill

    see below, described as payments for ecosystem

    services or PES. While the regulatory approach is

    associated with sticks, the incentivebased

    approaches are referred to as carrots with

    sermonsasthethirdpolicyinstrumentreferringto

    suasion and the hope that internalization of values

    willleadtoselflimitation(system3).

    Started some three decades ago in Europe and N.

    America21,thePESapproachhasbeenadvocatedand

    tested in the tropics for over a decade now.

    Environmental services in the tropics are

    considerably diminished by the development and

    spreadoflandusepracticesthatprofitthelanduser,

    butreducetheregularityandqualityofwaterflows,

    habitat quality of the landscape for globally

    threatened biota, carbon storage capacity, and

    landscapebeauty22,23.Marketbasedinstrumentsthat

    make the continued provision of environmentalservices(ES)moreprofitable,havebecomeanactive

    area of experimentation and learning over the past

    two decades24,25,26, as purely regulatory approaches

    that exclude rural populations from forests have a

    negative impact by perpetuating forestrelated

    poverty27,28.

    Figure1.PESisoneoffourcategoriesofresponseandfeedbackmechanismsthatallowthosewhoexperience

    theESconsequencesofchangesinlandcoverandlanduse,totryandinfluencethegenericdrivers(A1

    and B1) or actors/agents (A2 and B2) of land use change in specific places to modify behavior and

    decisions, via spatial regulation and rights (A, sticks) or economic incentive structures (B, carrots); the

    suasion(sermon)categorymodifiestheresponseofactors/agentstodrivers(modifiedfrom28)

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    PES is one of multiple feedback mechanisms by

    whichstakeholdersaffectedbychangesinlanduse

    can try to influence the agents/actors directly

    deciding on transformations of the landscape,

    and/or theunderlyingdriving forces towhich they

    respond29. A broad categorization (Figure 1)

    distinguishes rules/rightsbased approaches from

    economic incentive approaches, each with entry

    pointsattwoscales.Afurtherdistinctioncanbethe

    degreetowhichtheresponseandfeedbackoptions

    arechanneledthroughpublicand/orprivatesector

    entities. Inthisclassification andfigure,PESstands

    for B2 approaches targeting the microeconomic

    level of decision making. Its effectiveness is

    contingent on the way it interacts with macro

    economicincentivestructures(B1)andrightstouse

    land (A1,A2).The languageofPES refersprimarilyto the efficiency of a quid pro quo (money for

    services) but, as we will see in this review, the

    fairnesssidedeservesatleastequalattention,asis

    gradually rediscovered for the rest of the

    economy30.Thenatureofboththequidandthequo

    is often not as clear as it appears to be, with

    additionality,leakageandpermanenceconcerns31,32

    that straddle temporal and spatial scales and

    requirecomplementarytypesofeconomicanalysis.

    TheemergingPESliteraturedealswithfivescalesof

    economic analysis, only two of which (micro and

    macro)havebeenconventionallystudied:

    Picoeconomics33 (or neuroeconomicsunderpinningbehavioraleconomics): individuals

    andtheirbrainsynapses(pico)that involve in

    decision making, interpretation of observations

    and construction of perceived causal

    mechanisms,

    Microeconomics: household, farm enterpriseswith the cash flows and investment issues at

    thatscale,asinfluencedbymarketfunctionand

    thetotalityoftaxes,subsidiesandregulations,

    Mesoeconomics34: landscape, community andlocalgovernancescalesaswellasprivatesector

    actors where determinants of ecosystem

    services interact with the paradigms of

    integratedruraldevelopment,

    Macroeconomics: nation states as part ofregional cooperation arrangements, at the

    interface of world markets, political ambitions

    fordevelopmentandtheeconomicdecisionsof

    subnational actors, responding to taxes,

    subsidies, regulations and public investment in

    physicalinfrastructure,

    Gigaeconomics:earthsystemmanagement,andthe rediscovery that humans can care about

    their broader context if appropriately primed

    and motivated, by concepts such as

    footprint35.

    PESdiscussionsusuallyfocusontheroleofpositiveincentives (carrots)at the interfaceofmesoand

    micro economics, but the involvement of other

    scalesisincreasinglyrecognized,as istheclose link

    with sticks and sermons (or suasion) targeting

    picoeconomics and the putative system 3. Yet,

    the macroeconomic context of national

    development and, increasingly, the gigaeconomic

    scaleofglobalissuesareofdirectrelevanceaswell.

    PES is usually framed within an environmental

    economicsframeworkthatacceptsthestatusquo

    of macro and microeconomic analyses and

    associated policies, but aims at internalizing the

    environmental externalities of current decision

    making. In contrast, the ecological economics

    tradition has articulated more fundamental

    critiquesofstatusquoandhasbeenmoreopento

    the emerging pico, meso and gigaeconomic

    scales,thatmaysetnormative(sustainability)and

    pragmatic constraints to micro and macro

    economic scales. Within the environmental

    economicsframingtheupsanddownsoftheglobaleconomy (at macrogiga scales) with more than

    proportional impacts on carbon markets have

    beenamajorconcern.

    AsPESpraxishasevolved, its relationwith theory

    haschanged.WhilemostofPESisstillperceivedin

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    a decision support system mode of natural

    resource management, where better informed

    managers can take better decisions and PES can

    involve negotiations of prices and contract details

    but not of its fundamentals, the more complex

    reality may be better understood if approached

    from a negotiation support perspective36, 37

    where multiple knowledge and value systems

    interact in shaping a negotiation platform and its

    outcomes. Further complications derive from the

    way temporal scales are included in the analysis:

    beyondasustainability timescalethatemphasizes

    persistence, a sustainagility time scale38 may be

    needed,thatbalancesthiswithacontinuedchange

    perspective39.

    Asabroaddelineationofthetopicsforthisreview,wewilldiscussemergingPESpraxis in thecontext

    of these five scales of economic analysis, the five

    capitals (assets) of the livelihoods approach40

    (although alternative formulations41 also have

    foundfollowers),andthreeaspectsofhumanbrain

    function(systems1,2,and3).Inourview,theseall

    need tobe reconciled inorder tounderstandhow

    individualbehaviorsandchoices interactwith local

    actions, their global consequences and the

    opportunities for effective feedback mechanisms

    (Figure2).Paymentsforecosystemservicescanbe

    conceived and implemented by a government

    mediated institution without explicit reference to

    markets.Adjustmentsof levelsofcompensation to

    whattaxpayersarewillingtoaffordwillovertime

    provide a coarse feedback mechanism adjusting

    supply to demand. Much of the PES literature,

    however, suggests that marketbased schemes to

    enhance ES will be more efficient and require

    monetizing or commoditizing biodiversity

    conservation, watershed protection, and carbonsequestration42. PES schemes depend on funds

    derivedfromdirectbeneficiariesofsuchservices(in

    case of commodification) , and/or an increased

    publicinterestinsupportingconservation(incase

    Figure2.Thefivecapitals(assets)ofthe livelihoodapproach38 interactwiththreesubsystemsofthehuman

    brain (system1andsystem2ofKahneman9plusa system3 shapingand responding tosocialnorms),

    influencingfivescalesofeconomicanalysis(pico,micro,meso,macroandgiga)ofhumandecisionsabout

    governance,resourceuseanddevelopment

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    of compensation). In the latter case, funds are

    usedtocompensatefor involuntaryorvoluntaryr

    estrictionson landuse. Theyaim tobesufficient

    tooffsettheopportunitycostsofforegoingprivate

    benefits from legal activities with negative

    environmenttal effects43. In a marketbased

    approach to enhancing environmental quality

    throughfreelynegotiatedformsofPES,bargaining

    position is crucially important44. Where potential

    supplyofESdeliverycontractsislessthandemand,

    ESproviderscannegotiateforprice levelsbeyond

    compensationforopportunitycosts;ifdemandfor

    such contracts is less than potential supply, the

    marketmay settleonaprice that isjustaboutat

    breakevenlevelforESproviders.Commodification

    with price levels reflecting current supply and

    demand can work where the timelags for

    increasing supplyare less than the time scalesat

    which demand varies, and where production

    decisionsarereversible.Few,ifany,ESmeetthese

    requirements and the mechanisms to set price

    levels must reflect longer term societal values,

    ratherthantheeconomicmoodoftheday.Whilethis may generally point towards a government

    mediated compensation approach rather than

    marketbased commodification, a third paradigm

    (coinvestment) has been recognized in PES

    literatureandpraxis..Primarilyonthebasisofthe

    conditionalityof contracts, adistinctionhasbeen

    suggested45betweencommodification ofES(CES),

    compensationforopportunitiesskipped(COS)and

    Coinvestmentinenvironmentalstewardship(CIS).

