july 2012 energizing alaska: electricity around the state · energizing alaska: electricity around...
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Energizing Alaska: Electricity Around the StateJuly 2012
This publication is mostly about electricity in Alaska: how it’s generated, how much fuel is used to produce it, how fuel sources have shifted over time, and how prices vary. An inside foldout map shows how individual communities throughout the state generate electricity.
But besides looking in detail at electricity, it also reports more broadly on energy in Alaska. It includes our estimates of all the types of energy produced and consumed in Alaska, and summarizes changes over time in the prices and amounts of energy Alaskans use.
The information is from analyses we prepared for the Alaska Energy Authority (see back page). We’ve used the best and most recent data, but there’s a two-year time lag before some types of data are available, and in other cases we made estimates, based on limited information.
About 57% of the electricity Alaskans use is generated by natural gas, another 22% by hydropower, 15% by diesel, and 6% by coal. Wind still produces a very small part of electricity statewide, but use of wind power is growing rapidly. Figure 1 previews the more detailed foldout map, showing how some communities around Alaska generate electricity. Many places use more than one power source.
Here we first highlight some findings and then provide more detail inside.
• Utilities around Alaska used about 1.7 million barrels of diesel, 40 bil-lion cubic feet of natural gas, and 410 thousand tons of coal to produce electricity in 2010 (Figure 1). But converting energy sources to electricity is a very inefficient process. In 2008, Alaska’s electrical sector consumed about three times as much energy as it produced in electricity (Figure 4).• Six times as much electricity was produced in Alaska in 2010 as in 1970, with an increasing share from natural gas and hydropower and a declin-ing share from coal. Wind power was also introduced (Figure 2).• Use of electricity from hydropower increased more than 10% per capita in Alaska since 1975, even as the population more than tripled. A number of large and small hydroelectric projects were constructed over the past sev-eral decades, largely subsidized by federal and state money.• More than two dozen utilities will be using wind to generate part of their electricity by the end of 2012, up from 7 in 2008. A number of other com-munities plan to add wind systems. Most of the existing wind power is on Kodiak Island and in small communities in western Alaska (inside map).• Alaska produces about five times more energy than it consumes, because of North Slope oil. The biggest use of energy in Alaska is for transportation and the smallest is for residential purposes (Figure 4).
Wind: Less than 0.5%
15%Diesel 6%
Coal
Natural gas57%Hydro
22%
Percentages of Statewide Generation, 2010 Snapshot of Selected Communities
Fuel Used Statewide, 2010Diesel: 1.664 Million Barrels Natural Gas: 40 Billion Cubic FeetCoal: 410 Thousand Short Tons
Fairbanks
Anchorage
Juneau
Barrow
Kodiak
Sources: Alaska Energy Authority; U.S. Energy Information Administration; authors’ calculations
Kaktovik
Nome
Anaktuvuk Pass
Angoon
Glennallen
Unalaska
Iliamna
Ruby
Kwigillingok
Dillingham
Sleetmute
ShishmarefKotzebue
Metlakatla
HoonahHomer
Akutan
Lime Village
Point Hope
Fort Yukon
Sitka
Kobuk
Natural Gas
Diesel
Hydropower
CoalWind
Key to Symbols
Figure 1. How is Electricity Generated Around Alaska?(Net Generation 2010: 6.5 Million MWh)
Research Summary No. 73
By Alejandra Villalobos Melendez and Ginny Fay
Institute of Social and Economic Research• University of Alaska Anchorage
2
SourceS and PriceS of electricityNatural gas discovered in Cook Inlet in the 1950s has been used to gen-
erate increasingly more electricity in Southcentral Alaska over the past several decades, as the region’s population grew.
The electrical intertie linking utilities from the Kenai Peninsula to Fair-banks—the Railbelt—now gives most Railbelt communities some access to electricity from natural gas. But constraints on natural gas supplies, gen-eration, and intertie capacity limit the amount of lower-priced electricity moved from Southcentral to Interior Alaska.
The Railbelt region also has some hydropower, and the largest commu-nities in Southeast Alaska rely largely on hydropower. Some smaller com-munities in that region also benefit from hydropower, but others still have to rely entirely on diesel.
