thailand energy situation jan - jun 2014

Thailand Energy SituationThailand Energy Situation

Jan -Oct 2015 Jan -Oct 2015

http://www.eppo.go.th

2012 2013 20142015

*

Consumption 1,982 2,002 2,052 2,070

Production 1,082 1,078 1,073 1,023

Import (Net) 1,085 1,131 1,171 1,273

Import/Consumption (%) 55 56 57 62

Growth Rate (%)

Consumption 6.9 1.0 2.6 1.0

Production 6.3 -0.4 -0.5 -4.6

Import (Net) 6.4 4.2 3.6 7.1

GDP (%) 73. 2.8 0.9 29

- 2 -

Production, Consumption and Import (Net) of Primary Commercial Energy

Unit : KBD crude oil equivalent

*Jan – Oct


2012 2013 2014 2015*

Total Consumption 1982, 2002 2052 2,071

- Oil 710 730 734 760

- Natural Gas 889 909 916 921

- Imported Coal 230 217 261 271

- Domestic Lignite 98 101 97 77

- Hydro/Imported Elec. 55 46 44 42

Total Consumption 69 10. 26. 1.0

- Oil 52. 28. 06. 4.2

- Natural Gas 98. 23 08. 0.8

- Imported Coal 124. -56. 205. 4.0

- Domestic Lignite -126. 25. -33. -21.3

- Hydro/Imported Elec. 30. -176. -36. -12.0

- 3 -

Consumption of Primary Commercial Energy Unit : KBD crude oil equivalent

* Jan - Oct

http://www.eppo.go.th- 4 -- 4 -

Final Commercial Energy Consumption

2012 2013 2014 2015*

Total Consumption 1 ,300 1,317 1,365 1,407

- Oil 704 723 727 756

- Natural Gas 169 174 178 175

- Imported Coal 132 119 155 170

- Domestic Lignite 15 17 13 5

- Electricity 280 284 292 302

Growth Rate (%)

Total Consumption 57. 1.3 3.6 3.5

- Oil 53. 2.7 0.5 4.8

- Natural Gas 161. 2.9 2.5 -1.6

- Imported Coal 39. -10.0 29.9 11.0

- Domestic Lignite -437. 10.5 -23.6 -65.6

- Electricity 68. 1.6 2.8 2.8

GDP (%) 73. 2.8 0.9 29.

Elasticity 08. 0.5 4.0 1.2

Unit : KBD crude oil equivalent

*Jan – Oct**Jan- Jun


Crude Oil Supply

2012 2013 2014 2015*

Share (%)

2015*

DomesticProduction

149 149 139 149 14

Import 860 868 805 883 86

Total 1,009 1 ,017 9441 ,031

100

Unit: KBD

* Jan - Oct

http://www.eppo.go.th- 6 -

Crude Oil Supply -- by Source 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Benjamas 25,439 20,652 22 ,663 19,755

Sirikit 28,423 32,889 27,948 28,992

Tantawan 3,748 2,754 1,645 2,105

Unocal (Big Oil Project) 28,281 29,816 24,051 23,251

Jusmin 10,408 10,478 9,796 9,538

Bualaung 7,200 12,317 12,496 11,505

Songkha 19,883 20,322 14,297 12,605

Lanta 6,671 4,331 6,688 6,491

Others 18,924 15,922 18,944 34,426

Total Domestic Prod. 148,977 149,481 138,528 148,668

Import 860,211 868,040 804,912 882,831

Grand Total 1,009,188 1,017,521 943,440 1,031,499

Unit: Barrels/Day

* Jan - Oct


Condensate Production

201

1

201

22013 2014

2015

*

Bongkot20,556 27,359 32,480

28,877

28,418

Erawan 10,531 9,025 5,863 6,756 5,500

Pailin 18,048 11,861 11,234 10,525 7,716

Funan & Jakrawan 5,508 7,842 7,671 6,850 5,808

Arthit 15,811 10,548 9,230 9,403 9,103

Others 13,682 23,004 24,681 31,919 39,510

Total 84,136 89,639 91,159 94,330 96,055

Unit: Barrels/Day

* Jan - Oct


RefineryRefining Capacity(BBL/D)