    Much of the literature on PES focuses on

    identifying the payment level needed to change

    land use 46, targeting land users, structuring

    payments and contracts25, effectiveness of public

    versus private sector arrangements47, and design

    of public policy48. Few empirical studies so far

    havedescribedthemediumtermimpactofPESon

    1)thelandmanagers,2)thesocialsystemtheyare

    partof,and3)theEStargeted49.Someofthefirst

    PES efforts in Southeast Asia and Africa are now

    reachingapointwheretheseissuescanbestudiedempiricallyandmostof theauthorsof thispaper

    aredirectlyinvolvedinsuchstudies.

    Wewill focusour reviewon various typesofPES

    applicationsinthecontextofdevelopingcountries,

    but explore the way paradigms, concepts and

    approaches have been influenced by the

    BOXAcronymsused

    CES:Commodification ofES(CES1=ESas

    such,CES2=ESpackagedwithbranded

    commodities)

    CIS:CoInvestmentinenvironmentalStewardship

    COS:CompensationforOpportunitiesSkipped

    CRES:CompensationandRewardsforES

    ES*:EcosystemServices(seeminiglossary)

    ES:EnvironmentalServices(seeminiglossary)

    PES:PaymentsforEnvironmentalServices

    REDD+:ReducingEmissionsfrom

    Deforestationand(forest)Degradationplus

    foreststockenhancement

    System1:Brainfunctionasdescribedby

    Kahneman2011thatisrapid,intuitive,

    subconsciousandsyntheticandthatleadsthe

    primaryresponseofhumanstoopportunities

    andchoices

    System2:Brainfunctionasdescribedby

    Kahneman2011thatisslow,rational,

    consciousandanalyticalandthatleads

    problemanalysisandrationalizationof

    choicesmade

    System3:Brainfunctioncomplementing

    systems1and2andreflectingsocialnormsto

    whichanindividualhaslearnedtocomply

    with

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    experience in countrieswithdifferenthistoriesof

    land use patterns, land ownership and tenure

    regime, rural population densities and degree of

    market integration. Financial incentives can both

    support and undermine social norms compatible

    with ES enhancement. External coinvestment

    e.g., through incentives fromprograms to reduce

    emissions from deforestation and degradation

    (REDD) and ecocertificationneeds to synergize

    with localeffortsbyunderstanding localdynamics

    and conditions for free and prior informed

    consent.

    Inthisreviewofrecentliteraturewewill:

    Analyze the different interpretations of PES insegregation perspectives on landscapes

    functions and those based on integration in

    multifunctionallandscapes

    DiscussPESdefinitionsandtheirrelationshiptoRealistic, Conditional, Voluntary and ProPoor

    performancecriteriaandevolvingparadigms

    Provide a brief history of PES concepts andapplicationindevelopingcountries

    Position PES in the debate aboutmultifunctionalityoflandscapes

    Summarize critiques of PES theory andquestionsarisingfromemergingPESpractice:

    Missing metrics for environmental serviceperformance

    Arealbusinesscase?Motivationforbuyers Motivational crowding out: motivation for

    ESproviders

    PESinthepoverty*environmentnexus Areclearpropertyrightsapreconditionfor

    PES?

    IsthereenoughPESfundingforapplicationsatscale?

    Can international REDD+ funding supportlocalPES?

    In the discussion, beyond reviewing published

    literature, we provide a new comprehensive

    altruism frameworkanddiscuss itsapplications.

    Wewillendwithasetoftentativeconclusionsand

    frame hypotheses for the interface of praxis and

    research.

    2. PES definitions and their relationship toRealistic, Conditional, Voluntary and

    ProPoorasperformancecriteria

    Early work on the interface of giga and macro

    economics

    50

    tried toquantify thesustainablepartofnationalandglobaleconomic systems (roughly

    50%)47 by focusing on the loss of ES associated

    with economic growth as conventionally

    measured51.Environmentalservice functionswere

    definedasthepossiblehumanusesofthenatural

    and biophysical surroundings. For national

    accounting, the concept of flows (services) was

    linked to stocks (capital). Analyses in the 1990s

    thusemphasized natural capitalasessential for

    development52. In2000, itsderivative in the form

    of services53 became the key concept for the

    Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, but was

    relabeledasecosystemservices14.Itexpandedthe

    domainofenvironmental concerns toall benefits

    that humans gain from ecosystems, ranging from

    provisioning services supplying tangible value to

    people, suchas food, fuel,andotherconsumable

    goods;toregulatingservices(suchasairandwater

    purification, climate buffering), habitat or

    supportingservices(e.g.breedinggroundsforfish,

    regeneration of soil fertility), and cultural andamenity services that give intangible benefits to

    human wellbeing54. Originally intended to focus

    on the value of nature53, there was no logical

    demarcation along the naturalmanaged system

    continuum,andtheconceptcametoincludeallof

    managed forests and agricultural landscapes. By

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    9

    including the provisioning services that support

    commodity production and market function, the

    concept of ecosystem services gained in public

    attention; however, the externality argument

    and market failure does not apply to these

    provisioning services,although the clarificationof

    property rightsmaybe an issue.Wewilluse the

    term environmental services (ES) for all

    ecosystem services (ES*) except for provisioning,

    following18,21,24,26,41.Currentliterature,however,is

    split over ecosystem services or environmental

    servicesaspartofthePESacronym.

    ThemosthighlyciteddefinitionofaPESremains24:

    avoluntary,conditionaltransactionwhereatleast

    onebuyerpaysat leastoneseller formaintaining

    or adopting sustainable land managementpractices that favor the provision of welldefined

    environmental services. The definition applies

    binary, qualitative standards to the concepts of

    conditionality, welldefined ES, voluntarily agreed

    contracts at the level of individual buyers and

    sellers. Strictapplicationofthedefinitionmaylead

    totheconclusionthatPESdoesnotcurrentlyexist

    in pure form, but that there are PESlike

    approaches thatapproximate the ideal to various

    degrees.Thesamemaybetrueforthemajorityof

    economic concepts16, but the binary definitions

    can also be replaced55 by gliding scales of the

    degreetowhichrealistic,conditionalandvoluntary

    contracts the provision of welldefined

    environmental services are negotiated and

    implemented, with additional attention for the

    fairness dimension of propoor approaches.

    Basedonvariationsinthewaythecriteriaaremet,

    threecomplementaryparadigmscancoexistwithin

    abroadPESframework45,with1)commodification

    of welldefined environmental services so thatbuyersandsellerscannegotiateprices (closestto

    the Wunder24 definition), 2) compensation for

    opportunitiesforegonevoluntarilyorbycommand

    and control decisions, and 3) coinvestment in

    environmental stewardship as key features,

    respectively.

    In the basic PES concept, payments (flows of

    financial capital) are the primary vehicle through

    whichthebuyerscanexpresstheirappreciationfor

    the ES.As long as the sellers keepproducing the

    ES, it is up to them how they use this financial

    capital: to invest in natural capital, quality of

    houses,meansoftransportorsavingsaccountsor

    payforschoolingofchildren,healthcare,amenities

    and luxuries of life or any other expenditure. In

    practice,however,buyersmaybedisappointed if

    they dont see the sellers invest a considerable

    share of payments into direct enhancements of

    naturalcapital;theyexpectamultipliereffect56.

    BuyersofESarenotwillingtoforegotheircontrol

    at least partly because indeed the production

    functionofESasemergentpropertiesofcomplex

    landscapesystemsremainspoorlyunderstood.

    Efficiencycanbeconsidered from theperspective

    ofthebuyer,thesellerortheprocessasawhole,

    including its intermediaries and longerterm

    dynamics (sustainability).Akeyeconomicconcept

    here is that of Pareto efficiency, where an

    equilibrium has been found where no further

    transactions can increase the wellbeing of any

    actorwithoutmakinganyoneelseworseoff57. Like

    laws of physics that ignore friction, Pareto

    efficiency can be most easily be perceived in a

    worldwithperfect informationtoall,fullyrational

    decision making about the true interests of all

    agentsand in theabsenceof transactioncosts. In

    therealworld,however,transactioncostsexist,as

    do intermediarieswhoserveasbrokerstoprovide

    information and influence decisions. These third

    party brokers also have their own longerterm

    interests and business models that need to be

    understood.Efficiencyconsiderationsforthebuyer

    consistofeffectivenessandcosts,weighedagainstalternative opportunities to satisfy their ES

    demand. Efficiency considerations for the seller

    require understanding of the production

    function forES,aswellashow the provisionof

    the ES fits into the production function for

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    agricultural and other goods of the farm or local

    economy.