Diesel is used to generate electricity in most remote communities, although a growing number are supplementing diesel with wind and other renewable energy sources. Barrow and Nuiqsut on the North Slope have ac-cess to natural gas from local fields. Some of the electricity for Fairbanks and surrounding areas is generated with diesel and naphtha, as well as coal.
Figure 3 shows how sources of electricity affect prices and use. • Communities that get electricity mostly from hydropower have the low-
est prices—because government subsidized costs of building hydropower facilities—and the highest use. Petersburg and Metlakatla are examples.
• Places that have access to natural gas, as well as some hydropower, have mid-range use and prices. That includes Anchorage and Fairbanks.• Places that rely mostly on diesel have the highest prices and the lowest use. That includes communities throughout Western, Interior, and Northern Alaska, as well as those in Southeast without hydropower. These places are generally eligible for payments under the Power Cost Equalization program, a state program that reduces prices of electricity for residential customers (see note on Figure 3).
Sources: Alaska Energy Authority; U.S. Energy Information Administration; authors’ calculations
Without Power Cost EqualizationWith Power Cost Equalization (see note below)
*In the 1980s, Alaska’s state government funded some large hydroelectric projects, and many residents of Southeast and Southcentral Alaska have lower electric rates as a result. At the same time, the state established the Power Cost Equalization program, which helps reduce the price of electricity by paying eligible utilities part of the price of electricity for residential customers and community facilities. Communities eligible for PCE assistance are determined by state statute, based on local prices of electricity.
Figure 3. Average Annual Residential Use of Electricity and Price per 500 kWh, Selected Alaska Communities, 2010*
Petersburg
Metlakatla
Fairbanks
Anchorage
Barrow
Cordova
Kivalina
Toksook Bay
Diomede
Allakaket
Healy Lake
White Mountain
Lime Village
Average Annual Use, Total kWh Price per 500 kwh13,819
11,808
8,121
7,341
7,649
6,415
5,841
5,389
3,059
2,927
2,843
1,846
1,075
$50
$45
$100
$65
$60
$175$120
$280$180
$255$105
$300$70
$100
$110
$220
$760$465
7,670Alaska $75
$365
$325
$360
Hoonah 4,945 $276$173
Metlakatla
Petersburg
Railbelt
Barrow
Anchorage
Diomede
White Mountain
Kivalina
Fairbanks
Cordova
Healy LakeToksook Bay
Lime Village
Allakaket
HoonahPetersburg
1971 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 0199 03 05 07 09 2010
Natural Gas
DieselCoal
Wind
Figure 2. Electricity Generated in Alaska Over Time, by Fuel Type
Hydro
6.5 GWh
1.1 GWh
3
energy Produced and conSumed in alaSka, 2008Until now we’ve discussed generation and use of electricity. But
Figure 4 looks at Alaska’s total energy picture: it shows our estimates of all the energy produced and consumed in Alaska, as of 2008. We don’t have complete data for more recent years. The figures are in trillion Brit-ish Thermal Units (Btus), a standard measure of energy content that allows comparison across energy types. Figure 5 shows the equivalent of a trillion Btus, in barrels of oil and other common units.• North Slope oil accounts for more than three-quarters of Alaska’s energy production. Most of that oil is exported, but some is refined into gasoline and other petroleum products used in Alaska.• Natural gas from Cook Inlet is used locally, mainly for residential and commercial uses, while most gas extracted on the North Slope is reinjected to boost oil production. The oil producers use some for their North Slope operations, and two North Slope communities have access to natural gas.
• About 40% of the small amount of coal produced in Alaska is exported, and the rest is used mainly for producing electricity in the Fairbanks area.• Fuel for transportation makes up nearly half the energy consumed in Alaska, and jet fuel alone accounts for a third of total consumption. But almost all that fuel is for flights into and out of the state’s international airports—so it isn’t “consumed” in Alaska the way other fuel is.• Producing electricity is very inefficient, with 67 TBtus from natural gas, water, oil, coal, and wind producing just 22 TBtus of electricity in 2008.• The largest source of renewable energy in Alaska today is hydropower, which generates nearly a quarter of all electricity statewide.
