united states agriculture grain - cornell university

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service

Circular Series FG 08-13 August 2013

Global Corn Stocks Surge, Prices Plummet

Global corn stocks in 2013/14 are projected to rise to the highest level in over a decade as record and near-record crops are forecast for the United States and other exporter countries. This would be the largest year-over-year surge in global stocks since the rebuilding following the 1995/96 global shortfall. The forecast rebound is entirely attributed to the United States, where prospects for a record crop would more than double stocks. As a consequence of projected record global supplies, new-crop corn prices are currently significantly lower than last year at this time, when drought in the United States drove prices to new highs. The price drop is expected to stimulate record global consumption and import demand. However, falling prices are likely to impact planting decisions in the Southern Hemisphere in the coming months as producers reassess their relative profit margins for alternative crops.

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03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14

United States Rest of World $/ton U.S. Corn*

*Annual average of monthly U.S. Gulf corn prices. 2012/13 includes average of prices through July. Price for 2013/14 based on forward export quotations.

MMT

Grain: World Markets and Trade, August 2013

2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................. 10 Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 16 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 37 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 56 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 12:30 p.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

August 2013

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2013/142012/132011/122013/142012/132011/122013/142012/132011/12

Production

United States (Jun-May) 54.4 61.8 57.5 5.9 6.3 5.8 313.9 273.8 349.6

Other 642.7 593.5 647.8 460.0 462.6 472.2 569.3 584.9 607.5

World Total 697.2 655.3 705.4 465.8 468.9 477.9 883.3 858.8 957.1

Domestic Consumption


Other 656.2 648.4 666.4 452.6 462.3 469.6 583.2 605.2 637.1

World Total 688.3 686.7 702.0 456.1 466.1 473.1 862.2 871.9 927.9

Ending Stocks


Other 179.4 154.9 158.0 103.5 103.7 106.5 107.3 104.8 103.5

World Total 199.6 174.4 173.0 104.8 104.8 107.5 132.4 123.1 150.2

TY Imports


Other 147.9 140.7 145.6 36.4 35.3 36.1 100.2 93.1 101.0

World Total 150.9 144.1 149.1 37.0 36.0 36.9 101.0 97.3 101.7

TY Exports


Other 125.7 119.4 121.9 35.8 34.7 35.6 65.3 82.1 72.2

World Total 153.8 147.1 151.9 39.1 38.1 38.7 103.8 99.6 104.7

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

August 2013

Grain: World Markets and Trade, August 2013 4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global production for 2013/14 is projected at a record. Trade is boosted by strong import demand in the Middle East and China. U.S. exports are up slightly this month, supported by increased opportunities in South America and China. The season-average U.S. farm price is lowered because of huge global supplies of both corn and wheat. For 2012/13, global trade and U.S. exports were raised slightly.

PRICES: Domestic: Over the past month, both Hard Red Winter (HRW) and Soft Red Winter (SRW) prices jumped, driven primarily by strong export sales. HRW rose $18 to $318/ton and SRW went up $11 to $276/ton. Hard Red Spring (HRS) dropped $9 to $320/ton and Soft White Wheat (SWW) shed $9 to $279/ton.

250

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400

$/M

T

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW SWW HRS

August 2013


TRADE CHANGES IN 2013/14 Selected Exporters

• Argentina is cut 1.0 million tons to 5.0 million on lower production.

• Brazil is halved to 500,000 tons on lower production and reduced competitiveness.

• Canada is up 500,000 tons to 20.0 million on higher production and opportunities for sales to South America.

• EU is raised 2.0 million tons to 22.0 million based on a larger crop and growing demand in the Middle East.

• India is slashed 2.0 million tons to 5.0 million based on reduced competitiveness

vis-á-vis Black Sea prices.

• Kazakhstan is boosted 2.0 million tons to 9.0 million supported by larger production and expanding demand in the Middle East.

• Pakistan is cut 300,000 tons to 500,000 as a result of diminished competitiveness.

• Turkey is up 300,000 tons to 3.5 million on growing demand for their flour.

• Ukraine is raised 2.0 million tons to 10.0 million on larger production and strong sales.

• United States is up 500,000 tons to 30.0 million supported by robust sales and shipments to South America and China.

Selected Importers

• China is up 1.0 million tons to 9.5 million on reported purchases.

• EU is lowered 500,000 tons to 5.0 million with a larger crop.

• Iran is boosted 1.5 million tons to 4.0 million as the pace of recent purchases is expected to continue.

• Pakistan is up 500,000 tons to 900,000 because of tight supplies and high domestic prices.

• Syria is raised 500,000 tons to 1.1 million in view of recent Government tenders. • Turkey is up 500,000 tons to 3.5 million on account of larger exportable supplies in the

Black Sea Region.

August 2013


TRADE CHANGES IN 2012/13 Selected Exporters - based on trade data

• India is raised 300,000 tons to 8.3 million tons.

• United States is raised 295,000 tons to 27.7 million.

• Uruguay is lowered 300,000 tons to 900,000.

August 2013

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

TY Exports

5,0006,0007,44911,9517,7425,255 Argentina

19,00019,00021,30023,03118,45513,764 Australia

20,00019,50018,58117,60316,76818,992 Canada

22,00020,00022,20016,69123,08622,279 European Union

5,0007,0008,3001,7227360 India

9,0007,0007,00011,0695,5197,871 Kazakhstan

17,00017,00011,28921,6273,98318,556 Russia

3,5003,2003,4503,6782,9444,363 Turkey

10,0008,0007,2005,4364,3029,337 Ukraine

1,2001,2009001,7821,5311,039 Uruguay

10,17010,77011,70911,10213,6389,683 Others

121,870118,670119,378125,69298,041111,199 Subtotal

30,00029,50027,69528,14236,04624,143 United States

151,870148,170147,073153,834134,087135,342 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,0002,0001,9002,2002,0002,500 Afghanistan

6,0006,0006,2006,3506,5165,167 Algeria

3,0003,0002,6002,0163,9513,353 Bangladesh

7,5007,5007,5487,0526,7426,690 Brazil

9,5008,5002,9602,9339271,394 China

9,0009,0008,30011,65010,60010,500 Egypt

5,0005,5005,7007,3684,6225,357 European Union

7,1007,1006,9006,4576,6065,364 Indonesia

4,0002,5005,4002,7003503,650 Iran

3,2003,2003,9003,7853,6313,899 Iraq

6,0006,0006,5986,3545,8695,502 Japan

4,8004,8005,4395,1884,7614,470 Korea, South

3,9003,9003,8255,0203,4043,196 Mexico

2,0002,0003,8003,2054,0192,304 Morocco

4,0004,0004,1503,9314,0523,990 Nigeria

3,8003,8003,6004,0613,1923,196 Philippines

3,0003,0002,0002,9041,7421,909 Saudi Arabia

1,9001,9001,7001,5421,6271,358 South Africa

1,9001,9001,9002,3611,6041,901 Sudan

1,9002,1001,8002,6461,9431,614 Thailand

1,8501,8501,6001,4731,8181,531 Tunisia

3,5003,0003,3004,4143,5463,218 Turkey

1,9001,7251,9002,6981,6181,677 Uzbekistan

2,1002,2001,8002,7112,4601,927 Vietnam

3,1003,1003,1002,6372,9452,602 Yemen

43,67042,69542,74244,22937,99441,063 Others

145,620142,270140,662147,885128,539129,332 Subtotal

2,7502,4002,9682,9152,9502,775 Unaccounted

3,5003,5003,4433,0342,5983,235 United States

151,870148,170147,073153,834134,087135,342 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

August 2013

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

Production

12,00013,00010,00015,50017,20012,000 Argentina

25,50025,50022,07929,90527,41021,834 Australia

29,50029,00027,20025,28823,30026,950 Canada

121,000121,000121,000117,400115,180115,120 China

8,8008,8008,5008,4007,2008,523 Egypt

141,373138,604133,049138,081136,667139,720 European Union

92,46092,00094,88086,87080,80080,680 India

15,50015,50014,00013,50015,03013,485 Iran

17,00014,5009,84122,7329,63817,051 Kazakhstan

6,8006,8003,8705,8004,8876,400 Morocco

24,00024,00023,30025,00023,90024,000 Pakistan

54,00054,00037,72056,24041,50861,770 Russia

18,00017,60015,50018,80017,00018,450 Turkey

21,50019,50015,76122,32416,84420,866 Ukraine

6,7006,7006,7006,3006,5006,200 Uzbekistan

53,70953,77050,11550,60249,15953,328 Others

647,842640,274593,515642,742592,223626,377 Subtotal

57,53657,52461,75554,41360,06260,366 United States

705,378697,798655,270697,155652,285686,743 World Total

none

Total Consumption

9,4509,4509,2508,9508,7508,550 Algeria

11,20011,20010,90011,20010,80011,000 Brazil

9,7009,7009,9009,8527,5527,213 Canada

126,500125,500125,000122,500110,500107,000 China

18,70018,70018,70018,60017,70018,100 Egypt

122,700122,000121,000126,875122,844125,622 European Union

90,97089,01083,84081,40681,76078,150 India

17,00016,80016,40015,50016,20016,800 Iran

7,4007,2006,5007,4006,2007,600 Kazakhstan

8,7008,5008,3008,8007,8507,800 Morocco

24,00024,00023,90023,10023,00023,000 Pakistan

36,50036,50033,55038,00038,60039,600 Russia

17,75017,60017,50018,10017,30017,100 Turkey

11,50011,50011,80014,95011,60012,300 Ukraine

8,0507,9507,9758,0007,7007,500 Uzbekistan

146,240145,535143,871142,925134,625132,176 Others

671,134664,214642,078664,656624,203622,805 Subtotal

35,68035,67938,34132,11230,63930,977 United States

706,814699,893680,419696,768654,842653,782 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

3,6573,6573,5323,2073,0112,345 Algeria

5,1975,1974,9075,9327,3607,743 Canada

56,93757,14653,93755,94659,09154,425 China

11,03911,7419,36613,81711,93416,575 European Union

20,20020,20024,20019,95015,36016,120 India

7,4046,1045,1041,4742,7664,200 Iran

6,1806,2695,18010,89913,73614,722 Russia

47,36546,38848,64668,13562,46059,059 Others

157,979156,702154,872179,360175,718175,189 Subtotal

15,00715,67619,55020,21123,46626,552 United States

172,986172,378174,422199,571199,184201,741 World Total

August 2013

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jul

2013/14

Aug

2013/14

TY Imports none

6,834 North America 6,431 8,550 7,745 7,890 7,890

1,445 Central America 1,684 1,666 1,639 1,635 1,685

13,170 South America 13,158 13,778 14,424 14,440 14,440

5,357 European Union - 28 4,622 7,368 5,700 5,500 5,000

1,669 Other Europe 1,614 1,914 1,735 1,820 1,820

5,432 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,503 8,021 7,490 6,705 6,830