    The Wunder PES definition24 referred to at least

    one buyer and seller exchanging ES for money

    (Figure 3A), withPareto efficiencydeterminedby

    therelativeshortageofESandsurplusoffinancial

    capitalonthebuyerside,andreverseendowments

    onthesellerside.Inpractice,mostofthecurrently

    known PES applications in the tropics58,59,60,61,62

    involve linkagesof complex systems inbuyerand

    sellercommunities, involvingexchangesinmultiple

    asset types (Figure 3B). Contracts involve

    investments and linkages in social capital and

    individualhumancapital.The initialcurrencymay

    be recognition and respect as social capital

    exchanges,ratherthanmoney

    63

    .Whentakentoitsfullconsequences,thisimpliesthatthebuyersand

    sellersbecomecoinvestorsincrosslinkedsystems

    3. BriefhistoryofPES conceptsandapplicationindevelopingcountries

    After the initial excitement of PES, approaching

    silverbulletstatus21,thepromiseandperilsof

    PESformedthetitleofreviewsinboth200564and

    201120.BothreviewsassertedthatPESexperiences

    hadalreadydemonstratedthatinvestinginnatural

    capital rather than built capital can make both

    economicandpolicysense,butthatmarketsforES

    orES*(seedefinitions)createchallengesincluding

    moral hazards, rentseeking, free riders and

    perverse incentives. Lack of market reflection of

    the full social cost of ES production can lead to

    incorrectmeasuresofthescarcityofsomeESand

    nomeasuresfortherest.

    EarlyliteratureonPESclassifiedtheformsofPESin

    practiceand recognizedat least fourtypesofPES

    schemes, differentiated by the degree of

    government intervention in administration of the

    schemes,by thecharacteristicsof thebuyersand

    sellers,andbythesourceofpayments(65,66)65,66.

    By pointing out the weaknesses of indirect

    environmental interventions such as Integrated

    ConservationandDevelopmentPrograms,others67

    argued that PES can create a direct incentive

    Figure3A.PES interpretedasexchangeof financialcapitalforES,usuallybetweenpartsofsociety thatare

    shortinnaturalcapital(N)buthavefinancialcapital(F)tospare,andcommunitieswherethebalanceisthe

    otherwayaroundandwheretheESsellersarefreetousethefinancialcapitalobtainedaccordingtotheir

    ownprioritiesaslongastheEScontractualobligationsaremet;B.Exchangesthatinvolverelationshipsin

    terms of human capital (H), social capital (S) and/or infrastructure (I) as well, and can be termed co

    investmentinES45

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    scheme between ES sellers and buyers and thus

    might better achieve both conservation and

    development objectives by better targeting and

    lowering transaction costs. PES concepts were

    testedasapossibility to increaseeffectiveness in

    environmental protection and reduced (public)

    conservationbudgetsinLatinAmerica,theUSand

    Europe21,46,68. It appears that the coinvestment

    paradigm seeks a middle ground between ICDP

    and PES concepts, with partial conditionality and

    escapefromaprojectcycle.

    CostaRicabecameapioneer inPES indeveloping

    countriesbasedon its1996 forest legislation that

    provided a publicly funded incentive scheme for

    private landowners tomaintainorenhance forest

    as provider of valuable ES. Payments tolandownerscanbemade fortheprovisionoffour

    types of ES, i) carbon sequestration and storage

    (mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions); ii)

    watershed protection (hydrological services); iii)

    biodiversity protection (conservation); and iv)

    landscape beautification (for recreation and

    ecotourism). Landowners receivedirectpayments

    for theES their landsareassumed toproduceby

    adopting sustainable forest management

    techniques thatdonothavenegative impactson

    theforestcoverandthatmaintainqualityoflife69.

    The Government of Costa Rica acted as the

    buyer/investor, seeking international stakeholder

    buyers for carbon sequestration services and

    domestic ones for expected hydrologic services.

    This combination of domestic and international

    sales together with tax revenue, international

    loans and donations was used to finance

    environmental service provision70. The country

    made substantial progress in (involuntarily)

    chargingthecaptiveaudienceofwaterusers,andmore limitedprogress inchargingbeneficiariesof

    thebiodiversityandcarbon sequestrationusers71.

    Strongpathdependencyinthewaypaymentsto

    service providers originated in previous forest

    subsidy schemes, however, implies considerable

    roomforimprovementintheefficiencywithwhich

    it generates ES71. While the initial success and

    visibilityoftheCostaRicaprogramhasencouraged

    experimentation elsewhere72, a more critical

    literature on the Costa Rica case73 and its

    followers28,74,75,76,77isnowemergingthatsuggestsa

    reframingoftheway incentivebasedmechanisms

    areperceived,andadeeperanalysisof the social

    and psychological dimensions of human decision

    making in response to external signals45,68,78.

    Approaches that support collectiveactionat local

    communitylevelandaddressissuesofconflictover

    land use rights are now seen as essential to

    achieve success (see section 5.4). Proponents of

    fairness dimensions as elements that need to be

    added to effectiveness and efficiency prefer the

    useofthebroaderconceptofrewards(RES)rather

    than payments for ES32,45,79. The notion of RESfocuses on the multiple goals of ecological

    sustainability, just distribution and economic

    efficiency and favours a variety of payment

    mechanisms to achieve these goals, both market

    and nonmarket80. RES further involves the

    integration of propoor elements into economic

    instruments to enhance ES with the basic

    argument that poverty alleviation has to be

    included into any portfolio to protect the

    environment, especially in developing

    countries81,82. This contrasts with the view that

    poverty alleviation can be a positive side effect,

    that canbe includedas longas itdoesnot imply

    efficiency losses83 . PES schemes are likely to

    change (and sometimes reinforce) existing power

    structure and inequalities indecision making and

    access to resources, with significant equity

    implication82,84.Whiletheprimarydecisionmaking

    powermaybe in thehandsof the buyer, their

    lack of knowledge of local conditions and

    opportunity costs isadisadvantage.Procurementauctionsweredesignedtoreducetheincentivefor

    sellerstoinflatetheircontractprices85.

    Swallow et al.43 introduced the term

    compensation and rewards for environmental

    servicestorefertoarangeofmechanismslinking

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    ecosystem stewards and environmental service

    beneficiaries, including the mechanisms normally

    included under the term payment for ecosystem

    service.Theynotedthattherelationshipsbetween

    ecosystem stewards, environmental service

    beneficiaries and intermediaries may be more

    complex than a simple transaction, with

    agreements that are not wholly voluntary and

    payments that are not wholly conditional. Based

    ontheseenrichedconcepts,recentstudiesofPES86

    tested multiple paradigms andhypotheses. Many

    oftheconclusionsofthepastdecadesupportthe

    earlier assertion that environmental functions

    dontlendthemselvestomarkettransactions87.

    4. PES and multifunctionality based on

    segregation

    (sparing)

    or

    integration

    (sharing)

    of

    landscapefunctions

    Other interpretations of the terms PES exist88 ,

    however, (Figure 4A) and inform part of the

    literature.Theyrelatetoalternativeviewsonhow

    multifunctionality of land can be achieved, by

    spatialsegregationorintegration.

    In the use of marketbased instruments to

    increase ecosystem services, as applied in

    Australia88 (Figure 4A), the ecosystem services

    production function is dominated by the natural

    capital of an area and is best served by a

    segregationapproach, inwhichagricultural inten

    sification on the best land can lead to land

    sparing, aided by incentives to take marginally

    productivelandoutofproduction.Incontrast,the

    integrationand landsharingperspectiveofFigure

    4B, suggest that the various services can be

    obtained within a land use system, with PES

    incentives modifying the internal tradeoffs

    between provisioning and other ecosystem

    services.

    The contrasting definition and perception of

    ecosystem and environmental services of Figure

    4A and B can be understood in response to the

    types of landscape in which they apply, and the

    perspective on the sparing versus sharing

    debate that reframed the segregation versus

    integration issue

    89,90

    .