Crude Oil Intake*(BBL/D)

Utilization Rate(%)

Thai Oil 275000, 310616, 113

Bangchak 120000, 113522, 95

ESSO 177000, 140726, 80

IRPC 215000, 188903, 88

PTTAR 280000 192697, 69

SPRC 165000, 181771, 110

RPC 17000, - -

FANG 2 ,500 528 21

Total 1251500, , 1128763, , 90

Refinery Utilization Rate 2014

* Jan - Oct


0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

TOC BCP ESSO IRPC PTTGC SPRC RPC FANG

Capacity Intake

Refinery Utilization Rate 2015 *

* Jan - Oct


Energy Type 2013 2014

Jan - OctGrowth Rate

(%) Share(%)

2014 201520

14

201

5*2015*

GASOLINE 9853, .3

9886, .5

8141, .1

9202, .8

03. 130. 18

Regular 4786, .7

4843, .1

4002, .8

4538, .0

11. 133. 9

Premium 5066, .6

5043, .3

4138, .3

4664, .9

-04. 127. 9

- Gasohol 4135, .5

4430, .4

3633, .2

4170, .8

71. 147. 8

- ULG 95 9311. 6129. 5051. 4941. -341. -21. 1

KEROSENE 6949.1098, .

08731.

1134, .1580. 298. 2

DIESEL 2552,49.

2406,81.

1971,66.

2247,25.

-57. 139. 43

JET PETROLEUM

6680, .1

6638, .5

5306, .1

5852, .2

-06. 102. 11

FUEL OIL 5939, .6

5667, .4

4713, .2

4764, .5

-45. 10. 9

LPG 1008,71.

1019,67.

8425, .9

8408, .0

10. -02. 16

TOTAL 5877,98.

5755,50.

4717,59.

5183,41.

-20. 98. 100

Petroleum Product ProductionUnit : Million Litres

* Jan - Oct

http://www.eppo.go.th- 11 -** Including Propane and Butane

Unit : Million Litres

Petroleum Product Consumption

* Jan - Oct


Jan - OctGrowth Rate

(%) Share(%)

2014 201520

14

201

5*2015*

GASOLINE 8194, .9

8506, .1

6986, .6

7925, .2

37. 134. 18

Regular 3445, .8

3594, .8

2948, .6

3331, .8

43. 129. 8

Premium 4749, .1

4911, .3

4038, .0

4593, .4

34. 137. 11

- Gasohol 4132, .9

4413, .1

3621, .9

4175, .5

67. 152. 10

- ULG 95 6162. 4982. 4161. 4179. -191. 04. 1

KEROSENE 110. 108. 89. 92. -19. 28. 002.

DIESEL 2090,74.

2108,39.

1746,22.

1808,08.

08. 35. 42

JET PETROLEUM

5562, .4

5513, .1

4508, .9

4949, .8

-08. 97. 11

FUEL OIL 2175, .1

2092, .8

1766, .1

1675, .3

-37. -51. 4

LPG ** 1393,47.

1391,70.

1156,74.

1040,26.

-01. -100. 24

TOTAL 5078,55.

5112,35.

4230,01.

4304,28.

06. 17. 100

* Jan - Oct


Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecJan-Dec

2012

26

7

27

6

27

9

26

0

27

8

28

0

27

1

28

3

28

4

28

5 29227

8

2 78

201329

0

31

0309 291

31

4

31

0307

31

7310 309 314 303 307

2014 304 32632

7302

31

8317 319

31

9320 316 318 313 317

201530

4

31

9329

29

9316 312 311 298 291 284

306

*

∆ (%) from previous

year00.