22,557 Middle East 17,637 23,337 23,880 21,015 23,515

21,592 North Africa 24,428 24,239 21,600 20,600 20,600

16,368 Sub-Saharan Africa 15,428 18,499 17,780 17,675 17,750

13,754 East Asia 13,903 16,877 17,350 21,675 22,675

7,608 South Asia 7,619 5,573 5,695 6,530 7,030

13,924 Southeast Asia 16,286 18,007 16,115 17,285 16,985

2,857 Others 2,824 3,090 2,952 3,000 2,900

132,567 Total 131,137 150,919 144,105 145,770 149,120

Production none

91,464 North America 87,038 83,329 92,186 90,024 90,455

22,213 South America 27,560 25,867 18,821 22,991 21,741

139,720 European Union - 28 136,667 138,081 133,049 138,604 141,373

3,734 Other Europe 3,178 3,634 3,489 3,991 3,991


38,940 Middle East 40,223 40,266 36,618 41,785 42,185

20,241 North Africa 15,914 18,311 17,232 20,412 20,412


116,449 East Asia 116,350 118,774 122,444 122,361 122,361

111,144 South Asia 110,949 117,132 125,336 122,996 123,526

22,238 Oceania 27,855 30,288 22,565 25,900 25,900

174 Others 183 186 186 191 191

686,743 Total 652,285 697,155 655,270 697,798 705,378

Domestic Consumption none

44,490 North America 44,641 49,564 54,866 51,879 51,880

25,738 South America 25,648 26,161 26,228 26,510 26,585

125,622 European Union - 28 122,844 126,875 121,000 122,000 122,700

4,884 Other Europe 4,733 4,933 4,730 5,001 5,101


54,641 Middle East 55,136 56,734 55,930 57,765 58,640

39,441 North Africa 38,806 40,872 40,887 41,362 41,562


120,187 East Asia 123,954 136,930 140,415 139,735 140,790

113,755 South Asia 117,008 115,841 120,426 125,801 127,761

13,086 Southeast Asia 14,980 16,719 16,375 16,795 16,495

6,141 Oceania 6,835 7,807 7,891 8,185 8,185

3,295 Others 3,354 3,343 3,373 3,455 3,410

650,488 Total 653,620 688,270 686,727 696,824 702,040

Ending Stocks none

34,803 North America 31,143 26,718 24,763 21,278 20,529

7,703 South America 8,437 4,275 3,904 4,456 4,485

16,575 European Union - 28 11,934 13,817 9,366 11,741 11,039

1,668 Other Europe 1,153 1,275 1,066 1,084 956


13,958 Middle East 12,651 12,057 13,270 14,310 15,815

11,038 North Africa 12,207 14,026 11,346 10,134 10,221


57,307 East Asia 62,168 59,398 57,296 60,496 60,037

21,536 South Asia 21,238 25,768 28,518 24,153 25,063

3,211 Southeast Asia 3,933 4,582 3,630 3,272 3,445

5,343 Oceania 8,598 7,440 4,018 3,277 3,568

416 Others 382 435 423 427 414

201,741 Total 199,184 199,571 174,422 172,378 172,986

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.

August 2013


10

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW Global production for 2013/14 is down marginally from last month, but is still a record and remains higher than consumption. Stocks are ample, particularly in major exporting countries. Trade is up on account of stronger import demand from China and Africa. Exports are up for India, Pakistan, and Vietnam. U.S. production is up slightly, resulting in a lower season-average farm price. FEATURE

China’s Transition from Exporter to Importer

China has historically been the world’s largest producer and consumer of rice. However, its role in global trade has varied significantly recently, transitioning from major exporter to minor player to major importer. In 1998, China was the fourth-largest exporter, supplying 14 percent of global trade. Surplus production was shipped to Asian and African countries in attempts to cut stocks, strengthen domestic prices, and earn foreign exchange. Now, despite near-record production and ample domestic supplies, China is the world’s largest importer, accounting for over 7 percent of global trade. Prices from neighboring countries are lower than government-supported domestic prices, thus creating an incentive to import. China has a Tariff Rate Quota (TRQ) for 5.0 million tons.

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0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

MMT

Imports Exports

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3

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1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

MMT

Net Trade

Exports

Imports

August 2013


11

PRICES Over the past month, Thai export quotes have continued to decline, as more of its massive stocks became available. U.S. quotes have also fallen, with the harvest beginning in some parts of the country. Quotes have remained relatively stable for Uruguay, Pakistan, and India. Meanwhile, Vietnamese quotes have escalated on account of government procurement efforts and the implementation of higher minimum export prices. There is a wider range and more delineation between the various quotes than last year. Thai quotes have plunged in the direction of the other major Asian suppliers. TRADE CHANGES

Selected Exporters

• Argentina is cut 100,000 tons to 525,000 in 2013 on smaller exportable supplies.

• China is down 100,000 tons to 350,000 in 2013 on the pace of shipments to date.

• India is up 700,000 tons to 9.7 million in 2013 and up 500,000 tons to 9.0 million in 2014 as exports continue at a rapid pace and India is expected to remain price competitive.

• Pakistan is up 100,000 tons to 3.1 million in 2014 on larger exportable supplies and new financing terms with Iran.

• Vietnam is up 100,000 tons to 7.8 million in 2014 on stronger expected demand from China.

325

375

425

475

525

575

625

675

$/MT Exporter Quotes

Uruguay 5%

U.S. #2/4

Thai 100B

India 5%

Pakistan 5%

Vietnam 5%

August 2013


12

Selected Importers

• China is boosted 200,000 tons to 3.2 million in 2013 and raised 400,000 tons to 3.4 million in 2014 on account of continued price disparity with neighboring countries.

• Senegal is raised 150,000 tons to 1.2 million in both 2013 and 2014 as strong imports are expected to continue, especially from India.

August 2013

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

TY Exports

625625525608732468 Argentina

52052050044931154 Australia

8508508501,1051,296430 Brazil

750750750690778445 Burma

1,0001,000975800860750 Cambodia

350350350267487619 China

850850850600320570 Egypt

200200200197241282 European Union

345345300285257298 Guyana

9,0008,5009,70010,2504,6372,228 India

3,1003,0003,0003,3993,4144,000 Pakistan

250250275262208135 Paraguay

8,0008,0007,0006,94510,6479,047 Thailand

9009009001,056841808 Uruguay

7,8007,7007,4007,7177,0006,734 Vietnam

1,0171,0171,1271,192970833 Others

35,55734,85734,70235,82232,99927,701 Subtotal

3,1003,1003,4003,3053,2463,868 United States

38,65737,95738,10239,12736,24531,569 World Total

none

TY Imports

525525500353275280 Angola

430430300531,486660 Bangladesh

700700750732591778 Brazil

525475525450310300 Cameroon

3,4003,0003,2002,900575366 China

1,1001,1001,1501,450935840 Cote d'Ivoire

450450525330558498 Cuba

1,2001,2001,2001,3061,4751,216 European Union

575575550576620320 Ghana

420420425415381390 Hong Kong

1,5001,5001,0001,9603,0981,150 Indonesia

1,4501,4501,5001,5501,8701,520 Iran

1,4001,4001,4001,4781,0361,188 Iraq

700700700650742649 Japan

1,1001,1001,0501,0061,076907 Malaysia

750730725680705575 Mexico

470470450410360325 Mozambique

2,4002,4002,3003,4002,5502,000 Nigeria

1,2001,2001,5001,5001,2002,400 Philippines

1,2501,2501,2251,1931,0591,069 Saudi Arabia

1,1501,0001,1501,200805685 Senegal

975975950870885733 South Africa

600600600600200300 Thailand

450450440430420400 United Arab Emirates

450450425420337330 Yemen

10,96610,87110,71010,4889,7008,867 Others

36,13635,42135,25036,40033,24928,746 Subtotal

1,7961,7962,1522,0872,3752,261 Unaccounted

725740700640621562 United States

38,65737,95738,10239,12736,24531,569 World Total


Note about dates: 2013/14 is calendar year 2014, 2012/13 is calendar year 2013, and so on.

August 2013

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

Milled Production

34,20034,20033,80033,70031,70031,000 Bangladesh

8,5008,5008,1607,8889,3007,929 Brazil

11,00011,00010,66610,81610,52811,642 Burma

4,9004,9004,6004,2684,2334,056 Cambodia

143,000144,000143,300140,700137,000136,570 China

4,8504,8504,6754,2503,1004,564 Egypt

108,000108,000104,400105,31095,98089,090 India

37,70037,70036,55036,50035,50036,370 Indonesia

7,7207,7207,7567,6467,7207,711 Japan

4,2204,2204,0064,2244,2954,916 Korea, South

3,1003,1002,3702,8772,8182,234 Nigeria

6,4006,2005,6006,2005,0006,800 Pakistan

11,70011,70011,35010,71010,5399,772 Philippines

21,10021,10020,20020,46020,26220,260 Thailand

27,67027,67027,37527,15226,37124,993 Vietnam

38,09038,11337,77837,25937,36035,598 Others

472,150472,973462,586459,960441,706433,505 Subtotal

5,7795,7206,3345,8667,5937,133 United States

477,929478,693468,920465,826449,299440,638 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

34,60034,70034,45034,30032,40031,600 Bangladesh

7,8007,8007,9007,9288,2008,477 Brazil

10,25010,25010,20010,20010,10010,890 Burma

3,8003,8003,6153,4503,3703,270 Cambodia

146,500147,000144,000139,600135,000134,320 China

4,0004,0003,9003,6203,3003,940 Egypt

98,50098,50095,80093,33490,20685,508 India

39,80040,30039,55039,55039,00038,000 Indonesia

8,1508,1508,2508,0508,2008,200 Japan

4,4974,4974,6124,9055,1754,701 Korea, South

3,3503,3503,3203,2242,7133,060 Nepal

5,4005,4005,4005,4005,0004,350 Nigeria

12,90012,90012,85012,86012,90013,125 Philippines

10,70010,70010,60010,40010,30010,200 Thailand

20,50020,60020,10019,65019,40019,150 Vietnam

58,81158,44157,76356,16253,91252,360 Others

471,714472,495465,137456,218441,177434,094 Subtotal

3,5623,5633,8103,4934,3304,014 United States

475,276476,058468,947459,711445,507438,108 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

46,43246,52346,88245,02342,57440,534 China

24,50025,00024,00025,10023,50020,500 India

2,4852,4853,0855,0856,1756,577 Indonesia

2,8232,8232,7532,7472,7122,693 Japan

1,4091,4091,4091,5092,4593,520 Philippines

15,53015,53012,5309,3305,6156,100 Thailand

1,2711,2711,8011,8261,9411,470 Vietnam

12,04912,06411,25812,91912,23712,357 Others

106,499107,105103,718103,53997,21393,751 Subtotal

9699101,0971,3031,5141,184 United States

107,468108,015104,815104,84298,72794,935 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.