    Landsparingbyreductionofthe area needed for food, feed and fiber

    production through forms of agricultural and

    silvicultural intensification (Borlaug hypothesis),

    isassociated, inaparadigm that remainspopular

    in the conservation world as well as agricultural

    industry,withexpectationsofhighlevelsofESthat

    can be provided on the land taken out or not

    neededforagriculturalorforestryproduction.The

    primarytradeoffisbetweenhowmuchlandcanbe

    taken out of production, at what cost, and what

    quantity of services this land will then provide.

    Landsharing,bycontrast, isbasedontheconcept

    ofoptimizinglandproductivityintermsof

    Figure4.Twoways the termenvironmentalservicesareunderstood in thePES literature:A.Environmental

    servicesarethesustenanceorenhancementofnaturalcapital linkedto landuse,asbasisforecosystem

    services of all types88; and B. Environmental services are ecosystem services beyond provisioning but

    influencedbylandusethatisprimarilytargetingprovisioningservices18,21,24,26,41

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    provisioning, regulating, supporting and cultural

    functions in integrated systems, rather than for

    provisioning alone.. The primary tradeoff in this

    perspective is internal to the landuse:what level

    of services can be coproduced with tradable

    goods, and how do economic incentives for ES

    modify the optimum point for the local decision

    maker. The land sparing approach may focus on

    generic instruments 1A and 1B of figure 1, the

    sparing approach requires the more specific

    targetingofinstruments1Band2B.

    PartofthePESliterature isabouttaking landout

    of production91, ecological restoration and

    nature management. Another part is about

    marginal changes in intensity of agriculture and

    use of inputs, where ES are coproduced withtradable goods. In terms of decisionmaking, the

    firstcasedealswithdiscreteoptionsandadrastic

    shiftintheprimaryfunctionofparcelsoflandwith

    relatively simple compliance checks; the second

    dealswithcontinuawith thresholdsand theneed

    to create sufficient performance criteria for

    contracts. The first situation refers to a

    segregation of landscape functions, and the

    second to integration in multifunctional

    landscapes56,57.

    The Tinbergen principle92,93,94, first formulated in

    1952, follows the basic matrix algebra principle

    whereby the number of equations has to match

    the number of unknowns for a problem to be

    solvable. Accordingly, the number of policy

    objectivesandnumberofpolicy instruments also

    have to match. As attractive as multipurpose

    policiesmayseem,theyrequirestrongcorrelations

    in the realworldbetween the targets.As carbon

    stocks and biodiversity in tropical forest margins

    areonlypartiallyrelated,optimizationforreduced

    C emissions does not give the same results as

    optimization forbiodiversityconservation,andan

    additional, corrective policy instrument may be

    needed. Similarly, poverty and environmental

    issues can be correlated over part of the space

    timedomain,buttheyarenotsufficientlycausally

    linked to expect propoor PES to maximize

    efficiency of (shortterm) ES enhancement94. The

    EU Agrienvironment scheme has only partially

    achieveditsgoals95,asadditionalgoalswereadded

    in itsdesignbeyondenhancementofES.The fully

    segregatedandfullyintegratedlandscapefunction

    options are extremes of a wide range of partial

    integrationsolutions(Table1).Intheupperpartof

    thetableahighlyreducedmatrixshowsthateach

    policyrelevant objective has its own part of the

    landscape. Synergy between objectives in such

    configuration is minimal, but policy makers can

    rapidly switch land use allocations if objectives

    changeinweight.Inthelowerhalfofthetable,all

    land use types potentially contribute to all

    objectives, and land use planning has to find a

    solution that satisfies theminimum requirementsfor each function and maximizes the aggregate

    benefit beyond this minimum condition. Under

    certain parameter conditions, a multifunctional

    approach as in the lower part of the table can

    achieve more overall functionality on the same

    landarea;thetableprovidesaformalcriterionfor

    suchanoutcome.Configurations inthe lowerhalf

    of the table can be strongly interlinked, in which

    caseallfunctionsmaybebufferedbuttheflipside

    ofthismaybethatthestatusquo istooresilient.

    As posited by various authors independently55,96,

    theconditionswheresegregationor integration is

    superior and/or where sparing or sharing would

    work best depends on the convex or concave

    shape of the tradeoff curve between multiple

    functions. Inreality,however,suchtradeoffcurves

    as the one between productivity andbiodiversity

    may have convex as well as concave parts.

    Regardless of the detailed shape of the curve, a

    graphical representation can explore under what

    conditions mixed systems can be superior,dependingonthe levelofrewardsforES.Figure5

    explores the plausible relations between flows

    (e.g., provisioning services) and stocks of an

    (agro)ecosystem. If all the utility for users

    depends on the flow, the system will be driven

    towardsthemaximumflow,regardlessofthe

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    Table 1. Relationship between land use category and policy objectives under fully segregated (only

    diagonalcellsarenonzero)andfullyintegrated(nocellsarezero)extremes56

    Land use

    category

    Policyobjective

    A

    Resource

    extraction

    B

    Economic

    growth

    C

    Centre

    based

    welfare

    D

    Decentralized

    welfare

    E

    Environmental

    integrity

    Segregated land

    useplan

    f(A) A 0 0 0 0

    f(B) 0 B 0 0 0

    f(C) 0 0 C

    0 0

    f(D) 0 0 0 D 0

    f(E) 0 0 0 0 E

    Integrated land

    useplan

    1 f(1,a) f(1,b) f(1,c) f(1,d) f(1,e)

    2 f(2,a) f(2,b) f(2,c) f(2,d) f(2,e)

    3 f(3,a) f(3,b) f(3,c) f(3,d) f(3,e)

    4 f(4,a) f(4,b) f(4,c) f(4,d) f(4,e)

    5 f(5,a) f(5,b) f(5,c) f(5,d) f(5,e)

    Total f(i,a) f(i,b) f(i,c) f(i,d) f(i,e)

    Equivalence

    requirement

    f(i,a)=A f(i,b)=B f(i,c)=C f(i,d)=D f(i,e)=E

    Multifunctionality

    advantage ifthere is a set of

    f(i)forwhich

    f(i)

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    Figure5A.Concaveandconvexshapesoftradeoffcurvesbetweenflow(harvestableyieldandotherservices)and

    stock(e.g.biodiversity,landhealthorCstock)oflandusesystems;B.totalincomebasedontheflowsplusPtimes

    the stock, forconcaveand convex tradeoffcurves;arrows indicate incomemaximizing solutionsand theupward

    shiftofstocksatincomemaximizinglandusechoices

    shape of the curve, as long as it is monotone.

    However, if economic value can be assigned to

    the secondary function (Yaxis) relative to the

    primary function (Xaxis) before optimization,

    mixed systems may be superior. For concave

    curves, there isno such solutionandoptimality

    implies a choice between the two functions; for

    convex curves intermediate solutions exist, for

    any nonzero value of the value ratio. Adding

    income value to landscapelevel, carbon and/orbiodiversitystockseffectivelymeanstiltingtheY

    axisofthebiplot(Income=Flow+P*Stock)and

    mayshiftthepointofmaximumeconomicreturn

    toahighercarbonstocktrajectory.Dependingon

    the ratio between stock and derived income

    stream and the shapeof the stockflow tradeoff

    curve,rewardsystemsforESrelatedtocarbonor

    biodiversitystockscanbeexpectedtoshiftfarmer

    decisionsonly where convex tradeoff curves are

    involved.

    5.Critiques ofPES theory andquestions arising

    fromemergingPESpractice:

    5.1 Missing metrics for environmental

    serviceperformance

    In order to get ES into the domain of market

    functions, the spatial and temporal scales at

    which performance can be measured are

    important for the way conditionality can be

    included in contracts23,24,45,97. For goods there

    typically is a value chain in which the price per

    unit substance shifts with processing, transport,

    qualitycontrolandbranding,but there isaclear

    relationshipbetweentheunitsinwhichendusers

    buy or consume goods and the way they areproduced. For most ES such relationship is

    lacking98.Whatisoneunitofwatershedfunction,

    apartfromwaterquality?99,100.Whatisoneunitof

    biodiversity, apart from the populations of

    specific, flagship species?101 Carbon stocks and

    greenhouse gas emissions are relatively easy to

    quantify, as they scale with area, in contrast to

    watershed functions and biodiversity that have

    fractal dimensions on a length scale other than

    the 2.0 of areabased scaling7. Most PES

    arrangements cannot deal with the actual

    services, buthave to accept proxies such as the

    condition of land cover that is supposed to

    enhance ES; in other cases it has to go a step

    further back towards the human actions taken

    that affect the condition of the land45. In many

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    cases trees and forests are associated with

    perceptionsofES,buttheevidenceonwhichthis

    is based may be relatively weak when held to

    scientific scrutiny102,103. Also, the contrast

    between forest and nonforest agricultural lands

    in terms of tree cover is less than often

    perceived104.However,thetypeoftreesand lack

    of right tree at right place concepts may be a

    limitation to actual ES enhancement where tree

    coverisusedasproxy105,106,107.