-2.106. -10. -0.6 -1.6 -2.5 -6.6 -91. -10.

1-34*.

∆ (%) from previous month

-2.949. 31. -91. 5.7 -1.3 -0.3 -4.2 -23. -24.

- 12 -

NGV ConsumptionUnit: MMSCFD

* Jan - Oct


Energy Type 2013201

4

Jan - Oct Growth Rate (%) Share(%)

2014 2015 2014201

5*

2015

*

GASOLINE 262.

2

884.3

844.6

603.9

237.2

-28.4

19

DIESEL 196.

7

348.1

330.2

117.6769.

-64.3

4

JET PETROLEUM 162. 42. 37. 35 -743. -40. 01.

FUEL OIL 268.

4

370.8

333.4

134.5381.

-59.6

4

LPG** 365,12.

388,74.

326,32.

227,83.

64.-30.1

73

TOTAL 439,47.

549,47.

477,51.

313,79.

250.-34.2100

Import of Petroleum ProductsUnit : Million Litres

** Including Propane and Butane

* Jan - Oct


Export of Petroleum ProductsUnit : Million Litres

* Jan - Oct


Jan - Oct Growth Rate (%) Share(%)

2014 201520

14

201

5*2015*

GASOLINE 166,00.

137,64.

116,96.

127,61.

-17.0

91. 12

Regular 136,95.

120,57.

102,15.

117,82.

-11.9153. 11

Premium 95

264.9

134.0

115.4

788.-49.4

-317. 1

KEROSENE 487,43.

431,69.

343,15.

504,15.

-11.4469. 47

DIESEL 192. 298. 210. 153.55.1

-270. 01.

JET PETROLEUM

153,66.

129,66.

906.5

132,08.

-15.6457. 12

FUEL OIL 377,43.

383,59.

314,44.

308,54.

16. -18. 29

LPG 112. 185. 164. 222.65.2351. 02.

TOTAL 118,75.6

108,74.1

868,94.

107,61.3

-84. 238. 100


Supply and Demand of LPG, Propane and Butane

2012 2013 2014 2015*

Growth Rate(%)

Share(%)

2014 2015* 2015*

TOTAL SUPPLY741,

6

741,9

760,5

577,1

25. -86. 100.0

- PRODUCTION568,

6

544,7

550,6

454,0

11. -02. 787.

- IMPORT 173,

0

197,2

209,9

123,0

65. -302. 213.

TOTAL DEMAND (CONSUMPTION+EXPORT )

739,6

753,1

752,5

562,9

-01. -100.

- CONSUMPTION 738,

6

752,5

751,5

561,7

-01. -101. 100.0

Household 304,

7

240,9

218,8

173,9

-92. -46. 310.

Industry 614 602 577 496 -42. 36. 88.

Automobile 106,

1

177,5

197,4

145,7112. -114. 259.

Petrochemical Industry

128,5

132,7

154,6771 165. -404. 137.

Own Use 138,

0

141,2

123,1

115,4

-129. 148. 205.

- Feed Stock 127,

0

131,4

112,9

102,5

-141. 115. 183.

- Energy 110 98 102 129 34. 495. 23

- EXPORT 10 6 10 12 652. 352.

BALANCE (SUPPLY-DEMAND) 20 -112 80 141

Unit: 1,000 Tons

* Jan - Oct


Crude Oil Import by Source

2012 2013 2014 2015*

Growth Rate(%) Share

(%)

2014 2015* 2015*

Middle East37,460 37,572 31,002

28,162

-17.5 10.7 66

Far East4,022 4,370 4,517 8,511 3.4 147.8 20

Others8,575 8,431 11,192 5,997 32.7 -39.1 14

Total 50,056 50,374 46,710 42,670 -7.3 10.2 100

Unit: Million Litres

* Jan - Oct


Growth Rate (%)

2012 2013 2014 2015* 2013 2014 2015*

QUANTITY (KBD)