Imports47 TBtu
Crude oil
Petroleum products
Exports1,342 TBtu
Crude oil91%
Petroleum products
Liqui�ed natural gas: 2%
Coal: 1%
Transportation: 215 TBtuEnergy Consumed: 444 TBtug
Jet fuel Diesel Gasoline63% 20% 16%
1%Commercial: 47 TBtuf Industrial: 56 TBtuf Residential: 40 TBtu
99%
18% 37% 24% 21% 80%
11%
10% 23% 55%
4%
18%
Petroleum productsNatural gasCoalHydro/Wood/WindElectricity
Crude oil
Energy Produced: 1,985 TBtua
Figure 4. Energy Produced and Consumed in Alaska, 2008 (In Trillion Btus)
49% 51%
6%
Crude oil: 1,526b Natural gas: 422c
Coal: 31Renewables: 6d
Petroleum productse
278 103c
126
aAuthors’ estimates. A Btu (British thermal unit) is a standard measure of energy content (or heat value), roughly the amount of energy needed to heat one pound of water one degree Fahrenheit. bIncludes 77 TBtu of natural gas liquids. cThis �gure excludes North Slope gas extracted but reinjected. It includes 259 TBtus North Slope oil producers used for their 2008 operations, 6 TBtus used in Barrow and Nuiqsut, and 157 TBtus from Cook Inlet. We were unable to speci�cally trace consumption of about 40 TBtus of that Cook Inlet gas that entered the Alaska market. dRenewables include mostly hydropower (4 TBtu), wind power (0.008 TBtu) and wood (2TBtu). eBtus of crude oil remaining in the Alaska market do not equal Btus of petroleum products consumed, partly because of imprecise data on imports and exports, but also because we couldn’t get data on energy used in the re�ning process.fThe commercial sector includes businesses, government o�ces and facilities, and religious and other organizations. The industrial sector consists of industries that produce or process goods, including petroleum, commercial �shing and processing, agriculture, and mining. Not shown are wood, which generates less than 0.5% of energy for commercial and industrial uses, and coal, which generates less than 0.5% of the energy for industrial uses.gIncludes 45 TBtus of energy used to produce electricity and 40 TBtus of natural gas that entered the market but couldn’t speci�cally be traced.
What About Electricity?Electricity is a form of energy, but it is not an energy source. We convert energy sources (oil, natural gas, and coal) into electricity, which in turn supplies energy for many uses. But the conversion process is very ine�cient. In 2008, Alaska’s electric sector consumed three times more energy than it produced in electricity.
67 TBtu
Energy into electric sector
45 TBtu
Energy consumed inproducing electricity
22 TBtu
Electricityproduced
Sources: Alaska Energy Authority; U.S. Energy Information Administration; U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Waterborne Commerce; Alaska Department of Natural Resources; authors’ calculations
Figure 5. How Much is a Trillion Btus? Crude oil: 172, 414 barrelsNatural gas: 972,763 McfCoal: 50,030 short tonsWood: 50,000 cords
Electricity: 293,083,236 kWhDiesel: 7,210,300 gallonsGasoline: 7,995,431 gallons
4
changing PriceS and uSe of energyWe now look at how the amounts of energy Alaskans use, and the
prices they pay for that energy, have changed over time.• Electricity is the only form of energy less expensive in 2008 than in 1970, when adjusted for inflation (Figure 6). The drop of nearly 15% is most likely due to the fact that the state and federal governments subsidized construction costs for a number of hydroelectric projects, so prices do not reflect the full costs of producing the hydropower.• All other forms of energy were all considerably more expensive in 2008, but the biggest increases were for jet fuel and diesel fuel. Real—again, adjusted for inflation—prices for those fuels more than tripled.• Real prices of gasoline and natural gas rose in the range of 60% to 80% between 1970 and 2008.
Alaska’s population tripled between 1960 and 2008. That fast popula-tion growth meant that Alaskans on the whole used a lot more energy in 2008. But to get a picture of how energy use changed independent of population growth, Figure 7 shows changing use per capita.