August 2013

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jul

2013/14

Aug

2013/14

TY Imports none

1,495 North America 1,654 1,664 1,765 1,820 1,825

969 Caribbean 1,099 845 1,080 1,010 1,010

1,354 South America 1,396 1,896 1,962 1,907 1,907

116 Other Europe 128 114 122 122 122

401 Former Soviet Union - 12 335 403 403 426 426

5,808 Middle East 5,989 6,351 6,255 6,350 6,330

345 North Africa 364 747 550 495 545


1,960 East Asia 2,444 4,389 5,151 4,716 5,116

1,016 South Asia 1,864 666 852 1,000 1,000

5,537 Southeast Asia 6,504 5,595 4,680 4,925 4,925

2,099 Others 2,293 2,151 2,020 2,040 2,040

29,308 Total 33,870 37,040 35,950 36,161 36,861

Production none

7,315 North America 7,739 5,979 6,462 5,845 5,901

954 Caribbean 938 1,024 885 991 991

15,664 South America 17,197 15,207 15,630 16,258 16,258

2,176 European Union - 28 2,172 2,105 2,101 2,107 2,107


2,049 Middle East 2,123 2,169 2,150 2,234 2,254

4,598 North Africa 3,139 4,289 4,704 4,889 4,889


151,828 East Asia 151,801 155,342 157,962 158,840 157,800

132,878 South Asia 138,116 151,656 149,935 154,620 154,820

110,063 Southeast Asia 110,476 112,992 113,917 117,321 117,321

810 Others 1,245 1,350 1,538 1,439 1,439

440,638 Total 449,299 465,826 468,920 478,693 477,929


5,158 North America 5,430 4,669 4,995 4,763 4,772

1,119 Central America 1,109 1,146 1,181 1,206 1,206

1,880 Caribbean 2,035 1,987 1,830 1,978 1,978

14,880 South America 14,457 14,195 14,286 14,321 14,321

3,150 European Union - 28 3,250 3,135 3,140 3,150 3,150


7,781 Middle East 8,183 8,399 8,500 8,700 8,685

4,307 North Africa 3,657 4,005 4,429 4,509 4,559


150,349 East Asia 151,733 155,911 160,367 163,147 162,607

126,275 South Asia 130,592 136,781 139,608 142,610 142,610

98,916 Southeast Asia 99,572 100,672 101,561 103,286 102,686

609 Others 634 661 712 702 702

435,165 Total 443,506 456,126 466,120 473,951 473,120

Ending Stocks none

1,322 North America 1,734 1,455 1,265 1,084 1,147

246 Central America 249 269 286 294 294

126 Caribbean 131 198 141 164 164

1,905 South America 2,168 1,509 1,667 1,991 1,986

1,122 European Union - 28 1,176 1,229 1,190 1,147 1,147

1,634 Middle East 1,723 1,492 1,367 1,161 1,196

498 North Africa 122 487 462 487 487

780 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,304 2,317 1,606 1,452 1,452

45,098 East Asia 46,690 48,874 50,734 50,579 50,488

22,561 South Asia 25,542 27,711 25,921 27,511 26,956

19,441 Southeast Asia 17,663 19,126 19,937 21,947 21,947

46 Oceania 27 40 120 84 90

156 Others 198 135 119 114 114

94,935 Total 98,727 104,842 104,815 108,015 107,468



August 2013


16

175

200

225

250

275

300

325

350

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

U.S. Gulf Black Sea Brazil Paranagua Argentina Up River

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW World corn production in 2013/14 is down as larger crops in Ukraine and India are more than offset by lower production in the United States, Mexico, EU, and Russia. Global trade is boosted to a record while the U.S. estimate is lowered because of reduced exportable supplies and competitor pressures. The U.S. season-average farm price is boosted slightly. For 2012/13, U.S. exports are unchanged; the season-average farm price is also unchanged. PRICES Since the release of the June WASDE report, U.S. corn quotes have been in a freefall, dropping more than $80/ton through the first week of August to $236/ton, as favorable summer weather supports the development of a record crop. The premium against Argentine and Black Sea quotes has consequently shrunk by more than two-thirds and half, respectively. At the same time, Brazil’s huge second-crop harvest is underway, causing prices to drop, thereby improving its competitiveness against Argentina. Ukraine is also poised for a record harvest and prices are plummeting.


17

TRADE CHANGES IN 2013/14 Selected Exporters

• U.S. corn is lowered 500,000 tons to 32.5 million on reduced exportable supplies.

• Brazilian corn is raised 2.0 million tons to 20.0 million on larger old-crop supplies.

• EU corn is cut 200,000 tons to 2.5 million and Russian corn is slashed 500,000 tons to 2.0 million due to smaller crops and stronger competition from Ukraine.

• Ukrainian corn is raised 1.5 million tons to 18.0 million on prospects for a record crop.

• Argentine barley is up 300,000 tons to 2.6 million on improved production prospects.

• Canadian barley is lowered 400,000 tons to 1.2 million due to reduced harvested area and strong competition from Europe and Argentina.

• EU barley is raised 500,000 tons to 4.3 million on a larger crop, restoring its position as the world’s largest barley exporter.

Selected Importers

• Egyptian corn is up 300,000 tons to 5.2 million based on higher feed use.

• EU corn is raised 500,000 tons to 7.5 million because of a smaller crop and ample Ukrainian supplies.

• Mexican corn is raised 1.5 million tons to 8.0 million based on a smaller crop.

• South Korean corn is raised 700,000 tons to 8.9 million on expanding feed demand.

• Turkish corn is lowered 200,000 tons to 500,000 on improved domestic supplies.

• Algerian barley is doubled to 400,000 tons based on the pace of purchases.

• Chinese sorghum is doubled to a record 400,000 tons on trade reports of purchases. TRADE CHANGES IN 2012/13 Selected Exporters

• Argentine corn is raised 1.5 million tons to 23.5 million due to a record export pace.

August 2013


18

• EU corn is boosted 200,000 tons to 1.7 million reflecting late-season export licenses.

• Argentine barley is lowered 300,000 tons to 3.7 million on account of smaller-than-expected old-crop supplies and the pace of shipments to date.

Selected Importers

• U.S. corn is boosted 200,000 tons to 4.2 million on continued imports for feed use (Canadian exports are raised 200,000 tons to 1.6 million).

• Egyptian and South Korean corn are boosted 500,000 tons each to 4.5 and 8.5 million,

respectively, based on trade data.

• EU, Indonesian, and Turkish corn are boosted 300,000 tons each on stronger-than-expected shipments.

• Mexican corn is slashed 1.0 million tons to 5.5 million and Mexican sorghum is cut 200,000 tons to 2.0 million on tight U.S. supplies (high prices) through late summer.

• Venezuelan corn is cut 200,000 tons to 2.3 million due to a slow pace of shipments.

August 2013

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

TY Exports

21,60521,30530,80522,30818,62819,030 Argentina

5,2005,2005,0507,2794,8994,414 Australia

20,00518,00527,03012,67711,5928,627 Brazil

4,0504,4504,8003,8544,4283,070 Canada

7,0556,7556,2557,1525,8654,293 European Union

3,5753,5755,2754,8583,4372,072 India

2,3052,3052,4052,1881,2011,363 Paraguay

5,9106,4104,4355,9971,0292,526 Russia

2,0052,0055052,3452,0131,366 Serbia

20,18018,68015,90017,4477,49010,977 Ukraine

5,9555,9555,8607,1216,1877,124 Others

97,84594,645108,32093,22666,76964,862 Subtotal

36,55037,05019,63040,19149,18353,922 United States

134,395131,695127,950133,417115,952118,784 World Total

none

TY Imports

3,4103,2103,1103,6912,9452,576 Algeria

1,2051,2051,1051,2116331,049 Brazil

1,5251,5251,4751,5231,2711,275 Chile

9,6509,4505,4507,9242,6973,777 China

4,6554,6554,2554,1044,1554,102 Colombia

900900850746838736 Cuba

1,2001,2001,1001,0549991,098 Dominican Republic

5,2754,9754,5757,2505,8405,897 Egypt

7,8807,38011,3556,8848,6352,837 European Union

2,2002,2002,7001,7243,0411,321 Indonesia

5,1005,1004,5005,7004,0005,100 Iran

1,6901,6901,5001,5301,4461,592 Israel

18,53518,53517,61017,73018,59019,190 Japan

1,4001,3001,3501,158917713 Jordan

8,9908,2908,5907,7268,1688,509 Korea, South

8508507508295431,238 Libya

3,4003,4003,1003,3092,8093,107 Malaysia

11,75010,2507,70012,81910,76010,872 Mexico

2,2502,2501,9002,4792,0592,194 Morocco

2,2602,2602,0601,9282,0791,886 Peru

9,9009,9009,90010,4858,1389,076 Saudi Arabia

4,4504,4504,4504,5004,2774,644 Taiwan

1,3501,3501,2501,0719581,202 Tunisia

2,6002,6002,3002,5961,2512,198 Venezuela

1,6001,6001,4001,6001,0001,600 Vietnam

13,10013,20013,75514,85814,53715,200 Others

127,125123,725118,090126,429112,586112,989 Subtotal

4,1954,8953,2603,8489173,520 Unaccounted

3,0753,0756,6003,1402,4492,275 United States

134,395131,695127,950133,417115,952118,784 World Total


August 2013

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

Production

37,15836,85837,35230,10533,25830,231 Argentina

11,13711,13710,05912,25711,48510,935 Australia

74,81374,81382,76775,88460,38058,182 Brazil

25,77526,27524,29622,92122,66822,780 Canada

217,480217,480212,390199,297183,771169,775 China

11,60211,60211,36311,43510,4698,046 Ethiopia

155,288154,220145,098149,986142,829157,547 European Union

41,54040,50039,91042,25043,37033,890 India

9,2009,2008,0008,8506,8006,900 Indonesia

29,46530,46528,02825,75329,22627,273 Mexico

21,90021,90021,27323,85023,25023,250 Nigeria

35,60036,10028,65833,07716,41631,843 Russia

13,49313,49312,71413,25611,32113,881 South Africa

12,87512,27510,57511,27510,18511,176 Turkey

37,47034,50029,52733,47621,50324,185 Ukraine

146,063146,253140,490137,139141,788136,928 Others

880,859877,071842,500830,811768,719766,822 Subtotal

364,764370,462286,005323,728330,236348,755 United States

1,245,6231,247,5331,128,5051,154,5391,098,9551,115,577 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

12,45812,35811,30210,51011,03310,054 Argentina

57,13357,13356,08853,73852,73349,514 Brazil

21,30021,30020,58620,28121,20122,746 Canada

233,325233,125216,075196,992188,448173,251 China

12,32512,02512,33712,84913,57513,072 Egypt

11,62511,62511,30711,2609,9258,543 Ethiopia

155,270154,620153,605151,066154,657152,412 European Union

37,30036,75035,12537,85038,85032,000 India

18,73018,73017,81017,99018,87519,645 Japan

40,01540,21535,96538,04539,78540,815 Mexico

21,85021,85021,45023,75023,20023,050 Nigeria

29,10029,10025,03427,72818,13130,440 Russia

11,57311,57311,37811,25211,21310,833 South Africa

12,67512,52512,82511,72511,07510,865 Turkey

15,55015,08014,13615,55913,77212,994 Ukraine

217,767217,232212,330205,697205,196199,629 Others

911,438911,618863,423864,765832,396817,651 Subtotal

303,727305,887279,434290,047298,057295,404 United States

1,215,1651,217,5051,142,8571,154,8121,130,4531,113,055 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