860 868 805 883 0.9-7.2

10.2

VALUE (Billion Baht )

1 ,119

1,072 980 515 -4.2-8.6

-39.5

PRICE(US$/Barrel ) 113.94 109.69

102.25

564.8

-3.7-6.8

-47.5

- 17 -

Crude Oil Import Increased by 102. %

* Jan - Oct


Fuel Oil*

Natural Gas*

Import Coal**

Comparison of Energy Prices

* Average retail prices** Average import price of Thailand (CIF)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Baht/

M.B

TU


Natural Gas Supply

2012 2013 2014 2015*Share(%)

2014

DomesticProduction

3 ,996 4,044 4,073 3 ,845 75

Import 950 1,013 1,025 1,281 25

Total 4,946 5,057 5,098 5,126 100

Unit: MMSCFD

* Jan - Oct


MMSCFD

2012 2013 2014 2015*

Total Domestic Product 3 ,996 4,044 4 ,073 3,845

- Bongkot 869 1,008 975 1,008

- Erawan 255 197 219 198

- Pailin 361 363 314 240

- Arthit 268 252 246 237

- JDA 748 735 761 640

- Others 1,495 1,489 1,558 1,522

Total Import 950 1,013 1,025 1,281

- Import (Myanmar) 820 822 843 941

- Import (LNG) 130 191 182 340

Grand Total 4,946 5,057 5,098 5,126

- 20 -

Natural Gas Supply by Source

* Jan - Oct


2012 2013 2014 2015*

MAE-MOH (EGAT) 16,590 17,072 17,140 12,286

OTHERS 1,476 1,039 842 499

Total Domestic Prod. 18,066 18,111 17,982 12,785

Imported Coal 18,614 18,030 20,933 18,669

Grand Total 36680, 36141, 38915, 31,454

- 21 -

Lignite/Coal Production

Unit : 1,000 Tons

* Jan - Oct


Lignite/Coal Consumption by Sector

Sector 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Power Gen. 9,005.8 9,048.2 9,521.2 7,233

Industry 7,400.8 6,797.5 8,375.7 7,243

Total 16,406.6 15,845.7 17,897.0 14,476

Consumption ShareSector 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Power Gen. 54.9 57.1 53.2 50.0

Industry 45.1 42.9 46.8 50.0

Total 100 100 100 100

Unit: Ktoe

Unit: %

* Jan - Oct


42%

37%

13%

8%

IPP

EGAT

Import/ExchangeSPP

(2,896MW)(5,013 MW)

(15,518 MW)

(13,966 MW)

Total 37393, MW

Power Generation – Installed Capacity as of October 2015


Power Generation by Fuel Type

YearNatural

GasCoal & Lignite

Oil Hydro ImportRenewabl

e Energy

Total

2012 119,368 34,583 1,363 8,431 10,527 5211,1794,84

2013 119,218 35,352 1,418 5,412 12,572 7234,1812,05

2014 120,314 37,572 1,643 5,164 12,260 9071,1860,24

2015* 107,788 28,706 661 3,231 11,872 8,428 160,687

Growth Rate (%)

2012 10.3 9.1 2.4 6.3 -2.3 278 9.4

2013 -01. 22. 40. -358. 19.4 388. 10.

2014 0.9 6.3 15.9 -4.6 -2.5 254. 27.

2015* 7.7 -9.2 -55.2 -30.0 7.4 12.3 2.8

Unit: GWh

* Jan - Oct


Peak Demand and Load FactorYEAR PEAK DEMAND LOAD FACTOR RESERVE OctGIN

(MW) (%) (%)

2005 20,538 749 33.5

2006 21,064 769. 29.4

2007 22,586 743. 32.0

2008 22,568 748 40.1

2009 22,045 750. 36.1

2010 24,010 759. 31.9

2011 23,900 756. 38.8

2012 26,121 752. 27.6

20

1

3 26,598 741. 299.