The largest change in energy use happened when discoveries of natural gas in Cook Inlet made relatively inexpensive gas available in Anchorage and adjacent areas. And despite sharp increases in prices, per capita use of gasoline and diesel also increased considerably.
By contrast, per capita use of electricity actually dropped somewhat. That’s probably because appliances and light bulbs and other things that run on electricity became more efficient, and the price of diesel—which is used to produce electricity in some communities—increased considerably.
Editor: Linda Leask • Graphics: Clemencia Merrill
Ginny Fay is an assistant professor of economics at ISER, and Alejandra Villalobos Melendez is an ISER research associate. This summary is based on energy statistics reports the authors prepared for the Alaska Energy Authority: Alaska Energy Statistics 1960-2008; Alaska Energy Statistics 1960-2009; and Alaska Energy Statistics 1960-2010. The authors thank the staff of the Alaska Energy Authority and many others at utilities and businesses who provided information and valuable comments. We especially thank Amber Converse, an intern at AEA, who provided critical help collecting 2010 data.
Electricity (per kWh) $0.03 $0.17 $0.15 -14% Natural gas (per Mcf) $0.69 $3.82 $6.88 80%Distillate fuel (per gallon) $0.16 $0.89 $3.91 341%Jet fuel (per gallon) $0.10 $0.55 $3.03 455%Motor gasoline (per gallon) $0.40 $2.21 $3.65 65%
1970 2008
Nominal $ 2008$
Real Percentage
Change
Figure 6. Change in Alaska Energy Prices, 1970-2008
Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration; authors’ calculations
Natural gas (in thousand cubic feet)
Coal (in short tons)
Diesel (in gallons)
Gasoline (in gallons)
Electricity from hydro (in kilowatt-hours)
Figure 7. Changing Per Capita Use of Energy Among Alaskans
9
491
490
793
308410
1960
2008
1960
1960
1960
1975
2008
2008
2008
2008
Use of natural gas to generate electricity and heat homes in southcentral Alaska soared after the discovery of gas in Cook Inlet.
Electricity from all sources (in kilowatt-hours)
Per capita use of gasoline was up 33% between 1960 and 2008.
2
1
9141,719
Most Alaskans outside the railbelt still generate most of their electricity and heat their homes with diesel, and per capita use increased 62% between 1960 and 2008.
Per capita use of coal dropped by half, with use of other energy sources growing faster. Also, almost 40% of the coal produced is exported.
Electricity from hydro produced per person increased about 88% between 1975 and 2008.
5,8891975
2008 9,555Per capita use of electricity from all sources increased 62%between 1975 and 2008.
Alaska population1960: 226,0001975: 384,1002008: 681,977
Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration; Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development; authors’ calculations
• Chugach Electric Association is the largest utility, directly providing electricity to most of Anchorage and some other communities in Southcentral Alaska. It indirectly provides the majority of electricity for the Railbelt, because it sells gas-generated power to other railbelt utilities. It also owns the Cooper Lake hydroelectricfacility on the Kenai Peninsula and is part owner of the Eklutna Lake hydroelectric facility north of Anchorage.• Anchorage Municipal Light & Power serves part of Anchorage. The utility has its own natural gas supply and is also part owner of the Eklutna Lake hydroelectric plant. It sometimes sells electricity to other Railbelt utilities.• Matanuska Electric Association provides electricity from northeast Anchorage through the Matanuska- Susitna Borough. It buys power from Chugach Electric and is also part owner of the Eklutna hydroelectric plant.• Golden Valley Electric Association serves Fairbanks and other Interior communities as far south as Cantwell. GVEA is the only Railbelt utility that generates a large share of its power from fuel oil, naphtha, and coal; it also has some wind power and a small solar project. It buys some electricity from Chugach Electric.• Homer Electric Association serves most communities on the west side of the Kenai Peninsula. It buys most of its electricity from Chugach Electric and operates the Bradley Lake hydroelectric facility for the Alaska Energy Authority.• Seward Electric System is the smallest Railbelt utility, providing electricity to Seward, on the east side of the Kenai Peninsula. It buys most of its power from Chugach Electric.