13,63913,13912,7599,50510,60510,257 Brazil

3,7443,8442,7743,3943,5495,534 Canada

55,58755,58761,88760,23250,13452,302 China

13,11512,57312,27216,07916,73226,241 European Union

3,3993,3993,4193,6393,5594,063 Iran

3,3973,3973,3973,8813,5815,367 South Africa

3,9122,8122,0922,4212,1492,217 Ukraine

34,99234,40231,69238,60843,25543,236 Others

131,785129,153130,292137,759133,564149,217 Subtotal

49,90053,05720,93527,82032,28848,133 United States

181,685182,210151,227165,579165,852197,350 World Total

August 2013

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jul

2013/14

Aug

2013/14

TY Imports none

15,158 North America 14,264 16,723 14,845 13,870 15,370

2,537 Central America 2,900 2,768 2,700 3,000 3,000

2,166 Caribbean 2,193 2,159 2,330 2,480 2,480

11,108 South America 10,519 11,969 11,845 13,020 13,020

2,837 European Union - 28 8,635 6,884 11,355 7,380 7,880

456 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,134 1,013 770 785 785

21,263 Middle East 18,690 23,337 21,880 21,430 21,430

13,107 North Africa 12,345 15,320 11,585 12,635 13,135


36,249 East Asia 33,888 38,062 36,230 40,855 41,755

6,725 Southeast Asia 7,558 7,317 7,770 7,945 7,945

880 Others 881 1,019 1,025 1,030 1,030

115,264 Total 115,035 129,569 124,690 126,800 130,200

Production none

398,808 North America 382,130 372,402 338,329 427,202 420,004

101,826 South America 106,037 117,972 133,601 125,143 125,443

157,547 European Union - 28 142,829 149,986 145,098 154,220 155,288

9,387 Other Europe 9,800 9,383 6,265 9,971 9,671


18,950 Middle East 18,750 19,041 18,461 20,505 21,105

14,858 North Africa 12,452 11,220 10,479 11,854 11,854


171,831 East Asia 185,739 201,424 214,650 219,752 219,712

40,511 South Asia 49,884 48,901 46,736 47,326 48,366

25,451 Southeast Asia 26,374 28,379 28,607 30,590 30,590

11,642 Oceania 12,030 12,864 10,729 11,767 11,767

4,668 Others 4,621 4,795 4,864 4,863 4,863

1,115,577 Total 1,098,955 1,154,539 1,128,505 1,247,533 1,245,623


358,965 North America 359,043 348,373 335,985 367,402 365,042

79,659 South America 84,425 85,601 88,989 91,968 91,968

152,412 European Union - 28 154,657 151,066 153,605 154,620 155,270

8,518 Other Europe 8,495 8,214 6,702 8,376 8,276


38,699 Middle East 38,308 40,085 41,804 41,974 42,324

24,626 North Africa 25,685 25,353 23,967 25,055 25,355


208,034 East Asia 221,795 229,527 249,321 266,806 267,466

38,754 South Asia 45,439 44,683 41,893 43,213 43,763

31,175 Southeast Asia 33,139 34,612 36,000 37,405 37,305

7,761 Oceania 7,495 6,568 5,982 6,317 6,342

9,438 Others 9,698 9,692 9,883 10,143 10,143

1,105,267 Total 1,129,726 1,136,339 1,146,787 1,211,128 1,211,723

Ending Stocks none

55,620 North America 37,878 33,075 25,183 59,280 56,168

17,444 South America 20,111 13,459 16,310 17,575 17,860

26,241 European Union - 28 16,732 16,079 12,272 12,573 13,115

1,377 Other Europe 1,406 1,010 899 1,329 1,129


9,271 Middle East 7,508 9,416 8,522 8,393 8,643

5,255 North Africa 4,772 5,426 3,760 3,219 3,369


55,775 East Asia 53,394 63,247 64,696 58,592 58,592

1,674 South Asia 2,654 2,104 1,542 1,965 2,545

3,379 Southeast Asia 3,508 3,068 2,510 2,500 2,600

2,807 Oceania 1,584 980 777 1,097 952

882 Others 813 815 786 926 951

197,350 Total 165,852 165,579 151,227 182,210 181,685



August 2013

World Corn Trade


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

TY Exports

16,00016,00023,50016,50115,19816,973 Argentina

20,00018,00027,00012,67411,5838,623 Brazil

1,0001,0001,6004941,658186 Canada

2,5002,7001,7003,2871,0961,569 European Union

3,5003,5004,8004,6743,3761,917 India

2,3002,3002,4002,1881,2011,359 Paraguay

2,0002,5002,0002,02737427 Russia

2,0002,0005002,3312,0041,343 Serbia

1,9001,9001,9001,8312,8391,586 South Africa

18,00016,50013,50015,1575,0085,072 Ukraine

3,0003,0003,2054,1612,5433,972 Others

72,20069,40082,10565,32546,54343,027 Subtotal

32,50033,00017,50038,42845,13549,696 United States

104,700102,40099,605103,75391,67892,723 World Total

none

TY Imports

3,0003,0002,8003,2032,6832,569 Algeria

800800800937287699 Brazil

850850800906526663 Chile

7,0007,0003,0005,2319791,296 China

3,6003,6003,2003,2093,5113,651 Colombia

750750750691663626 Costa Rica

900900850746838736 Cuba

1,2001,2001,1001,0549991,098 Dominican Republic

5,2004,9004,5007,1545,8035,832 Egypt

7,5007,00010,8006,1137,3852,758 European Union

750750650691676651 Guatemala

2,2002,2002,7001,7243,0411,321 Indonesia

4,1004,1003,5004,0003,5004,300 Iran

1,4001,4001,2001,2211,0291,053 Israel

15,50015,50014,50014,89215,64815,971 Japan

8,9008,2008,5007,6368,1078,461 Korea, South

3,4003,4003,1003,3092,8093,107 Malaysia

8,0006,5005,50011,1728,2528,298 Mexico

2,0002,0001,7001,9431,7381,802 Morocco

2,1002,1001,9001,7721,9391,782 Peru

2,3002,3002,1001,8161,9331,872 Saudi Arabia

4,3004,3004,3004,3414,1344,521 Taiwan

850850750853677866 Tunisia

2,6002,6002,3002,5961,2512,198 Venezuela

1,6001,6001,4001,6001,0001,600 Vietnam

10,19510,39510,37011,40210,88412,095 Others

100,99598,19593,070100,21290,29289,826 Subtotal

2,9553,4552,3352,7767022,660 Unaccounted

7507504,200765684237 United States

104,700102,40099,605103,75391,67892,723 World Total


August 2013

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

Production

27,00027,00026,50021,00025,20025,000 Argentina

72,00072,00080,00073,00057,40056,100 Brazil

13,80013,80013,06011,35912,0439,796 Canada

211,000211,000205,600192,780177,245163,974 China

5,6005,6005,8005,5006,5006,280 Egypt

65,02565,62558,53968,08958,26559,147 European Union

22,50021,50022,23021,76021,73016,720 India

9,2009,2008,0008,8506,8006,900 Indonesia

22,00023,00021,50018,72621,05820,374 Mexico

7,7007,7007,6309,2508,8008,950 Nigeria

7,4007,4007,2677,1307,2716,231 Philippines

9,0009,5008,2136,9623,0753,963 Russia

6,7007,0003,5006,4006,8006,400 Serbia

13,00013,00012,20012,75910,92413,420 South Africa

29,00026,00020,92222,83811,91910,486 Ukraine

86,62486,16483,98582,92980,48477,878 Others

607,549605,489584,946569,332515,514491,619 Subtotal

349,597354,346273,832313,949316,165332,549 United States

957,146959,835858,778883,281831,679824,168 World Total

none

Total Consumption

8,3008,3007,3007,0007,3006,900 Argentina

54,00054,00053,00050,50049,50047,000 Brazil

12,80012,80011,90011,63611,76111,868 Canada

224,000224,000207,000188,000180,000165,000 China

11,20010,90011,20011,70012,50012,000 Egypt

70,00070,00069,00069,20064,90061,300 European Union

18,40017,90017,40017,20018,10015,100 India

11,10011,20010,90010,5009,8008,800 Indonesia

15,50015,50014,50014,90015,70016,300 Japan

8,8008,3008,8007,8158,2148,382 Korea, South

29,00029,00027,00029,00029,50030,200 Mexico

7,7007,7007,8009,2508,8008,800 Nigeria

7,5007,5007,4007,4007,2006,500 Philippines

11,00011,00010,80010,70010,65010,300 South Africa

9,1008,6007,7007,8006,5005,700 Ukraine

138,682138,822133,498130,591125,009123,083 Others

639,241640,316601,362600,148564,377544,226 Subtotal

290,844292,114266,711279,035285,123281,615 United States

930,085932,430868,073879,183849,500825,841 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