    Aninterestingalternativetodirectcommoditizing

    ofES (theCESparadigm45maybe split intoCES1

    and CES2, accordingly), is to tie ES to existing

    commodity flows. Ecocertification in its various

    forms is doingjust that108. It usually implies an

    aggregated ES concept rather than sharplydefined separate ES, and leaves the details to

    interactionsbetweenproducers(farmers)andthe

    design and quality control agency of the

    certificationprocess,butmultiplestandardstend

    tocompeteforconsumerattentionandintroduce

    a market element in the shaping of operational

    rulesforcertification.

    Even for carbon, performance metrics remain

    contested. Concerns over global climate change

    haveresultedinthecreationofpartialmarketsforcarbon credits, but their exchange between

    trading systems (such as the European and

    Americanmarkets)hasbeen constrainedby lack

    ofpoliticalagreementonhowtotacklethe issue

    at global scale. Partial successes in emission

    reductionwithinAnnexB countriesof theKyoto

    protocolmaywellhavebeennegatedbytheshift

    of highemission production sectors to countries

    outside the reach of the agreements. Emissions

    embodied in tradehavenot yetbeenaddressed

    by agreements and are a rapidly rising share of

    the total anthropogenic emissions. Credibility of

    national scale accounting of land use and land

    coverchange in industrializedcountries isstillso

    lowthatthissector(currentlyabout9%ofglobal

    CO2 emissions3 but a larger share for nitrous

    oxidesandmethane) isexcluded from theKyoto

    protocol. In order to create credible results, the

    voluntary Verified Carbon Scheme (VCS) and

    similar approaches have created protocols that

    aresoheavyindatarequirementthattransaction

    costsmaytakeupamajorshareofmarketvalue

    oftheresultingcredits.Thisisthecaseevenwhen

    localcommunitiesare involved indatacollection

    andmanagement109 ,andevenwith the typesof

    public funding subsidies that have characterized

    thefieldsofar.

    AninterestingaspectoftheCES2approachisthat

    it linksareabasedES concepts toproductbased

    marketsandvaluechains.Productivitylinksthese

    twomodesofexpressionandsomeofthenewer

    ecocertification approaches, such as those for

    cacao

    110

    , indeed have minimum standards forproductionperha,toreducetheleakageriskthat

    locally ESfriendly but lowproductivity land uses

    mayotherwisehave.

    5.2 A real business case? Motivation for

    buyers

    Theprofileofcompaniesonpollutionprevention

    has been found111 to correlate with firmlevel

    financial performance after controlling for

    variables traditionally thought to explain such

    performance. Reduction in emissions of toxic

    chemicals,within the legal limits,wasassociated

    witha substantial increase inmarketvalue,with

    magnitudeoftheeffectsvaryingacrossindustries.

    This correlation may reflect that good

    management practices that reduce the

    environmental loading can also, independently,

    increase asset value. Data such as these have

    already led to reduced costs of borrowing for

    clean companies from banks an indirect but

    potentially important aspect of the businesscaseforenvironmentalmanagementinpolluting

    industries.

    What about the "business case for PES"? A

    wellquoted example of the early PES literature

    refers to the New York drinking water company

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    and its interactionswith theCatskills catchment.

    Rather than spending $8$10 billion (112)112 on

    mandatedwaterpurificationinstallations,thecity

    engaged in preventive actions and negotiated

    withlocalgovernments intheCatskillswatershed

    toenact landuse restrictions thatwouldprotect

    the water supply. Although in general this case

    demonstrated that prevention can be cheaper

    than cure, the business case arose in a well

    regulatedenvironmentwherethecitycouldavoid

    costs imposed by rules that were themselves

    preventive.Similarly,asurveyofthebusinesscase

    ofexistingPES in thePhilippines113with indepth

    interviews of public and private enterprises

    engaged in PES brought to light that most

    companiessawaclearbusinesscase for themto

    make such payments, but the business caseconsistedlargelyoftheneedtomaintainrelations

    withgovernmentauthoritieswhoseconsentthey

    needed to continue operating permits. Early

    investors inPES inKenya include flowergrowers

    in the Lake Naivasha area whose business case

    depends on export markets and associated

    customerperceptions inEuropeanmarket.Inthis

    sense ES probably relate to customer loyalty in

    thesamewayasotherservicedimensionsviaan

    aggregate corporate image in the system1

    brainofcustomers114.

    5.3Motivationalcrowdingout:motivationforES

    providers

    The role of social motivation and persuasion as

    the thirdpart of the carrot, stick, and sermon

    triangle115isonlygraduallyenteringthedebateon

    environmental and resource management116,117.

    The interface of social motivation and

    monetization of ES is not trivial, and an

    economicceteris paribusassumption that PES

    should enhance the supply of such services has

    been challenged both by laboratory evidence

    from behavioral economists118,119,120 and

    emerging experience in the context of rural

    development61,121,122,123. Numerous experimental

    studies have found that a monetary incentive

    crowds out alternate sources of motivation to

    performa taskorengage inprosocialbehaviour.

    Thesestudieshavefoundthatsmallpaymentscan

    actually reduce levels of desired behaviour

    relative to abaseline118, or that when payments

    end,thelevelofthedesiredbehaviourreducesto

    a level below its baseline before payment was

    introduced124 (Deci1971).Thisbodyof research,

    which is largely outside the realm of natural

    resourcemanagement,raisesthequestionofhow

    theutilitarian framingofecologicalconcernsand

    market strategies can modify the way humans

    perceiveandrelatetonature. Additionalstudies

    areneeded intherealmofconservation inorder

    tohelpgainabetterunderstandingoftheextent

    to which monetary incentives are more likely to

    have positive or counterproductive effectsregardingconservationaims125.

    Concernsaboutmotivationcrowdingoutalsoare

    relevant where collective action is required to

    protectnaturalresourcesthatcommunitygroups

    manage as common property. The theoretical

    literature on PES cited in this review tends to

    ignorethechallengesofelicitingcollectiveaction

    in a group contract; there is an implied

    assumptionthatcollectiveactionwilltakecareof

    itself if the payment is well calibrated126.

    However, research on management of the

    commonsandonthepsychologicalfoundationsof

    motivation give strong reasons to anticipate

    difficulties in theuseof monetary incentives for

    environmental services derived from common

    property.Commons literaturearguesthatgroups

    must build trust gradually to be able to

    function127,128 . In addition, inmany casespro

    socialmotivationsamongstindividualsarerooted

    in intrinsic motivators, such as long standingtraditionsornorms that favorcollectiveaction129130

    or concern about self image131, or public

    image132. Where collective action is driven by

    social, nonpecuniary norms, the introduction of

    monetary incentives can undermine the social

    norms and thus weaken instead of strengthen

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    collective action133. Although such studies were

    notundertakenspecifically in thecontextofPES,

    they point to a need for more research to

    understand how monetary or other incentive

    types interact with prosocial motivation and

    collectiveaction.

    The emerging experience with auctions in a

    developing country context suggests that these

    aresocialinteractionsofarathercomplexnature,

    rather than simple experimental procedures to

    establishacorrectprice134,135,136.

    5.4PESinthepoverty*environmentnexus

    PES literature often highlights a potential

    compatibility between environmental

    conservation and poverty reduction especiallywhenpoorhouseholdsarecontracted to receive

    payments in return for theirconservationefforts21,137.An importantreasonbehind thispremise is

    that in many developing countries, landscapes

    with high potential to provide ES are also

    inhabited by a high proportion of poor people.

    However, it would be simplistic to assume that

    the poor can easily participate in such PES

    projectsorthattheywillbenefitsignificantlyonce

    incentive payments are disbursed 138. In some

    projects, researchers have found that poorhouseholds are able to participate79, while in

    others participation seems to have been limited

    torelativelywelloff landowners75.Indeed,there

    arestrongbarriersthatmayrestricttheextentto

    which poor households can access PES projects.