The Railbelt IntertieAlaska’s Railbelt region runs roughly 500 miles from the tip of the Kenai Peninsula north to Fairbanks. Nearly 75% of all Alaskans live in this region—which is called that because it includes areas along and near the route of the Alaska Railroad. An intertie grid connects the six utilities that provide electricity in the Railbelt. All those utilities except one—Golden Valley Electric Association, in the northern Railbelt—rely on natural gas from Cook Inlet to generate more than 90% of their electricity. All Railbelt utilities share hydropower from the state-owned Bradley Lake Dam on the Kenai Peninsula, and some also have additional sources of hydropower. Wind power from Fire Island near Anchorage is scheduled to be available by late 2012.
*The map includes renewable energy projects that are complete as of mid-2012 and those scheduled to be completed by the end of 2012.
Lime Village
Koliganek
Lower Kalskag
Saint Mary'sPitkas Point
Holy Cross
Marshall
Mountain Village
Koyuk
Unalakleet
Nome
ShungnakAmbler
KobukKiana
Noatak
Kotzebue
AleknagikTogiak
Takotna
Point Hope
Kivalina
ShishmarefDiomede
Wales
Brevig MissionTeller
RubyNulato
Kaltag
BucklandDeering
Elim
White Mountain
ShaktoolikGolovin
Saint MichaelStebbins
KotlikGrayling
Shageluk
Newtok
Hooper Bay
SavoongaGambell
Russian MissionScammon Bay
Nunam Iqua
Napaskiak
Kwethluk
Kipnuk
KwigillingokQuinhagak
Goodnews BayPlatinum
Chefornak
Toksook BayMekoryuk
Saint Paul
Saint George
Tuluksak
South Naknek
Egegik
Pilot Point
Anvik
SleetmuteStony River
Crooked CreekPilot Station
Chevak
Tununak
AlakanukEmmonak
Aniak
NapakiakAtmautluak
Tuntutuliak
Kasigluk
Homer
Nanwalek Port Graham
Ninilchik
BethelNunapitchuk
DillinghamTwin Hills
ManokotakEkwok
Pedro Bay
IgiugigKokhanok
Nenana
Lake Minchumina*
NikolaiMcGrath
GalenaKoyukuk
EekKongiganak
Tanana
KodiakOuzinkie
SoldotnaChenega
Tyonek
Palmer
Anchorage ValdezTatitlek
Cordova
Gulkana
Copper Center
Gakona
Slana
TokTetlin
Delta Junction
Old Harbor
Larsen Bay
Port LionsKarluk
Akhiok
Cold Bay
Nelson Lagoon
King CoveFalse Pass
Sand Point
Unalaska/Dutch Harbor
Nikolski
King Salmon
Port Heiden
Levelock
Newhalen
Nondalton
Perryville
Chitina
Illiamna
Dot LakeTanacross
Fort Yukon
Hughes Stevens Village
Rampart
Birch CreekBeaverAllakaket
Circle
Venetie
ChalkyitsikBettles
FairbanksMinto
Manley Hot Springs
Eagle
Arctic VillageAnaktuvuk Pass
Huslia
KaktovikNuiqsutPoint Lay
Selawik
Barrow
WainwrightAtqasuk
Hainesc
Juneaua
Tenakee Springsb
Angoonb
KakebSitkaa
Hoonahb
Elfin Coveb
Petersburga
Wrangella
Ketchikana
MetlakatlaaKasaancKlawockc
HydaburgcCraigc
Klukwanc
Yakutat
Akutan
ChignikChignik Lagoon
Chignik Lake
New Stuyahok
Akiachak
ChuathbalukRed Devil
NoorvikAlatna
Coldfoot*
Central
North Pole
Anderson
Healy
Cantwell
Talkeetna
Skwentna*
Houston Wasilla
Whittier
Seward
Kenai
Seldovia
Port Alsworth
Chiniak
Healy LakeDry Creek*
Mentasta Lake
Glennallen
McCarthy*
Chickaloon
Chistochina
Skagwayc
Gustavusc
Point Baker*Port Protection* Whale Passb
Port Alexander* Coffman Covec Hyder
Thorne BaycNaukatib
Pelicanc
Clark’s Point
Northway
Alcan*Paxson*
Hollisc
Naknek
Anchor Point
GirdwoodHope
Willow
Atka
Moose PassCooper Landing
Upper Kalskag
OscarvilleNightmute
Livengood*
Petersville*
Aleneva*
Chicken*Big Delta
Edna Bay*Ugashik*
Susitna*
Wiseman*
Akiak
Homer Electric Association
Seward Electric Service
Chugach Electric Association
Matanuska Electric Association
Golden Valley Electric Association
Anchorage Municipal Light & Power
Copper Valley Electric Association
Kodiak Electric Association
INN Electric Coop
Primarily hydropower
WindLess than 0.5%
15%Diesel 6%
Coal
Natural gas57%Hydro
22%
Sources of Electrical Generation Statewide(Net Generation 2010: 6.5 Million MWh)