2014 26,942 75.7 32.9

2015* 27,346 76.8 41.8

* Jan - Oct


Electricity ConsumptionUnit: GWh

2012 2013 2014 2015*Growth Rate (%)

2012 2013 20142015

*

MEA 48,244 47,98448,23

6 41,589 9.2 -0.5 0.5 2.7

PEA111,71

8114,61

9118,63

7 99,269 8.5 2.6 3.5 3.5

EGAT’s Direct Customers

1,817 1,738 1,747 1,460 6.0 -4.4 0.5 2.2

Total161,77

9164,

341168,62

0145,82

98.7 1.6 2.6 3.3

* Jan - Oct


Sector 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Growth rate (%)2015*Share (%)2012 2013 2014

2015*

Residential 36,

447

37, 657

389, 93

344, 97

11

133. 35 51. 237.

Small General Service 17,

013

18, 374

188, 07

164, 66

10.1

80. 24. 45. 113.

Business 24,

890

27, 219

278, 83

240, 8277. 94 24. 33. 165.

Industrial 66,

403

67, 846

691, 57

586, 2987. 22. 19. 14. 402.

Government and Non-Profit Org.

5, 404

55, 87

565, 0500,

212.6

34. 11. 59. 34.

Agriculture 3,

799

1 49

152 147-22.3

-961. 20.16.2

01.

Free of Charge 3

77

3 54

414 34527.1

-62. 17.2

-87. 02.

Other 1,

172

13, 46

139, 6116,

539.4149. 37. 00. 08.

Total 4,

456

40, 71

441, 9400,

315.6

-86. 85. 95 27.

- 27 -

Electricity Consumption for the Whole Country (Classified by Sector) Unit: GWh

* Jan - Oct


Electricity Consumption for the Whole Country (Classified by TSIC)

Unit: GWh

Type 2012 2013 2014 2015*Growth Rate (%)

2012 2013 2014 2015*

1. Food972

1

96

97

10,281

855,4

85. -02. 60. 06.

2. Iron and steel69,54

70,65

72,52

560,7

49. 16. 27. -73.

3. Textiles60,38

60,40

60,36

493,3

-23. 00. -01. -23.

4. Electronic63,25

65,47

69,60

585,3

-59. 35 63. 04.

5. Plastics44,58

45,31

45,39

390,0

71. 16. 02. 24.

6. Automotive40,42

40,28

51,25

459,4

68. -03. -18. 74.

7. Cement49,50

52,20

41,37

365,3

27.2

54. 27. 57.

8. Chemicals21,55

21,17

20,98

180,1

-17. -17. -09. 26.

9. Rubber and rubber products

30,12

30,86

30,59

263,1

84. 24. -08. 27.

10. Manufacture of ice26,97

26,51

27,05

240,0

11.5

-17. 21. 50.

* Jan - Oct


Unit: GWh

Electricity Consumption for the Whole Country (Classified by Commercial Cluster)

Type 2012 2013 201420

15

*

Growth Rate (%)

2012 2013 2014201

5*

1. Department Store 44,91

45,95

47,43

407,5

80. 23. 32. 28.

2. Hotel 36,71

38,14

37,97

332,3

9.9 39. -03. 48.

3. Apartment & Guest House

32,91

34,94

36,87

340,1129. 62. 55. 103.

4. Retail sale 29,69

31,41

33,17

295,8144. 58. 56. 65.

5. Real Estate Service 27,89

28,66

28,81

246,0112. 28. 05. 19.

6. Hospital 22,22

23,37

23,88

210,9 97 52. 22. 48.

7. Wholesale 22,42

22,77

24,11

216,2181. 16. 59. 77.

8. Construction 98010,36

13,38

112,5

32. 56. 05. 01.