    These include lack of clear tenure, lack of land,

    high transaction costs, and high upfront

    investments needed to adopt new land use

    practices26,94. Thepooroftendonothavesecure

    landtitle,whichmaybarthemfromobtainingPES

    contracts.This isespecially true forservicessuch

    ascarbonsequestration,wherepaymentsaretied

    tointendedpermanenceoftheservice.Withouta

    clear land title, it may be difficult for those

    withoutlandtitletoconvincebuyersthattheycan

    ensure the flow of services in the future139.

    Landlesspoororthosewithouttitlemayinfactbe

    ineligible to participate in such PES programs.

    Similarly, in the case of rented land, tenants

    cannot promise anything about longterm land

    usewithoutinputfromthelandowner.Also,ifthe

    possibility of environmental service payments

    makes the land more valuable, the landowner

    may either increase the rent or discontinue the

    lease, possibly disrupting the renters

    livelihood140.

    Transaction costs (here interpreted as costs of

    negotiating, implementing, monitoring and

    enforcing PES contracts) are generally

    independentof thesizeof thecontract involved,

    which means PES programs that contract many

    smallholdersfacemorecostsperunitoflandand

    servicesthanthosethatcontractwithonlyafew

    largelandowners.ThusPESarrangementsfocused

    on individual landholdings may be less viable

    wherethere isahighconcentrationofverysmall

    farms. Service buyers may try to contract with

    large landholders rather than small ones, which

    would exclude the poor. For instance, to limit

    transactioncoststhePROFAFORcarbonprojectin

    Ecuador signed individual carbon contracts only

    withfarmersowningat least50hectaresof land,

    thus restricting the participation of the local

    smallholders in project activities104. Similarly,

    initialinvestmentcosts(buyingseedlingsorhiring

    labor), opportunity costs (loss of benefits from

    existing landusethatneedstobereplaced),and

    risksassociatedwithpotentialbenefits fromnew

    landuseallaffecttheparticipationbythepoor141.

    Itispossibletopayanadditionalsumtocoverthe

    additional costs for poor households to

    participate; empirical estimates142 of what such

    approachwouldcostforatreeplantingprojectin

    Tanzania are available. However, it is hard to

    imagine thatallbuyersofESwouldbewilling topaythispremium.

    The second related issue is theactual impacton

    households once they do participate in PES

    projects.EvidenceofeconomicbenefitsfromPES

    is mixed. In one of the first studies on local

    impactsofforestcarbonprojects143,theScolelTe

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    project in Mexico was found to have a positive

    effectonhousehold incomes in theprojectarea.

    In contrast, an evaluation144 of the Noel Kempff

    project in Bolivia had a mixed effect, with net

    benefitsforthelargemajorityoflocalpeoplebut

    a large proportion of community members

    expressing dissatisfaction with the project as it

    had not met their expectations . Managing

    expectations isachallenge inall suchefforts;an

    initialhypephasehelpstogetattention,butmay

    lead to disappointment later on . In a more

    comprehensive impactstudy 145ofPESpayments

    in a local community in Mozambique, effective

    levels ofper capita payment and impacts were

    found to be small when compared to increased

    employment benefits from developmental

    activities of the project. On the other hand,provision of rewards in the form of longterm

    tenuresecurity for localfarmers in Indonesiahas

    had a positive impact on the households

    livelihoods146.The interactionofPESwithpoverty

    is therefore still far from well understood and

    moreempiricalresearch isneededtounderstand

    thepovertyenvironmentnexus.

    Gender dimensions of the poverty*environment

    nexus have been studied in terms of gender

    differentiated roles in interactingwithwaterand

    landresources147.Perspectivesonrelativemaleor

    female poverty depend on the criteria and

    methods of assessment148. Where PES contracts

    arenegotiatedatcommunityscaleitmaybehard

    for outsiders to challenge existing gender roles

    and biases, without introducing an additional

    objective to an already complex set of social

    norms149.

    5.5Areclearproperty rightsaprecondition for

    PES?

    Skewed landdistributionoftencompels thepoor

    tosurvivebycultivatingmarginal landerosion

    proneslopesandotherenvironmentalproblems.

    Without tenure, and often with only passing

    claimsonthelandtheycultivate,thepoorareless

    likely to make investments to protect natural

    resources36. Looking back at Figure 1, the PES

    arrow(B2)iscontingentonrightstouse(A2),and

    the rights for individual households are

    constrainedbyoverall landusepolicies (A1),just

    asPES isconstrainedbyoveralleconomicpolicies

    (B1). For Indonesia, where large tracts of forest

    land are underperforming in terms of ES but

    remain claimed by the state, the forestry

    regulatory framework may (over some parts of

    thedomain?)havetobereplacedbyanagrarian

    one150. Conflicting claims are the primary

    bottleneck to any carbon related PES in the

    peatlandsof centralKalimantan 151. Yet,positive

    examples exist where resolution of conflicts and

    implementation of community forest

    management, with certain conditionality with

    regards to maintenance of ES, has allowed localESfriendly investment in land uses152. In other

    cases, formal recognition was not required153

    when the general positive perception of ES

    friendly landuseallowedfarmerstoreclaimtheir

    de facto landuse rights from the state. Inother

    situations,resolvingtenureissueshasbeenapre

    cursortootherformsofPES154.Thecoinvestment

    paradigm45 allows such steps to be discussed

    under the wide umbrella of PES, rather than

    putting tenure securityasaprecondition forPES

    effortsanddisqualifyingalargepartoftherural

    poor.

    5.6 Is thereenoughPES funding forapplications

    atscale?

    Most of the PES literature so far has looked at

    specialcaseswhereahighlocalinterestinESwas

    the starting point of PES experiments. To check

    how special those situations must be, a recent

    study 65 considered the supply/demand

    relationship and the relative income additions

    that upland people might obtain from supplying

    watershed services to their downstream

    neighbors. Thepercapitabenefitspossibleinthe

    uplands,RPu,werefoundtobe:

    RPu=(AdAu1)(IdIu

    1.)(du1)d(1T)(1u).

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    which consists of a number of dimensionless

    ratios of values upstream (subscript u) and

    downstream (subscript d): area (A), income (I),

    populationdensity (P), thewillingness topay by

    downstream beneficiaries (d) relative to their

    income,transactioncostsTandtheoffsetfraction

    u of what is received in upstream areas. If a

    tentativethreshold forRPu issetasa5% income

    increase before upstream land users might take

    noticeoftheopportunityandrespond,theresults

    areatleastafactor4off,whendataforIndonesia

    areused. This implies that this typeof financial

    transfercanhardlybeexpectedtomakeadentin

    rural poverty in the uplands, but it can be

    significantinanonnegligiblesubsetofsituations.

    Nonfinancialpaymentpotentiallyopensaccesstocritical livelihood capitals that might be lacking

    within theESprovidercommunities.This typeof

    payment is usually considered as indirect and

    patronizing, while cash payment is frequently

    seenasmore flexible forESproviders toconvert

    to localgoodsandservices.Casestudies inAsia65

    andLatinAmerica63indicatedthata nonfinancial

    payment was preferred by some of the local

    communitiesinvolvedbecauseofseveralreasons,

    suchaslimitedcapabilityoflocalcommunitiesfor

    savings, investment and entrepreneurship.

    Observations in developing countries reveal that

    both financial and nonfinancial payments might

    face complexbureaucraticandhighly contagious

    collusion because the PES governance is still

    unclear, formally and informally. However, this

    situation might be contextual as an Indonesian

    case in Cidanau watershed62 showed that cash

    payment had been successfully transformed to

    independent smallscale business and

    infrastructure(i.e.,publicaccesstocleanwaterbydevelopingsimplepipingsystem).

    5.7 CanREDD provide international funding for

    localPES?