13,31012,81012,5109,21010,2769,989 Brazil

1,9251,9251,4251,3651,2631,731 Canada

54,83554,83560,88559,33549,41551,302 China

5,6015,4015,5766,9375,2225,568 European Union

2,0161,7661,1661,3161,1121,389 Mexico

3,2263,2263,2013,6763,4185,169 South Africa

2,7731,7738231,0511,121672 Ukraine

19,81119,46719,24924,39027,83326,925 Others

103,497101,203104,835107,28099,660102,745 Subtotal

46,67149,76918,27225,12228,64443,380 United States

150,168150,972123,107132,402128,304146,125 World Total

August 2013

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jul

2013/14

Aug

2013/14

TY Imports none

10,496 North America 9,920 12,684 10,200 7,750 9,250

2,537 Central America 2,889 2,765 2,700 3,000 3,000

9,469 South America 8,372 9,886 9,365 10,540 10,540

2,758 European Union - 28 7,385 6,113 10,800 7,000 7,500


11,187 Middle East 9,942 10,686 10,625 10,875 10,675

11,725 North Africa 11,265 13,799 10,300 11,400 11,700


30,378 East Asia 29,024 32,282 30,430 35,130 35,830

6,709 Southeast Asia 7,541 7,304 7,750 7,925 7,925

2,166 Caribbean 2,193 2,159 2,330 2,480 2,480

558 Others 574 590 645 670 670

90,063 Total 90,976 100,977 97,270 98,945 101,745

Production none

362,719 North America 349,266 344,034 308,392 391,146 385,397

92,518 South America 93,105 103,988 117,736 110,265 110,265

59,147 European Union - 28 58,265 68,089 58,539 65,625 65,025

7,615 Other Europe 8,071 7,673 4,580 8,255 7,955


6,305 Middle East 6,039 5,968 6,783 6,683 7,083

6,486 North Africa 6,780 5,701 6,001 5,801 5,801


165,679 East Asia 178,947 194,582 207,535 212,934 212,894

22,020 South Asia 26,956 27,198 27,668 26,938 27,938

3,542 Central America 3,549 3,698 3,740 3,743 3,743

25,212 Southeast Asia 26,135 28,138 28,370 30,350 30,350

1,223 Others 1,203 1,318 1,318 1,237 1,237

824,168 Total 831,679 883,281 858,778 959,835 957,146


323,683 North America 326,384 319,671 305,611 333,914 332,644

70,639 South America 73,923 75,196 77,770 80,695 80,595

61,300 European Union - 28 64,900 69,200 69,000 70,000 70,000

6,487 Other Europe 6,499 6,244 4,735 6,385 6,285


16,885 Middle East 16,885 16,848 18,160 17,810 17,810

17,650 North Africa 18,525 18,000 17,600 17,600 17,900


196,111 East Asia 209,870 217,047 236,555 254,055 254,515

20,475 South Asia 23,381 22,770 22,770 22,970 23,470

30,943 Southeast Asia 32,893 34,357 35,750 37,150 37,050

6,250 Central America 6,375 6,425 6,400 6,650 6,650

3,285 Others 3,420 3,369 3,580 3,555 3,555

818,848 Total 850,557 862,227 871,909 927,636 927,926

Ending Stocks none

46,500 North America 31,019 27,803 20,863 53,460 50,612

16,383 South America 17,943 12,425 15,213 15,973 16,258

5,568 European Union - 28 5,222 6,937 5,576 5,401 5,601

1,125 Other Europe 1,150 710 575 985 785


4,409 Middle East 3,509 3,448 2,731 2,439 2,639

2,258 North Africa 2,102 2,939 1,880 1,471 1,471


54,090 East Asia 52,055 61,806 63,166 57,325 57,325

996 South Asia 1,140 933 851 1,209 1,739

3,376 Southeast Asia 3,504 3,065 2,505 2,495 2,595

559 Central America 552 569 579 647 647

346 Others 265 259 217 290 319

146,125 Total 128,304 132,402 123,107 150,972 150,168



August 2013

World Barley Trade


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

TY Exports

2,6002,3003,7003,6311,531549 Argentina

4,1004,1003,8005,8194,0883,846 Australia

1,2001,6001,5001,4371,0521,203 Canada

555210 Chile

55104913 China

10101001414 Egypt

4,3003,8004,3003,6214,5812,368 European Union

5050275523031 India

500500200659224354 Kazakhstan

10101051045 Moldova

3,8003,8002,3003,6689692,086 Russia

55514922 Serbia

5050501031801 Turkey

2,0002,0002,2002,1662,4465,752 Ukraine

2525100000 Uruguay

003013626 Others

18,66018,26018,49521,19414,97117,110 Subtotal

200200200179181152 United States

18,86018,46018,69521,37315,15217,262 World Total

none

TY Imports

4002003004792626 Algeria

400400300274345346 Brazil

2,2002,2002,2002,5411,6562,341 China

250250250301251237 Colombia

1,0001,0001,0001,700500800 Iran

225225200276287491 Israel

1,3001,3001,3001,2571,3591,411 Japan

950850900750544432 Jordan

250250250350317283 Kuwait

200200200183179582 Libya

250250200536222248 Morocco

25025025037241113 Russia

7,5007,5007,7008,6006,2007,200 Saudi Arabia

500500500218281336 Tunisia

500400500525334299 United Arab Emirates

1,4901,4901,9001,9631,7371,372 Others

17,66517,26517,95020,32514,88516,397 Subtotal

645645245579119563 Unaccounted

550550500469148302 United States

18,86018,46018,69521,37315,15217,262 World Total


August 2013

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

Production

1,7501,7501,5001,3501,5002,400 Algeria

4,3004,0005,2004,5002,9501,356 Argentina

7,4007,4006,7618,2217,9957,865 Australia

1,7001,7002,1002,0131,9662,123 Belarus

8,5009,0008,0107,8927,6279,528 Canada

2,3002,3002,3502,3001,9722,318 China

1,6321,6321,6201,5921,5251,569 Ethiopia

57,11756,04654,57252,02653,69162,393 European Union

1,7401,7001,6201,6601,3501,690 India

3,4003,4003,4002,9003,2103,446 Iran

2,2002,2001,5002,5931,3132,519 Kazakhstan

2,6002,6001,2002,3402,5703,800 Morocco

17,50017,50013,95216,9388,35017,881 Russia

7,3007,1005,5007,0005,9006,500 Turkey

7,0007,0006,9359,0988,48411,833 Ukraine

8,9218,8718,3048,4758,2798,682 Others

135,360134,199124,524130,898118,682145,903 Subtotal

4,7364,7794,7963,3923,9254,949 United States

140,096138,978129,320134,290122,607150,852 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,1502,1502,0001,8001,6001,350 Algeria

3,3003,3003,1003,3004,2004,500 Australia

1,9001,9002,2002,1002,0002,200 Belarus

7,0007,0006,8006,9167,4648,717 Canada

4,6004,6004,5004,6004,0504,500 China

1,6501,6501,4321,5351,5251,550 Ethiopia

52,22051,87051,82051,23056,61056,770 European Union

1,7001,6501,5251,5501,3501,500 India

4,2004,2004,5003,9003,7003,700 Iran

1,6501,6501,3751,8251,4752,000 Kazakhstan

2,8002,8001,9003,1003,0502,900 Morocco

13,30013,30012,10014,3009,50016,650 Russia

7,9257,9257,9257,2256,3257,425 Saudi Arabia

6,8506,7006,1006,7506,0005,900 Turkey

5,1005,1005,0006,3006,0005,600 Ukraine

15,91215,56215,34515,32614,71614,805 Others

132,926132,126127,607131,537131,278140,373 Subtotal

5,0065,0074,6684,1924,5374,604 United States

137,932137,133132,275135,729135,815144,977 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,2351,0351,2351,4351,2361,247 Algeria

1,2551,3559301,1951,5022,502 Canada

5,0334,8644,3366,1847,93815,552 European Union

1,9781,9781,7781,3781,1781,268 Iran

1,3001,3006508481,3862,395 Russia

2,1782,1782,6032,7281,2532,078 Saudi Arabia

9678671,0371,1727941,067 Ukraine

6,1576,2955,4266,4526,9058,721 Others

20,10319,87217,99521,39222,19234,830 Subtotal

1,8041,8461,7481,3061,9452,515 United States

21,90721,71819,74322,69824,13737,345 World Total

August 2013

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jul

2013/14

Aug

2013/14

TY Imports none

373 North America 227 619 625 725 725

772 South America 905 851 960 960 960

66 European Union - 28 288 340 100 100 100

134 Other Europe 189 209 230 205 205


10,019 Middle East 8,604 12,532 11,050 10,385 10,585

1,215 North Africa 960 1,458 1,250 1,200 1,400

59 Sub-Saharan Africa 76 80 70 65 65

3,842 East Asia 3,107 3,946 3,625 3,625 3,625

10 South Asia 8 68 55 50 50

14 Oceania 15 19 5 5 5

16,699 Total 15,033 20,794 18,450 17,815 18,215

Production none

14,996 North America 12,224 11,771 13,369 14,329 13,786

2,443 South America 3,869 5,535 6,304 5,140 5,440

62,393 European Union - 28 53,691 52,026 54,572 56,046 57,117

1,163 Other Europe 1,112 1,163 1,181 1,212 1,212


11,320 Middle East 11,100 11,670 10,275 12,419 12,619

7,340 North Africa 4,589 4,448 3,408 4,983 4,983


2,646 East Asia 2,215 2,602 2,652 2,615 2,615

2,330 South Asia 1,957 2,192 2,327 2,407 2,447

8,300 Oceania 8,303 8,589 7,197 7,800 7,800

150,852 Total 122,607 134,290 129,320 138,978 140,096


14,021 North America 12,701 11,808 12,118 12,707 12,706

2,933 South America 2,937 3,072 3,490 3,270 3,370

56,770 European Union - 28 56,610 51,230 51,820 51,870 52,220

1,282 Other Europe 1,309 1,336 1,370 1,399 1,399


20,403 Middle East 19,694 21,786 21,996 22,586 22,936

5,847 North Africa 5,925 6,199 5,262 6,350 6,350


6,276 East Asia 5,771 6,375 6,250 6,355 6,355

2,163 South Asia 1,967 2,122 2,237 2,357 2,407

4,925 Oceania 4,550 3,700 3,525 3,700 3,700

144,671 Total 134,102 135,949 132,290 136,364 137,263

Ending Stocks none

5,214 North America 3,647 2,621 2,811 3,334 3,192

601 South America 851 590 532 932 932

15,552 European Union - 28 7,938 6,184 4,336 4,864 5,033

203 Other Europe 191 206 238 251 251


4,813 Middle East 3,923 5,878 5,707 5,875 5,925

2,953 North Africa 2,612 2,451 1,849 1,722 1,872


1,139 East Asia 681 850 867 747 747

224 South Asia 197 258 118 168 158

1,934 Oceania 1,041 578 455 588 460

37,345 Total 24,137 22,698 19,743 21,718 21,907



August 2013

World Sorghum Trade


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

TY Exports

3,0003,0003,6002,1631,8931,507 Argentina

9009001,0001,185575350 Australia

505050366841 China

75757575750 Ethiopia

252520013231124 India

50500756050 Nigeria

1501501501133441 Ukraine

13013014512880178 Others

4,3804,3805,2203,9072,8162,291 Subtotal

3,8003,8001,9001,5493,8274,032 United States

8,1808,1807,1205,4566,6436,323 World Total

none

TY Imports

600600600544729568 Chile

40020020084483 China

800800800592391212 Colombia

1751753501269227 European Union

1,6001,6001,7001,4811,4181,649 Japan

3,5003,5002,0001,3692,3792,486 Mexico

606060595731 Peru

1001001006954 Saudi Arabia

100100100125200400 Sudan

100100100849771 Taiwan

435435490525509795 Others

7,8707,6706,5005,0586,7116,306 Subtotal

310510320395-6917 Unaccounted

00300310 United States

8,1808,1807,1205,4566,6436,323 World Total


August 2013

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

Production

5,4005,4005,2004,2004,4003,629 Argentina

2,1002,1001,7212,2391,9351,508 Australia

2,1002,1002,1162,2222,3141,624 Brazil

1,8001,8001,9241,5001,9501,522 Burkina

9009001,2006481,000600 Chad

2,0002,0002,1902,0502,4561,677 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

3,7003,7003,5703,7813,4652,084 Ethiopia

5,8005,8005,3006,0307,0006,700 India

1,1001,1001,1171,191925980 Mali

6,8006,8005,8506,4257,3856,250 Mexico

1,0001,0001,0007001,300739 Niger

6,5006,5005,9436,9006,7506,600 Nigeria

3,8003,8004,2712,0894,6062,630 Sudan

760760800807800710 Tanzania

7,2057,2056,9446,9256,5206,207 Others

51,86551,86550,04648,60753,70644,360 Subtotal

9,11610,0336,2725,4478,7799,728 United States

60,98161,89856,31854,05462,48554,088 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,3002,3002,0501,9001,9001,900 Argentina

1,1301,1059051,1051,4051,205 Australia

2,1002,1002,1002,2752,2751,675 Brazil

1,8001,8001,9001,5001,8001,686 Burkina

9509501,150700950625 Chad

2,5002,3002,3002,2002,2001,900 China

980980955755580380 Colombia

3,7003,7003,7003,7003,2002,400 Ethiopia

5,7005,7005,1006,1006,8006,600 India

1,6001,6001,7001,4751,4601,650 Japan

1,1001,1001,1171,191925980 Mali

10,10010,3008,1008,1009,4009,700 Mexico

1,0501,0501,0258501,250900 Niger

6,4506,4505,9506,8006,7006,550 Nigeria

3,9003,9004,2002,6504,5003,400 Sudan

9,7709,7709,8159,52210,1808,754 Others

55,50055,67551,80252,34855,55850,655 Subtotal

4,9535,8424,8773,9535,2785,901 United States

60,45361,51756,67956,30160,83656,556 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

317317217167950152 Argentina

166175146230361681 Australia

255255405365467275 China

198198123123327154 India

368473168418724360 Mexico

208208208215190200 Nigeria

315315320154610309 Sudan

1,1391,1391,2041,2751,451949 Others

2,9663,0802,7912,9475,0803,080 Subtotal

7317593785836971,048 United States

3,6973,8393,1693,5305,7774,128 World Total

August 2013

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jul

2013/14

Aug

2013/14

TY Imports none

2,486 North America 2,380 1,372 2,300 3,500 3,500

848 South America 1,218 1,200 1,495 1,495 1,495

7 European Union - 28 922 126 350 175 175

17 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

48 Middle East 121 101 175 150 150

166 North Africa 120 54 25 25 25


1,806 East Asia 1,523 1,655 2,005 1,905 2,105

16 Southeast Asia 17 13 20 20 20

35 Others 21 14 5 5 5

6,306 Total 6,712 5,061 6,800 7,670 7,870

Production none

15,978 North America 16,164 11,872 12,122 16,833 15,916

341 Central America 287 312 339 335 335

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,923 South America 7,351 7,124 8,008 8,242 8,242

