kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: dieter d. genske

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Basel on its way to the 2000-Watt-Society Basel Project Group Till Berger (sustainserv Basel), Dieter D. Genske (Presenter, Nordhausen University of Applied Sciences), Ariane Ruff (University of Liechtenstein)

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Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi 4.12.2013 Professori Dieter D. Genske, Nordhausenin yliopisto, Saksa: "Baselista hiilineutraali kaupunki – käytännön keinot siihen pääsemiseksi" / Basel on its way to the 2000-Watt-Society

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Basel on its way to the

2000-Watt-Society

Basel Project Group Till Berger (sustainserv Basel), Dieter D. Genske (Presenter, Nordhausen University of Applied Sciences),

Ariane Ruff (University of Liechtenstein)

Page 2: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Basel on its way to the

2000-Watt-Society

What the vision means

and practical examples of how this vision can be realized December 4, 2013

Page 3: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Basel on its way to the

2000-Watt-Society

• Why 2000 Watt?

• Principles to assess efficiency and energy potentials

• Basel on its way to the 2000-Watt-Society

Page 4: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

EUR 200.000.000.000

USD 310.000.000.000

EUR 180.000.000.000

Numbers from “Langfristszenarien und Strategien für den Ausbau der erneuerbaren Energien in

Deutschland”, German Ministry of Environment 2012.

Page 5: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Basel on its way to the

2000-Watt-Society

• Why 2000 Watt ?

• Principles to assess efficiency and energy potentials

• Basel on its way to the 2000-Watt-Society

Page 6: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Principles

Adam Smiths’ Principle of Space and Labour

Adam Smith (1723-1790):

“In the classical production

process, space and labour

create wealth”

Page 7: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Principles

Energy Parties

Households

B&T

Industry

Living

Working

Mobility

He

atin

g

Wa

rm w

ate

r

Pro

ce

ss w

ate

r

Po

we

r

Fu

els

Road

Railroad

etc.

Medium

Small

Barely

Need

Strong

NB: Situation in Northern Europe

Page 8: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Principles

Scenarios

Defining goals, then discussing scenarios how to reach these goals.

(1) Trend scenario: Following the trend

(2) Innovation scenario: i.e. Self-sufficiency, 2000-Watt ...

Page 9: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Principles

Energetically Homogeneous Zones

EHZ have a similar energy consumption as well as a similar capacity to

produce renewable energy

Individual Homes

Forest

Page 10: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Basel on its way to the

2000-Watt-Society

• Why 2000 Watt?

• Principles to assess efficiency and energy potentials

• Basel on its way to the 2000-Watt-Society

Page 11: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Basel on its way to the

2000-Watt-Society

Page 12: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Annual

expenses for

fossil fuels

300-400

Mio CHF

Population 0.2m

Area 48 km2

Page 13: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Energy Demand per capita

Leistung in Watt Primärenergie per capita nach

Aktivität und Zielwerte im Referenzszenario

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Watt

PE p

er

capit

a

Mobility

Working

Livingtarget

Reference scenario

Leistung in Watt Primärenergie per capita nach

Aktivität und Zielwerte im 2000W-Szenario

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Watt

PE p

er

capit

a

Mobility

Working

Livingtarget

2000-Watt-scenario

Page 14: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Heat Demand and Renewable Heat Production

Heat demand and renewable heat, trend scenario

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

GW

hEnd p

er

year

Sun (roof and facade)

Shallow geothermal

Wastewater heat

Biogas

Biomass

Deep geothermal

STP sludge

Waste incineration

Demand

Reference scenario

Heat demand and renewable heat, 2000W-scenario

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

GW

hEnd p

er

year

Sun (roof and facade)

Shallow geothermal

Wastewater heat

Biogas

Biomass

Deep geothermal

Schlammverbrennung

Waste incineration

Demand

2000-Watt-scenario

Heat demand and renewable heat, trend scenario

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

GW

hEnd p

er

year

Waste incineration STP sludge Deep geothermal

Biomass Biogas Wastewater heat

Shallow geothermal Sun (roof and facade) Demand

Page 15: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Power Demand and Renewable Power Production