    ThepotentialforinternallygeneratedPESfunding

    may be limited, once expressed on a per capita

    basis,but theCostaRicacasepresentedanearly

    example of international funds supporting a

    domesticpolicyforESoriented incentives.Atthe

    start of the international debate on REDD+,

    reducing emissions from deforestation and

    (forest) degradation plus forest stock

    enhancement, the focus was on national scale

    efforts. As the preceding avoided deforestation

    had shown, leakage cannot be contained in a

    piecemeal projectbyproject approach. To

    achievetheREDD+goals,atgigaeconomicscale,

    a multiscale, layered effort is needed that

    reaches down to micro and picoeconomic

    aspects.Intheinternationalnegotiationsissuesof

    pride and sovereignty have been at least as

    important and hard to deal with as issues of

    carbon price and data collection to supportrealistic performancebased systems. As soon as

    expectationsoffundingforadditionaleffortswere

    raised, existing norms for national forest policy

    appeared to be crowded out. Yet, international

    effortstobringtransparencytosectorsknownfor

    corruption and highlevel support for illegal

    logging,seemedtorequireafullcommoditization:

    if the same currencies (money and carbon stock

    changes) are used across the value chain, elite

    capture can be more easily quantified and

    reported.

    EarlyclaimsonperverseincentiveswithPESapplications in the context of tropical forests,suggesting that direct payments forenvironmentalservicesspelldoomforsustainableforest management in the tropics, could still beeasily dismissed155. In view of the complexity ofmultiscaledriversofchange inforestextentandcondition, in socioecologicaleconomicsystems156, and the contested nature of tenureand ownership of large tracts of forest, theclaimants for a piece of the pie are many andnegotiationscomplex.Manyattemptsweremadeto bypass local and/or national governments inlinking international finance to local action toprotectforestandclaimemissionreductiontheymay all be bound to fail. A nested, multiscaleapproachmaywellhavetobepolyparadigmatic,

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    changingfacebetween,butsynergizing,CES,COSand CIS paradigms157. In countries with existingpublic sector payment schemes for forestmanagement,REDD+canbeaddedtothebundleofservicesrewardedatrelatively lowtransactioncosts,aslongasthecorrelationsbetweenforestC

    stocks and other services are sufficientlytight158,159,160,161.

    6.Discussion

    6.1Challenges inbridgingacross temporal scales

    andassociateddiscountrates

    PESwasconceivedasalternativeorcomplement

    togovernmentprograms,givingagreaterstaketo

    local communities and landusers,with a simple

    way to convey the relative merit of variousalternative land uses through the details of the

    conditionalityclausesinacontract.Wemayhave,

    however,come fullcircleback to the conceptof

    investing in natural capital: the ecological

    economics approach to sustainability162. The

    financial transfers that have so far been

    effectuated49, 163are farbelow thetruevalueto

    society that studies such as TEEB (19)19 are

    documenting164.Thismightimplythatthecurrent

    framing of ES is less universally shared among

    stakeholders than assumed and that it needs to

    be further contextualized165. In the meso

    American countries Costa Rica and Mexico that

    pioneered in thePESapproachatnational scale,

    the link between measurement, value and

    paymentisfarfromresolved166

    It may also imply that the interaction betweengovernmentpoliciesandPESmechanismshasnotbeen fully understood167. The crowding out ofsocial norms at the community and government

    level may reduce the effectiveness of the fundsspent (picoeconomic leakage). The concept ofaltruismandprosocialbehaviorhaveemergedaskeytoadeeperunderstandingofthese feedbackmechanisms.Referringback to the five scalesofeconomicanalysis,wehave so far seen thatPESwasinitiallyperceivedasprimarilyaimingtobringmicroeconomic decision making at individual,

    household or farm level in line with the longerterminterestsatmeso ormacroeconomiclevels.Much of the discussion so far has been on therecent advances in picoeconomics of decisionmakingwhen humans are offered choices. Fromthe other side of the scale, gigaeconomics, an

    equally important challenge arises, as futureresourcescarcityneeds tobeproperlyweighted;iftemporalscaling(discountrates)differasmuchassuggested inTable2, it isunrealistictoexpectanysinglepricetoemergeasreflectingtruevalue.Differential time scales and discount rates makeadaptation a more tangible entry point fordiscussionson climate change than mitigation,even though treesand forests canplaya role inboth107,168.Two main differences between pico and micro

    economics can be summarized in the way future

    options are discounted. While microeconomics(system2 brain functions) operate at apparent

    discount rates that relate to the costs and risks of

    borrowing money, the system 1 goes for instant

    rewards,preferringwhat's in frontofone'seyesover

    almostanypromiseoflargeramountsinanearfuture.

    Atthesametime,picoeconomicsrespondstronglyto

    socialnorms(tentativelylabeledassystem3here,but

    requiringfurtherstudy inrelationtosystems1and2),

    whichappears tooperateatnearzerodiscountrates,

    as lifetime values appear to be at play. Financial

    motivations tend towinoutwhen socialand financial

    motivationsaremixedinexperimentalsettings169,andthe way pico andmicro economic spheres interact is

    incompletelyunderstood.

    In micro as well as macroeconomics,

    importantcategoriesofhumanmediatedservices

    are considered as equivalent to goods, with

    markets approximating a price (exchange rate)

    that reflects options for producers to switch

    betweenways toearna living.Macro economic

    scales differ in discount rates, linked to lower

    levels of perceived risk for aggregated entitiessuch as nation states or large companies

    comparedtohouseholds especially ifthe latter

    don't have secure ownership or resource use

    rights. The difference between private and

    socialdiscountratesisanimportantpartofthe

    PolicyAnalysisMatrixapproach170,171,andcan

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    Table2.Comparisonacrossfivescalesofeconomicanalysisoftheapparentdiscountrates

    Economics Decisionmaking Discount rate for goods

    and human/ social

    services

    Environmentalserviceissues

    Pico Brainsynapse Goods:>100%/day

    Social:~0%

    Crowdingoutsocialnorms Suasion efforts for inter

    nalizationforESproducers

    Feelgood social statusmotivationforbuyers

    Micro Household ~20%/year

    PES operational domain, adaptation

    to global climate change, dealing

    withinvasivesandbiodiversityloss

    Meso Landscape,

    Enterprise

    ~10%/year

    Macro Nation ~5%/year

    Giga Global natural

    resources

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    system1 feature thatmodifies thesystem2

    utility. There appear to be clear patterns in

    theconditionsunderwhichrisktakingcan

    be expected (i.e., i. hope to avoid loss,

    perceived high probability of loss but small

    chance to get bailed out; and ii. hope of

    large gain, perceived low probability of

    substantialnetgain,withoutriskofloss),and

    when riskavoidancemayprevail (iii. fear

    ofdisappointment,highprobability,butno

    certainty, of net gain; and iv. fear of large

    loss, low probability of substantial loss).

    Wheretheportrayalas lossorgaindepends

    on theanchoringorbenchmark, rather than

    objectiveeffect,shiftsfromrisktakingtorisk

    avoidance can be under the influence of

    communicationstyles

    Prospecttheoryallowsmuchofthegains in

    economicequationstoberetainedbymerely

    replacingutilitybyprospect.Theframingof

    issues, however, suggest incomplete reverse

    bility.

    PES instrumentsgenerallytry toreducethe

    gap between the overall prospects for the

    decision maker (at a specific scale) and the

    prospects as evaluated at other scales.

    Internalization of externalities is fully achieved

    when the prospect evaluations have become

    independentof scale;maybe it helps if a term

    such as weakly internalized replaces

    externality, to indicate space forquantitative,

    gradual shifts.PES relates financialbenefits for

    privateorcorporatedecisionmakerstooptions

    thatminimizeenvironmentaldamage forother

    scale levels. Such financial transfers, however,

    are part of a complex crossscale crossvalue

    exchange, and cannot assume to be ceteris

    paribus, as the financial transfers can involve

    broaderinteractions.Wemay,however,havetogoonestepfurther ifwewanttobringpicoto

    giga economics into a single framework. The

    bounded rationality concept implies that, in

    contrasttotheassumptionthatthere isperfect

    information and unlimited intellectual

    capacities,wemusttakeintoaccountthata

    Table3.Classificationofprospectsovercapitaltypesxandactor levels i,withassociateddiscountratesand

    affinityvector

    Accountingstance (scaleof economicanalysis)

    Affinity Discountrate

    SumsofdiscountedbenefitsminuscostsFinancial Human Social Natural Infra

    structure

    Fin Hum Soc Nat Inf

    Private (pico,

    micro)

    Apriv rpriv bF,p,cF,p bH,p,cH,p bS,p,cS,p

    bN,p,cN,p

    bI,p,cI,p

    Local (pico,

    micro)

    Aloc rloc bF,l,cF,l bH,l,cH,l bS,l,cS,l bN,l,cN,l bI,l,cI,l

    Downstream

    (meso)