9. Financial Institute 950 935 688 632 70. -16. 76. 109.10. Restaurant & Night Club 869 884 893 783101. 18. 09. 48.

* Jan - Oct


Value of Energy Import

Unit : Million Baht

ENERGY TYPE 2012 2013 2014

Jan - Oct Growth Rate (%)

2014 201520

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

*

CRUDE OIL 1,119,338 1,072,221 979,70

4 852,50

9 515,49

3 14.5 -4.2 -8.6 -39.5

PETROLEUM PRODUCTS 124,171 139,021

202,265

183,163

84,526

29.2 12.0 45.5 -53.9

NATURAL GAS 116,325 111,911 117,17

2 93,95

7 93,44

5 24.4 -3.8 4.7 -0.5

COAL 46,702 41,732 47,94

7 41,26

0 38,88

4 10.6 -10.6 14.9 -5.8

ELECTRICITY 15,440 18,546 18,91

9 16,97

6 19,37

6 11.4 20.1 2.0 14.1

LNG 24,023 34,827 33,30

4 31,11

5 37,24

6 50.2 45.0 -4.4 19.7

TOTAL 1,445,999 1,418,258 1,399,31

1 1,218,98

0 788,96

9 16.7 -1.9 -1.3 -35.3

* Jan - Oct


Value of Energy Export

ENERGY TYPE201

2

201

32014


2014 201520

13

201

4

201

5*

CRUDE OIL 51,531 29,115 8,653 8,653 0 -43.5 -70.3 -100.0

PETROLEUM PRODUCTS 344,398 342,817 302,325 257,503 185,914 -0.5 -11.8 -27.8

ELECTRICITY 6,548 5,990 6,950 5,886 6,611 -8.5 16.0 12.3

TOTAL 402,477 377,922 317,928 272,043 192,525 -6.1 -15.9 -29.2

Unit : Million Baht

* Jan - Oct


Expenditure on Final Energy Consumption

ENERGY TYPE201

2

201

32014


2014 2015201

3

201

4

201

5*

PETROLEUM PRODUCTS 1,312,2071,326,937 1,336,6151,119,828 957,090 1.1 0.7 -14.5

ELECTRICITY 562,655 621,328 662,474 554,139 555,160 10.4 6.6 0.2

NATURAL GAS 122,509 121,005 123,964 104,065 88,095 -1.2 2.4 -15.3

LIGNITE/COAL 31,607 26,096 33,483 27,744 27,693 -17.4 28.3 -0.2

RENEWABLE ** 118,276 125,962 123,100 101,587 117,185 6.5 -2.3 15.4

TOTAL 2,147,2532,221,328 2,279,6361,907,3631,745,223 3.4 2.6 -8.5

** Estimate

Unit : Million Baht

* Jan - Oct


ENERGY TYPE 2012 2013 2014


2014 2015201

3

201

4

201

5*

GASOLINE 298,487 304,451 314,369 266,200 218,171 2.0 3.3 -18.0

Regular 91 210,016 121,836 130,975 110,825 90,685 -42.0 7.5 -18.2

Premium 88,471 182,615 183,394 155,375 127,486 106.4 0.4 -17.9

KEROSENE 484 390 380 317 274 -19.4 -2.5 -13.6

DIESEL 625,687 624,676 625,076 521,977 452,036 -0.2 0.1 -13.4

J.P. 183,075 197,243 194,279 159,738 147,642 7.7 -1.5 -7.6

FUEL OIL 60,821 50,682 47,284 40,416 32,724 -16.7 -6.7 -19.0

LPG 143,653 149,495 155,227 131,180 106,244 4.1 3.8 -19.0

TOTAL 1,312,207 1,326,937 1,336,615 1,119,828 957,090 1.1 0.7 -14.5

Unit : Million Baht

Expenditure on Petroleum Product Consumption

* Jan - Oct

thailand energy situation jan - jun 2014

Documents

kbd crude oil equivalent

crude oil supplyunit

total consumption1

bbldutilization rate

big oil project28

total consumption6

refinery utilization

buala domestic