Power demand and renewable power, 2000W-scenario

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

GW

hEnd p

er

year

Waste incineration Deep geothermal Biomass

Wind Water Sun (roof and facade)

Demand

Power demand and renewable power, trend scenario

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

GW

hEnd p

er

year Sun (roof and facade)

Water

Wind

Biomass

Deep geothermal

Waste incineration

Demand

Reference scenario

Power demand and renewable power, 2000W-scenario

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

GW

hEnd p

er

year Sun (roof and facade)

Water

Wind

Biomass

Deep geothermal

Waste incineration

Demand

2000-Watt-scenario

Page 16: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

CO2eq-Reduction

C02-äquivalente Jahresemissionen per capita (ohne

graue Energie) im Referenzszenario

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

t C

O2eq p

er

capit

a a

nd y

ear

Mobility

Working

Living

Reference scenario

target

C02-äquivalente Jahresemissionen per capita (ohne

graue Energie) im 2000W-Szenario

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

t C

O2eq p

er

capit

a a

nd y

ear

Mobility

Working

Living

2000-Watt-scenario

target

Page 17: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Status quo: Heat Demand

Page 18: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Trend Scenario: Heat Demand 2050

Page 19: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

2000-Watt-Scenario: Heat Demand 2050

Page 20: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Status quo: Renewable Heat Production

Page 21: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Trend Scenario: Renewable Heat Production 2050

Page 22: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

2000-Watt-Scenario: Renewable Heat Production 2050

Page 23: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Status quo: Power Demand

Page 24: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Trend Scenario: Power Demand 2050

Page 25: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

2000-Watt-Szenario: Power Demand 2050

Page 26: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Status quo: Renewable Power Production

Page 27: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Trend Scenario: Renewable Power Production 2050

Page 28: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

2000-Watt-Szenario: Renewable Power Production 2050

Page 29: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Expenses and Gains in the Reference Scenario Ausgaben und Einsparungen im Referenzszenario

-150.00

-100.00

-50.00

0.00

50.00

100.00

150.00

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Mio

CH

F/a

THG

Strom

Wärme

Wasserkraft

KVA

Biomasse

Geothermie

Abwasserwärme

Erdwärmesonden

Sonne (PV und Kollektoren)

big

sto

ck

Page 30: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Expenses and Gains in the 2000-Watt-Scenario Ausgaben und Einsparungen im 2000W-Szenario

-150.00

-100.00

-50.00

0.00

50.00

100.00

150.00

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Mio

CH

F/a

THG

Strom

Wärme

Wasserkraft

KVA

Biomasse

Geothermie

Abwasserwärme

Erdwärmesonden

Sonne (PV und Kollektoren)

big

sto

ck

Page 31: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Expenses per capita in the 2000-Watt-Scenario Typische Ausgaben im Kanton Basel-Stadt

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

Highw

ay vigne

tte

6 bo

ttles of S

wiss wine (A

igle A

OC)

Men

u Sur

prise Café Spitz plus wine

2000

W-soc

iety (pe

r ca

pita

and

yea

r)

Dog

tax

(an

nual)

Hea

lth in

sura

nce (m

onth

ly)

Apa

rtmen

t (m

onth

ly ren

t 3-

room

-app

t.)

Sw

iss F

ranks

hu

nd

era

ssen.d

e

Page 32: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Examples of how this vision can be realized

Research project “2000W-Society”

Discussion of proposals to introduce

2000W-Society at City Council

Fixing of

budget /

Co-financing

SME

University

Research

Labs

Voting at City Council plus referendum

Implementation

?

Efficiency

Re-

newables

Pilot

projects

Public

Reviewing /

re-discussing

no

yes

Page 33: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Examples of how this vision can be realized: Pilot projects www.2000-watt.bs.ch 2000-Watt-Gesellschaft: 10 Jahre Pilotregion Basel. AUE Kanton Basel Stadt

Page 34: Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Basel on its way to the

2000-Watt-Society

Basel Project Group Till Berger (sustainserv Basel), Dieter D. Genske (Presenter, Nordhausen University of Applied Sciences),

Ariane Ruff (University of Liechtenstein)