    Adownst rdownst bF,d,cF,d bH,d,cH,d bS,d,cS,d

    bN,d,cN,d

    bI,d,cI,d

    Corporate

    (meso)

    Acorp rcorp bF,c,cF,c bH,c,cH,c bS,c,cS,c

    bN,c,cN,c bI,c,cI,c

    National

    (macro)

    Anat rnat bF,n,cF,n bH,n,cH,n bS,n,cS,n

    bN,n,cN,n

    bI,n,cI,n

    Global(giga) Aglob rglob bF,g,cF,g bH,g,cH,g bS,g,cS,g

    bN,g,cN,g bI,g,cI,g

    Universal Auniv Religionmediatedconcernsbeyondcapitalsapplyatscalesbeyondglobe

    Note: 1 indicatesestimateofallcostandbenefittermsratherthantruevalue

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    landownersmayfailtofindtheoptimaladoptionof

    theirlanduseinthepresenceofcomplicatedspatial

    evaluationrules174,175.Ingenericframeworkdecision

    making at any scale can be analyzed to be the

    outcomeofaweighing(bybrainsystems1,2and3

    in different and still poorly understood ways) of

    optionsbasedon176:

    a)asetofoptions,

    b)asetofcriteria(compareTable1),

    c) expectations of how the various options will

    performagainstthesecriteriaovertime,

    d) incomplete information on merits (or costs and

    benefits)

    d) a way of summarizing timebased performance

    intoasingleattribute,

    e)anoperationalweighingofthecriteria,and

    f)anallocationof resourcesacrossoneormoreof

    theoptions.

    Based on Table 3, we can conceptualize a

    simpleprospectfunctionforeachaccountingstance

    i could be an affinityweighted sum of expected

    benefits and costs across the various asset types(capitals) x, and across allother scales (accounting

    stances) i, each discounted with an appropriate

    discountraterx,iandweightedbywx,i:

    Prospecti = i Ai x wx,i t(bx,i,tc x,i,t)/(1+ rx i)t

    (2)

    Inpracticemanytermswillhavenegligiblysmall

    values formanyoftheagents/decisionmakers,but

    wecansee thattherearemultipleentrypoints for

    nudging decisions towards greater ES performance

    via,A,w,ror:

    : increasing knowledge of costs and benefits to

    othersofactionsanddecisionsbythefocalagent,

    A:increasingaffinityandsenseofbelonging,

    w: modifying the implicit weighting factors across

    capitaltypes,

    r:discountratecomponent reflectingthescaleand

    itsassociatedriskaggregation,

    : discount rate component reflecting the type ofcapital.

    A number of parallel approaches have been

    proposedthatcanbeseenassimplificationsofthis

    genericscheme:

    a) Valuingecosystemservices isaimedat findingthe exchange rates (wx,i) across capitals and

    expressing all in financial terms19; however this

    approach is challenged by the intrinsically

    differentdiscountratesandinstitutionalcontextsthat tie any specific conversion factor to an a

    priori choice of time frame, along with evolving

    sciencebasedunderstandingofESdynamics

    b) Carrots (positive incentives leading to increasebF,p)and sticks (enforced regulations leading to

    increase cF,p) interact with sermons that

    enhance the affinity vector for other scales,

    reducethediscountratesforcapitalsotherthan

    financial and scales other than private, and

    increase knowledge of expected costs andbenefitsbeyondprivatefinancialgains.

    c) Crowding out social motivation where bF,p,cF,pinteractwithbS,p,cS,p;preferencesexpressed ina

    social (group) context may differ from those

    expressedindividually(175)177

    d) CES forms of PES/CRES, e.g., from national toprivatescales,translatethe(bN,n cN,n bN,p+cN,p)

    differential into bF,p terms, with market

    mechanisms determining the right price that

    apparently expresses the value for external

    stakeholders

    e) COS formsofPES/CRESdoes the samebutwithpricesdeterminedatbroadernegotiation tables

    andabroaderrangeofinteractionswithrules

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    f) CISformsofPES/REScantakeinamuchbroaderrangeofvaluesanddiscountrates

    6.3 A new comprehensive altruism framework

    anditsapplications

    In the simplified form of two levels, private andother and a uniform relative weighting of the

    variouscapitals,equation2resemblestheequation

    George Price developed for the emergence of

    altruismasprobleminevolutionarybiology:

    Figure 6. George Price178 clarified in 1968 that a cova

    riancematrixbetween individualandaggregatebenefits

    canreconcilealtruismandselfishgenes.

    InasenseGeorgePricesequation foraltruism

    (subordinating private utility to that of a broader

    group) specifies conditions for internalization of

    externalities,as itshowsthat thebest interestsof

    the individualcanmatch thoseofabroadergroup,

    as long as the benefitminuscost differential is

    balanced by the social cohesion term. The affinityparameterisscaledbetween 1and+1andincludes

    foesaswellasfriends.

    6.4MultiscaleframingofREDD+linkedtomultiple

    PESparadigms

    Comingbacktothemultiscale institutionalframing

    of the REDD+ agenda, a multiparadigmatic

    approach appears to be logical: at national scale

    property rights are clear (national borders),

    performancemeasuresat this scalehave absorbed

    most of the crosslandscape leakage, and

    permanence can focus on continuity of accounting

    rulesataggregated levels.ACESparadigmofcross

    nationalcarbontradeisfeasible.Betweenanational

    scale and its subnational entities (sectorbased or

    geographically defined), a COS paradigm of

    compensating for choices on the development/

    environment possibility frontier is appropriate. At

    locallevel,aCISparadigmisappropriateandcanbe

    usedtocreatecomanagementregimesandgreater

    clarity in resource use rights. A key challenge,

    however, is to maintain transparency in such a

    multiparadigmatic approach, given the tendencies

    toelitecapture, lowaccountability (corruption)and

    electioncyclepoliticalbiases.Inthefuturedirection

    paragraph we therefore put these ideas in

    hypothesis format: there is some evidence that

    supportstheideas,butacriticalglobalcomparisonis

    needed.

    6.5Closingremarks

    Finally,at thegigaeconomicscale theconcerns forplanetary boundaries179 and the need for more

    targeted, more rapid, more transparent and moreinnovative feedback loops remains urgent, ascurrentfeedbackdoesnotkeepupwiththerateofchange intheplanetearthsystem.Theexpectationthat PES could provide flexible, effective and fairfeedback loops has only partially be met. Sometwentyyearsbeforethe1992Rioconference,adviceto the Club of Rome called for reshaping theinternational order (RIO)180. Twenty years after1992, that call is urgent as it was then181. Unlessglobal agreements and policies set the pace andclarifytheboundaries,marketbasedESapproaches

    will only serve subsystems and may make thingsworse for others. We thus end on a ratherpessimisticnoteontheprospectsforPEStoserveasa panacea to align ecology and economics. Theoptimistwillnotehowfarwehaveprogressedfromthe stoneage economics182 at the start of theAnthropocene183andbe lessconcernedthatwestillhave a way to go. The realist will appreciate theprogressmade,butseethepaceastooslow184.

    FUTUREISSUESThe following set of issues at the interface of PES

    praxis and interdisciplinary research may guide

    futureefforts:

    H1: Crossscale mechanisms for fair and efficient

    enhancementofES(betheywater,biodiversity

    orclimaterelated)needtoacknowledge

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    differencesinclarityofrightsandperformance

    measures between local, subnational and

    national scales that reshape fairness and

    efficiencyconceptsatscaletransitions.

    H2: At national borders an international form of

    commoditized environmental services carbon

    trade is feasible that links performance on

    verifiable emissions reduction below

    internationally agreed reference levels, to

    financialflows(CES1paradigm).

    H3: In response to consumer concerns over the

    consequence of current modes of production

    international trade will increasingly include

    voluntary and mandatory standards for

    emissions reduction and biodiversity

    conservation linkedtocommodityvaluechains

    that provide incentives for reduced emission

    land use and reducing biodiversity threats

    (CES2paradigm)

    H4:Fromnational tosubnationalentitiesa formof

    compensating for opportunities skipped is

    appropriate,usingproxiessuchasforestcover

    in relation to human population density,

    combining biodiversity, watershed concerns

    andGHGemissions(COSparadigm)

    H5: At local level, property rights and outcome

    basedperformancecriteriaareachallengetoa

    $ per t CO2 exchange and coinvestment in

    environmental services (interpreted across

    water, biodiversity and Cstocks) and the

    humanand