621 European Union - 28 629 671 485 577 577

581 Middle East 807 640 640 640 640

911 North Africa 906 915 915 915 915


1,697 East Asia 2,476 2,070 2,210 2,020 2,020

6,845 South Asia 7,145 6,175 5,445 5,945 5,945


1,508 Oceania 1,935 2,239 1,721 2,100 2,100

42 Others 61 176 208 250 250

54,088 Total 62,485 54,054 56,318 61,898 60,981


15,601 North America 14,678 12,053 12,977 16,142 15,053

325 Central America 300 320 325 335 335

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,145 South America 5,934 6,110 6,267 6,562 6,562

630 European Union - 28 1,550 760 830 750 750

669 Middle East 916 677 850 800 800

1,008 North Africa 1,057 990 940 940 940


3,643 East Asia 3,779 3,786 4,120 4,030 4,230

6,780 South Asia 6,955 6,255 5,250 5,850 5,850


1,205 Oceania 1,405 1,105 905 1,105 1,130

47 Others 30 55 55 105 105

56,206 Total 60,803 54,776 56,944 60,947 60,083

Ending Stocks none

1,408 North America 1,421 1,001 546 1,232 1,099

43 Central America 32 25 34 29 29

365 South America 1,192 348 429 564 564

24 European Union - 28 20 13 13 10 10

22 Middle East 35 44 34 24 24

43 North Africa 57 34 29 24 24

980 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,774 1,243 1,296 1,224 1,224

397 East Asia 549 452 497 342 342

154 South Asia 327 123 123 198 198

681 Oceania 361 230 146 175 166

11 Others 9 17 22 17 17

4,128 Total 5,777 3,530 3,169 3,839 3,697



August 2013

World Oats Trade


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

TY Exports

5551361 Argentina

150150150174211211 Australia

555394 Brazil

1,7001,7001,5001,7641,4971,539 Canada

10010010010612937 Chile

150150150176113215 European Union

1010101814 Russia

1010106420 Others

2,1302,1301,9302,2601,9702,031 Subtotal


2,1752,1751,9552,2872,0072,069 World Total

none

TY Imports

000055 Albania

101010901 Algeria

555353 Bosnia and Herzegovina

202020111821 Canada

505050685857 China

555222 Colombia

151515221111 Ecuador


606060546456 Japan

10010010013410346 Mexico

252515491034 Norway

252525111521 South Africa

505050564949 Switzerland

555440 Turkey

5558114 Uruguay

000983 Others

380380370443367315 Subtotal

195195185115172147 Unaccounted

1,6001,6001,4001,7291,4681,607 United States

2,1752,1751,9552,2872,0072,069 World Total


August 2013

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

Production

12512512512614096 Algeria

400400400345660182 Argentina

1,2001,2001,0481,2621,1281,162 Australia

450450600448442552 Belarus

380380361354379253 Brazil

3,1003,1002,6803,1582,4512,912 Canada

595595680505564381 Chile

580580600600525580 China

8,0588,0987,8827,9087,5008,641 European Union

200200200258134204 Kazakhstan

115115115115111130 Mexico

225225225231299277 Norway

5,0005,0004,0275,3323,2185,401 Russia

210210210210204218 Turkey

450450630506458731 Ukraine

313313298343359348 Others

21,40121,44120,08121,70118,57222,068 Subtotal

1,0921,0819297791,1781,351 United States

22,49322,52221,01022,48019,75023,419 World Total

none

Total Consumption

13513513513414196 Algeria

400400400350650200 Argentina

9009009001,100900975 Australia

475475575450475575 Belarus

370370350350370250 Brazil

1,2501,2501,5501,3561,5301,767 Canada

525525575375475350 Chile

625625625625625625 China

7,9008,0007,7557,6727,7938,157 European Union

175175225225130210 Kazakhstan

215215215245185215 Mexico

245245245245295320 Norway

5,0005,0004,3005,0003,4505,500 Russia

210210210210210210 Turkey

475475600500475725 Ukraine

469469469508525498 Others

19,52619,62619,17419,58318,23320,742 Subtotal

2,5362,5362,7812,5492,7893,011 United States

22,06222,16221,95522,13221,02223,753 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

282294132134146126 Australia

5305303608107331,162 Canada

15715715212784126 China

9008678879058321,230 European Union

626257623520 Norway

192192202485167397 Russia

474777524059 Ukraine

234234255221227232 Others

2,4042,3832,1222,7962,2643,352 Subtotal

6766655277989821,166 United States

3,0803,0482,6493,5943,2464,518 World Total

August 2013

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jul

2013/14

Aug

2013/14

TY Imports none

1,674 North America 1,589 1,874 1,520 1,720 1,720

19 South America 24 32 25 25 25

2 European Union - 28 4 3 5 5 5

92 Other Europe 71 110 70 80 80


0 Middle East 4 4 5 5 5

1 North Africa 0 9 10 10 10


113 East Asia 122 122 110 110 110

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,922 Total 1,835 2,172 1,770 1,980 1,980

Production none

4,393 North America 3,740 4,052 3,724 4,296 4,307

857 South America 1,644 1,245 1,481 1,418 1,418

8,641 European Union - 28 7,500 7,908 7,882 8,098 8,058

473 Other Europe 480 422 382 382 382


218 Middle East 204 210 210 210 210

121 North Africa 177 156 155 155 155


582 East Asia 527 602 602 582 582

1,196 Oceania 1,176 1,291 1,066 1,230 1,230

23,419 Total 19,750 22,480 21,010 22,522 22,493


4,993 North America 4,504 4,150 4,546 4,001 4,001

857 South America 1,563 1,143 1,390 1,363 1,363

8,157 European Union - 28 7,793 7,672 7,755 8,000 7,900

577 Other Europe 537 496 460 455 455


210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

121 North Africa 178 164 165 165 165


680 East Asia 685 685 690 680 680

1,009 Oceania 948 1,129 918 930 930

23,684 Total 21,018 21,894 21,910 22,005 21,905

Ending Stocks none

2,335 North America 1,720 1,615 894 1,202 1,213

95 South America 125 96 136 106 106

1,230 European Union - 28 832 905 887 867 900

49 Other Europe 65 94 86 93 93


10 Middle East 8 12 17 22 22

1 North Africa 1 2 2 2 2


131 East Asia 95 134 156 168 168

126 Oceania 146 134 132 294 282

4,518 Total 3,246 3,594 2,649 3,048 3,080



August 2013

World Rye Trade


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

TY Exports

1001001002515025 Belarus

150150200159221142 Canada


100100125284229 Russia

2525459293 Ukraine

000430 Others

475475570540469403 Subtotal


480480575548472407 World Total

none

TY Imports

000000 Albania


15152511199 Israel

75755046101103 Japan

10101011117 Korea, South

101010111214 Norway

555226 Switzerland

00081502 Others

215215200391331145 Subtotal

9090175-17-7133 Unaccounted

175175200174148129 United States

480480575548472407 World Total


August 2013

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Jul

2013/14

Aug

none

Production

1,5001,5001,6008047351,227 Belarus

200200340241237281 Canada

9,0348,6978,6906,9007,5769,955 European Union

505050284275 Kazakhstan

3,5003,5002,1322,9671,6424,333 Russia

350350350350366343 Turkey

650650676579464954 Ukraine

130130150155159177 Others

15,41415,07713,98812,02411,22117,345 Subtotal

223223176161189178 United States

15,63715,30014,16412,18511,41017,523 World Total

none

Total Consumption

404040454055 Argentina

1,4001,4001,4007006501,300 Belarus

7575130102136131 Canada

8,8008,6008,8007,4048,2049,555 European Union

7575455510590 Japan

505050304075 Kazakhstan

262626274540 Norway

3,2003,2002,0002,8501,8504,325 Russia

350350350350350340 Turkey

650650625625650800 Ukraine

104104144117114117 Others

14,85714,65713,75112,27912,21816,898 Subtotal

388388397318330273 United States

15,24515,04514,14812,59712,54817,171 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

26326326316379144 Belarus

3434592451139 Canada

8657566317411,0131,728 European Union

10101051418 Japan

311311111129250308 Russia

333333343317 Turkey

113113138132189411 Ukraine

666686 Others

1,6351,5261,2511,2341,6372,771 Subtotal


1,6531,5441,2611,2451,6572,795 World Total

August 2013

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jul

2013/14

Aug

2013/14

TY Imports none

129 North America 148 174 200 175 175

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

4 European Union - 28 36 302 100 100 100

20 Other Europe 14 13 15 15 15


9 Middle East 19 14 25 15 15


110 East Asia 112 57 60 85 85

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

274 Total 479 565 400 390 390

Production none

459 North America 426 402 516 423 423

61 South America 45 50 45 45 45

9,955 European Union - 28 7,576 6,900 8,690 8,697 9,034

79 Other Europe 78 62 62 62 62


343 Middle East 366 350 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

34 Oceania 33 40 40 20 20

17,523 Total 11,410 12,185 14,164 15,300 15,637


404 North America 466 420 527 463 463

61 South America 45 50 45 45 45

9,555 European Union - 28 8,204 7,404 8,800 8,600 8,800

98 Other Europe 91 75 77 77 77


349 Middle East 369 361 385 365 365


97 East Asia 116 66 55 85 85

34 Oceania 30 40 40 20 20

17,101 Total 12,514 12,623 14,007 14,958 15,158

Ending Stocks none

163 North America 71 35 69 52 52

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,728 European Union - 28 1,013 741 631 756 865

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0


17 Middle East 33 34 33 33 33


18 East Asia 14 5 10 10 10

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,795 Total 1,657 1,245 1,261 1,544 1,653



August 2013


37

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 38 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 39 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 40 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 41 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 45 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 47 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 49 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 50

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..51 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 52 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 53 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 54 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 55