Sources: Alaska Energy Authority; U.S. Energy Information Administration; authors’ calculations
How Much Wind Power is Generated by Area ?(Total 2010: 20,348 MWh)
bRural Alaska is defined here to include several Alaska Energy Authority energy regions: Aleutians, Bering Straits, Bristol Bay, Lower Yukon/Kuskokwim, North Slope, Arctic Northwest, Yukon-Koyukuk-Upper Tanana.
aAlaska Environmental Power generates electricity from turbines near Delta Junction and sells it to Golden Valley Electric Association, which serves the Fairbanks area.
Fairbanksa
Kodiak62%
9%Rural
Alaskab9%
Natural Gas
Diesel
Hydropower
Coal
Wind
Key to Symbols
Notes:• A number of unincorporated communities, especially those near larger urban areas, are not shown. Also not shown are the westernmost Aleutian Islands; only a few military facilities are on those islands. And because the number of biomass and solar projects is very small, they are not designated withsymbols. As of mid-2012, Golden Valley Electric Association has a small solar project in operation, and Alaska Village Electic Cooperative has a solar project under construction in Kaltag. In Tok, the school district is converting its biomass heating system to generate both electricity and heat. • Alaska’s state government has helped reduce costs of electricity for both urban and rural Alaskans. Communities along the railbelt and in some areas of the Southcentral and Southeast regions have benefited from state and federal subsidies for construction of energy infrastructure and hydropower projects. In small rural communities, the state Power Cost Equalization (PCE) program reduces the price of electricity by paying eligible utilities part of the cost of electricity for residential customers and community facilities.• Communities eligible for PCE are determined by state statute, based on the local price of electricity. Only communities with centralized utilities can receive payments and must report to the Regulatory Commission of Alaska and the Alaska Energy Authority. The map shows communities eligible in 2010.• The major electrical intertie in Alaska is the one linking communities in the Railbelt region, but there are also a number of small interties linking two or more rural communities in various areas of the state.• The Alaska Village Electric Cooperative (AVEC) provides electricity in more than 50 small communities in Western and Interior Alaska; most of those are isolated systems. • Alaska Power Company (headquartered in Washington state) provides electricity in more than 25 communities, primarily in Southeast Alaska and the area around Tok, near the Alaska/Canada border.• About 85 communities around Alaska operate their own local electric utilities.
Hydropower in Southeast Alaska: Not All Communities Have It
aThese communities (which include all the largest in the region) typically generate almost all their electricity from hydropower and have the state’s lowest electric rates. bThese communities rely entirely on diesel to generate electricity and have among the highest electric rates in the state. cThese communities generate electricity with a combination of hydropower and diesel and have lower electric rates, but still high enough to qualify them for PCE payments.*No centralized electric utilityNote that the amount of electricity a hydropower facility can generate varies, depending on water levels.
*Communities with nocentralized electric utility
How Electricity is Generated in Alaska, by Community, 2012* Communities in Blue: Eligible for Power Cost Equalization Program Communities in Green: Not eligible for Power Cost Equalization Program