DG F/SA &F

August 2013

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

133.5 125.760.018.210.65.026.6 2002/03 18.8

111.4 115.852.59.97.44.524.5 2003/04 12.0

147.7 123.959.314.77.15.626.2 2004/05 28.3

132.9 128.263.015.76.85.126.0 2005/06 24.0

125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8

120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8

151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4

139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6

136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9

138.1 126.957.016.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.8

133.0 121.051.022.25.75.225.8 2012/13 9.4

141.4 122.753.222.05.05.426.0 2013/14 11.0

Coarse Grains

151.1 147.5111.87.64.24.533.3 2002/03 23.1

134.1 147.7111.94.08.24.033.2 2003/04 13.6

169.1 155.2118.94.83.05.033.9 2004/05 25.6

149.5 150.7112.44.32.74.533.2 2005/06 22.7

140.0 150.6112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.6

138.7 157.1121.64.520.34.332.6 2007/08 13.1

164.9 154.2116.15.73.14.834.0 2008/09 21.3

157.5 152.4114.83.02.94.832.9 2009/10 26.2

142.8 154.7116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.7

150.0 151.1113.46.56.95.030.2 2011/12 16.1

145.1 153.6115.06.711.44.631.3 2012/13 12.3

155.3 155.3115.67.17.94.931.5 2013/14 13.1

Wheat and Coarse Grains

284.6 273.2171.925.814.74.859.9 2002/03 41.9

245.5 263.5164.413.915.64.357.7 2003/04 25.6

316.8 279.1178.219.510.05.360.1 2004/05 53.9

282.3 278.9175.420.09.44.859.1 2005/06 46.8

265.7 276.8173.118.513.24.757.0 2006/07 30.4

259.5 274.2174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9

316.8 281.8176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.7

297.3 278.0172.325.38.25.058.9 2009/10 42.8

279.5 277.5169.429.313.15.056.2 2010/11 28.7

288.1 277.9170.423.214.35.156.0 2011/12 29.9

278.1 274.6166.028.917.14.957.1 2012/13 21.6

296.7 278.0168.829.112.95.257.5 2013/14 24.2

August 2013

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.2 2012/13 53.9

121.0 126.526.01.09.55.024.3 2013/14 56.9

Coarse Grains

130.6 136.398.415.31.84.727.8 2002/03 66.5

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.626.8 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.8

159.1 153.6104.95.51.25.130.9 2006/07 38.0

159.2 157.9106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.5

172.4 161.2109.10.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.3119.10.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.3

183.8 188.4128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

199.3 197.0132.40.17.95.635.6 2011/12 60.2

212.4 216.1145.30.15.55.737.1 2012/13 61.9

217.5 233.3157.40.19.75.837.7 2013/14 55.6


220.9 241.5104.917.12.24.351.7 2002/03 126.8

210.5 242.8105.110.55.34.348.8 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4

245.2 248.6107.05.23.44.751.6 2005/06 71.3

267.6 255.6108.98.21.54.954.5 2006/07 76.6

268.5 263.9114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.6

284.9 266.7117.10.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.3129.11.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.7

299.0 298.9141.81.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2

316.7 319.5156.41.110.95.359.9 2011/12 116.2

333.4 341.1170.31.18.45.461.3 2012/13 115.8

338.5 359.8183.41.119.25.561.9 2013/14 112.5

August 2013

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

3.9 4.90.80.41.43.31.2 2002/03 1.1

2.9 4.60.50.01.42.81.0 2003/04 0.8

4.6 5.20.80.31.44.11.1 2004/05 1.3

3.7 5.10.80.21.43.81.0 2005/06 1.2

3.6 4.60.70.31.53.61.0 2006/07 1.2

3.6 4.80.80.51.93.71.0 2007/08 1.5

3.9 5.01.00.41.74.20.9 2008/09 1.7

3.7 4.90.90.51.73.71.0 2009/10 1.7

3.2 4.70.80.61.63.60.9 2010/11 1.2

3.6 4.90.90.51.94.00.9 2011/12 1.3

3.5 4.70.90.71.73.90.9 2012/13 1.1

4.0 5.11.10.81.84.01.0 2013/14 1.0

Coarse Grains

9.1 8.97.50.40.64.12.2 2002/03 1.4

6.7 8.17.00.10.73.12.2 2003/04 0.7

10.4 9.58.30.60.54.82.1 2004/05 1.4

9.9 9.58.31.30.64.62.1 2005/06 1.2

9.5 9.48.30.90.84.52.1 2006/07 1.3

7.2 8.06.90.10.93.42.1 2007/08 1.1

9.6 8.67.41.50.64.52.1 2008/09 1.2

9.4 8.57.21.40.74.62.0 2009/10 1.4

9.8 8.57.12.00.84.82.1 2010/11 1.4

9.4 8.26.92.40.84.52.1 2011/12 1.0

6.3 6.75.50.50.83.02.1 2012/13 0.9

9.7 8.37.02.00.94.72.1 2013/14 1.1


13.0 13.88.40.81.93.93.4 2002/03 2.6

9.6 12.77.60.12.03.03.2 2003/04 1.4

15.0 14.79.20.91.94.63.3 2004/05 2.7

13.7 14.69.11.42.04.43.1 2005/06 2.4

13.0 14.08.91.22.34.23.1 2006/07 2.5

10.8 12.87.80.62.73.53.1 2007/08 2.6

13.5 13.68.41.92.34.43.1 2008/09 2.8

13.1 13.48.11.92.44.33.0 2009/10 3.0

13.0 13.27.92.62.44.42.9 2010/11 2.6

13.0 13.17.92.92.74.43.0 2011/12 2.3

9.8 11.46.41.22.63.33.0 2012/13 2.0

13.7 13.48.12.82.74.53.1 2013/14 2.1

August 2013

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

92.4 75.624.221.76.02.046.3 2007/08 14.2

115.5 76.024.538.26.62.350.6 2008/09 22.1

114.0 78.226.237.35.42.252.6 2009/10 26.0

81.1 75.123.913.95.51.845.8 2010/11 23.7

115.0 79.828.039.88.02.349.8 2011/12 27.1

77.2 71.420.626.27.51.843.9 2012/13 14.2

107.0 75.424.537.46.82.247.6 2013/14 15.1

Coarse Grains

54.3 50.635.15.31.02.027.5 2007/08 4.8

79.2 58.141.517.20.72.630.3 2008/09 9.4

67.7 55.039.115.00.42.527.2 2009/10 7.4

47.6 41.928.58.81.22.221.9 2010/11 5.5

78.7 54.438.724.61.02.927.1 2011/12 6.2

69.0 50.335.420.90.82.527.7 2012/13 4.8

85.2 56.339.227.00.82.929.7 2013/14 7.5

August 2013

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

9.6 6.21.94.90.00.713.1 2010/11 2.9

22.7 7.42.611.80.01.713.7 2011/12 6.4

9.8 6.51.86.70.00.812.4 2012/13 3.0

17.0 7.42.69.50.01.412.5 2013/14 3.1

Russia

41.5 38.616.04.00.11.921.8 2010/11 13.7

56.2 38.015.521.60.62.324.8 2011/12 10.9

37.7 33.611.911.31.41.821.3 2012/13 5.2

54.0 36.514.517.00.52.324.0 2013/14 6.2

Ukraine

16.8 11.62.84.30.02.76.3 2010/11 3.3

22.3 15.06.15.40.13.46.7 2011/12 5.4

15.8 11.83.37.20.12.85.6 2012/13 2.2

21.5 11.53.510.00.13.36.5 2013/14 2.3

Uzbekistan

6.5 7.71.50.51.64.61.4 2010/11 0.8

6.3 8.01.70.72.74.51.4 2011/12 1.1

6.7 8.01.60.71.94.81.4 2012/13 1.1

6.7 8.11.60.71.94.81.4 2013/14 0.9

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

6.6 11.01.70.23.72.13.2 2010/11 2.9

7.4 11.52.10.24.72.33.2 2011/12 3.3

7.2 11.52.00.34.12.33.1 2012/13 2.7

7.8 12.02.30.24.32.43.2 2013/14 2.6

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

81.1 75.123.913.95.51.845.8 2010/11 23.7

115.0 79.828.039.88.02.349.8 2011/12 27.1

77.2 71.420.626.27.51.843.9 2012/13 14.2

107.0 75.424.537.46.82.247.6 2013/14 15.1

August 2013


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

1.3 1.51.20.20.11.01.3 2010/11 0.1

2.6 1.81.50.70.01.71.5 2011/12 0.2

1.5 1.41.20.20.00.91.6 2012/13 0.1

2.2 1.71.40.50.01.21.8 2013/14 0.2

Russia

8.4 9.55.50.30.41.75.0 2010/11 1.4

16.9 14.39.83.50.42.27.7 2011/12 0.8

14.0 12.17.72.30.31.87.6 2012/13 0.7

17.5 13.38.53.80.32.18.2 2013/14 1.3

Ukraine

8.5 6.04.42.80.02.04.3 2010/11 0.8

9.1 6.34.72.50.02.53.7 2011/12 1.2

6.9 5.03.42.10.02.13.3 2012/13 1.0

7.0 5.13.42.00.02.13.3 2013/14 1.0

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2011/12 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2012/13 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2013/14 0.0


3.3 3.42.60.00.12.41.4 2010/11 0.5

3.4 3.62.70.00.22.51.4 2011/12 0.5

3.4 3.52.70.00.12.51.3 2012/13 0.5

3.1 3.42.50.00.22.51.2 2013/14 0.4


21.7 20.713.93.30.71.812.1 2010/11 2.8

32.2 26.319.06.70.72.314.3 2011/12 2.7

26.0 22.315.24.60.51.913.9 2012/13 2.3

30.0 23.716.06.30.52.114.6 2013/14 2.9

August 2013


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.5 0.50.40.00.04.80.1 2010/11 0.1

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2011/12 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2012/13 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2013/14 0.0

Russia

3.1 3.22.80.00.13.01.0 2010/11 0.1

7.0 4.74.02.00.04.31.6 2011/12 0.4

8.2 6.35.52.00.14.21.9 2012/13 0.3

9.0 7.06.12.00.14.22.2 2013/14 0.4

Ukraine

11.9 6.55.45.00.04.52.6 2010/11 1.1

22.8 7.86.515.20.06.43.5 2011/12 1.1

20.9 7.76.413.50.14.84.4 2012/13 0.8

29.0 9.17.518.00.16.04.8 2013/14 2.8

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2011/12 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2012/13 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2013/14 0.0


2.8 2.92.60.20.23.60.8 2010/11 0.6

3.7 3.32.90.30.24.00.9 2011/12 1.0

2.6 3.02.70.40.23.40.8 2012/13 0.4

3.7 3.63.20.30.24.00.9 2013/14 0.5


18.4 13.211.35.20.34.04.6 2010/11 1.9

34.1 16.414.017.50.35.56.2 2011/12 2.4

32.4 17.615.115.90.34.57.2 2012/13 1.6

42.4 20.317.320.30.35.38.0 2013/14 3.7

August 2013

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

13.8 5.10.09.60.02.55.5 2005/06 0.4

16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6

18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4

11.0 5.30.06.80.02.15.3 2008/09 1.3

12.0 5.80.05.10.03.04.0 2009/10 2.3

17.2 6.00.19.50.03.64.8 2010/11 4.1

15.5 6.00.112.90.03.05.2 2011/12 0.7

10.0 6.00.14.00.02.93.5 2012/13 0.7

12.0 6.10.16.00.03.13.9 2013/14 0.7

Australia

25.2 6.63.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.4

10.8 7.44.58.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.2

13.6 6.63.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.7

21.4 7.44.214.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.1

21.8 5.21.914.80.11.613.9 2009/10 5.1

27.4 5.82.518.60.12.013.5 2010/11 8.2

29.9 6.53.224.70.12.213.9 2011/12 7.0

22.1 6.53.219.00.11.713.2 2012/13 3.7

25.5 7.13.719.00.11.913.7 2013/14 3.3

Canada

25.7 8.23.816.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.92.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 7.83.118.90.42.910.0 2008/09 6.6

27.0 7.22.519.00.42.89.7 2009/10 7.7

23.3 7.62.716.60.42.88.3 2010/11 7.4

25.3 9.94.717.40.53.08.6 2011/12 5.9

27.2 9.94.718.80.52.99.5 2012/13 4.9

29.5 9.74.520.00.52.910.3 2013/14 5.2

Total Wheat Competitors

64.7 19.97.541.70.42.427.3 2005/06 19.4

52.4 21.79.138.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.6

52.3 19.15.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.5

61.0 20.67.340.40.52.128.8 2008/09 11.0

August 2013


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


60.8 18.24.439.00.52.227.5 2009/10 15.1

67.9 19.35.344.70.62.526.6 2010/11 19.6

70.7 22.38.054.90.62.627.6 2011/12 13.7

59.3 22.48.041.80.62.326.2 2012/13 9.4

67.0 22.88.345.00.62.427.9 2013/14 9.2

India

68.6 70.02.20.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.52.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.42.50.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.92.50.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4

80.7 78.22.80.10.22.927.8 2009/10 16.1

80.8 81.82.90.10.32.828.5 2010/11 15.4

86.9 81.43.10.90.03.029.1 2011/12 20.0

94.9 83.83.46.80.03.229.9 2012/13 24.2

92.5 91.03.55.50.03.129.4 2013/14 20.2

Turkey

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.5

18.5 17.10.84.33.22.47.8 2009/10 1.8

17.0 17.30.83.03.72.18.0 2010/11 2.2

18.8 18.11.43.73.82.47.7 2011/12 3.1

15.5 17.50.73.43.62.07.8 2012/13 1.2

18.0 17.80.93.53.52.37.7 2013/14 1.5

August 2013


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

15.8 6.24.49.50.06.52.4 2005/06 1.3

22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.8

22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.2

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 1.0

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.6

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.1

21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 1.0

26.5 7.34.819.50.06.64.0 2012/13 0.7

27.0 8.35.318.50.07.73.5 2013/14 0.9

Brazil

41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6

58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1

56.1 47.040.011.60.44.312.9 2009/10 10.0

57.4 49.542.58.40.84.213.8 2010/11 10.3

73.0 50.543.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 9.2

80.0 53.045.024.50.85.115.8 2012/13 12.5

72.0 54.046.018.00.84.615.5 2013/14 13.3

China

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 150.0106.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 38.4

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

205.6 207.0144.00.13.05.935.0 2012/13 60.9

211.0 224.0156.00.17.05.935.6 2013/14 54.8

South Africa

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1

13.4 10.34.62.10.04.13.3 2009/10 5.2

10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 3.4

August 2013


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 3.7

12.2 10.85.01.90.03.83.3 2012/13 3.2

13.0 11.05.12.00.04.13.2 2013/14 3.2

Total Corn Competitors

203.8 190.9142.418.32.14.743.7 2005/06 41.8

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.6

246.1 208.9151.225.30.84.850.9 2007/08 56.3

245.0 214.8155.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 68.4

258.5 229.2167.630.31.75.150.4 2009/10 69.0

270.8 247.5180.827.32.25.152.9 2010/11 67.2

299.5 256.2183.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 73.2

324.3 278.1198.846.03.85.658.0 2012/13 77.3

323.0 297.3212.438.67.85.657.8 2013/14 72.3

August 2013


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Australia

9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.6

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5

6.8 3.11.93.80.01.83.7 2012/13 0.4

7.4 3.32.14.10.02.03.8 2013/14 0.4

Canada

11.7 9.68.42.20.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

10.9 7.86.43.00.12.84.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0

9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.61.50.02.92.8 2012/13 0.9

8.5 7.05.81.20.03.32.6 2013/14 1.3

European Union

54.9 54.338.43.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.4 55.938.93.40.24.113.9 2006/07 5.8

57.8 54.538.93.80.34.213.9 2007/08 5.7

65.8 57.341.73.60.34.514.6 2008/09 11.0

62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6

53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

52.0 51.236.23.00.44.312.0 2011/12 6.2

54.6 51.836.74.70.14.412.5 2012/13 4.3

57.1 52.237.04.30.14.612.4 2013/14 5.0

August 2013


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

2.3 2.32.10.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 1.0

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

5.2 2.11.83.10.04.51.2 2012/13 0.2

5.4 2.32.03.00.04.51.2 2013/14 0.3

Australia

1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

1.7 0.90.90.90.03.00.6 2012/13 0.1

2.1 1.11.11.00.03.20.7 2013/14 0.2

August 2013

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

20,21132,1124,41728,14228,6063,0343,05054,413nr318,496 2011/12

19,55038,34110,62527,69527,4163,4433,34161,755nr319,826 2012/13

15,00735,6807,62030,00029,9373,5003,53857,536nr318,506 2013/14

Corn

25,122279,035115,47038,42839,182765746313,949nr933,989 2011/12

18,272266,711113,03517,50018,1624,2004,191273,832nr835,360 2012/13

46,671290,844129,54632,50031,116750762349,597nr1036,072 2013/14

Sorghum

5833,9531,7931,5491,611335,447nr31,590 2011/12

3784,8772,3371,9001,9053003056,272nr32,005 2012/13

7314,9531,9053,8003,810009,116nr42,463 2013/14

Barley

1,3064,1928181791934693543,392nr4906 2011/12

1,7484,6681,2942001935005074,796nr41,313 2012/13

1,8045,0061,6332002185505444,736nr41,244 2013/14

Oats

7982,5491,44527351,7291,621779nr2380 2011/12

5272,7811,67825191,4001,600929nr2423 2012/13

6762,5361,42045441,6001,6371,092nr2484 2013/14

Rye

113188184174152161nr298 2011/12

1039715958200228176nr2100 2012/13

1838814855175178223nr2130 2013/14

Rice, Milled

1,3033,493nr3,3053,1996406155,8668,38881,059 2011/12

1,0973,810nr3,4003,3977006676,3349,04981,084 2012/13

9693,562nr3,1003,0597257145,7798,2268991 2013/14

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.

August 2013

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,315.0 340.01,253.5611.3203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.61,247.9614.5165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 469.21,299.4645.7174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.9 423.11,329.8656.5202.22.4544.8 1987/88

1,218.1 339.31,302.0619.4203.32.2542.4 1988/89

1,327.4 320.51,346.2644.4208.92.4548.9 1989/90

1,417.6 368.71,369.5668.7190.12.6546.4 1990/91

1,355.7 359.51,364.9651.4207.52.5544.1 1991/92

1,431.6 399.21,389.1662.9205.22.6546.5 1992/93

1,356.1 366.11,389.3655.7188.22.5536.7 1993/94

1,392.5 362.71,395.8668.9200.12.6534.7 1994/95

1,338.5 319.41,381.8640.1187.52.5527.7 1995/96

1,490.3 367.11,442.6672.9198.42.7546.6 1996/97

1,491.6 414.41,444.3683.3190.32.8535.9 1997/98

1,481.8 448.01,448.2682.6198.72.8521.0 1998/99

1,465.3 444.51,468.2688.3214.02.9506.9 1999/00

1,447.2 419.41,472.4698.1205.02.8510.1 2000/01

1,480.5 403.71,496.2711.4208.42.9513.7 2001/02

1,443.5 341.41,505.9708.8209.32.9503.1 2002/03

1,471.0 278.51,533.9714.5205.82.9511.6 2003/04

1,642.6 335.61,585.5754.1214.53.2515.3 2004/05

1,599.9 319.61,615.9754.3222.53.1517.6 2005/06

1,586.1 276.11,629.6744.9230.13.1515.4 2006/07

1,693.2 293.51,675.9759.1245.13.2533.0 2007/08

1,796.0 363.61,725.9770.3254.03.3536.5 2008/09

1,802.3 399.11,766.8778.0254.13.4532.0 2009/10

1,751.2 365.01,785.3770.6250.03.4520.4 2010/11

1,851.7 365.21,851.6802.7287.33.5534.0 2011/12

1,783.8 325.61,823.3804.4275.03.4531.3 2012/13

1,951.0 354.71,922.0854.9286.33.6541.2 2013/14

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

August 2013

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

543.5 163.2551.8115.1111.42.4222.8 1991/92

562.6 177.9547.7111.6113.22.5222.1 1992/93

558.5 183.4553.0109.6101.72.5221.0 1993/94

523.0 164.2542.1101.4101.52.5213.3 1994/95

537.5 155.7546.195.299.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.3 163.7573.499.6104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 197.3576.6103.8104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.4 209.5578.2106.8102.02.7219.2 1998/99

586.8 210.9585.4102.8111.92.8212.5 1999/00

583.2 207.3586.8109.0102.22.7215.6 2000/01

583.8 204.3586.8109.8108.02.7214.5 2001/02

569.6 169.5604.4113.9106.62.7213.5 2002/03

555.4 136.0588.899.2103.52.7207.7 2003/04

626.7 156.4606.3108.9113.22.9215.9 2004/05

618.8 153.6621.6115.1114.22.8217.7 2005/06

596.3 134.4615.6110.2115.62.8211.6 2006/07

612.4 128.9617.9102.6116.42.8217.0 2007/08

683.7 168.8643.8121.4143.63.1224.1 2008/09

686.7 201.7653.8120.8135.33.0225.2 2009/10

652.3 199.2654.8115.9134.13.0217.1 2010/11

697.2 199.6696.8146.3153.83.2221.2 2011/12

655.3 174.4680.4136.9147.13.0215.8 2012/13

705.4 173.0706.8141.6151.93.2220.9 2013/14

Coarse Grains

812.2 196.3813.1536.396.22.5321.3 1991/92

868.9 221.3841.4551.391.92.7324.4 1992/93

797.7 182.7836.3546.186.52.5315.6 1993/94

869.5 198.5853.7567.698.62.7321.3 1994/95

801.0 163.7835.8544.988.32.6311.0 1995/96

908.9 203.5869.2573.294.42.8319.5 1996/97

881.4 217.1867.7579.585.82.8309.5 1997/98

891.4 238.5870.0575.896.73.0301.8 1998/99

878.5 233.7882.8585.5102.13.0294.4 1999/00

864.0 212.2885.5589.1102.82.9294.6 2000/01

896.7 199.5909.4601.5100.43.0299.2 2001/02

873.9 171.9901.5594.9102.73.0289.7 2002/03

915.6 142.5945.0615.3102.33.0303.9 2003/04

1,015.9 179.2979.2645.3101.23.4299.4 2004/05

981.1 165.9994.3639.2108.33.3299.9 2005/06

989.8 141.81,014.0634.7114.53.3303.8 2006/07

1,080.8 164.61,058.0656.5128.73.4316.0 2007/08

1,112.4 194.81,082.1649.0110.43.6312.4 2008/09

1,115.6 197.41,113.1657.2118.83.6306.8 2009/10

1,099.0 165.91,130.5654.7116.03.6303.3 2010/11

1,154.5 165.61,154.8656.4133.43.7312.8 2011/12

1,128.5 151.21,142.9667.5128.03.6315.5 2012/13

1,245.6 181.71,215.2713.3134.43.9320.4 2013/14

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

August 2013

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

493.0 141.0493.3334.463.03.7132.5 1991/92

535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.1 1992/93

475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 153.3535.4371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.4 133.3536.4365.364.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.8 166.3559.8387.966.74.2141.5 1996/97

574.4 167.2573.5400.663.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.8 191.4581.6404.368.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.4 194.4605.4422.572.14.4139.0 1999/00

591.6 175.3610.7427.475.94.3137.2 2000/01

601.2 151.4625.0436.472.74.4137.6 2001/02

603.5 126.9628.0433.376.84.4137.3 2002/03

627.1 104.5649.5445.979.04.4142.0 2003/04

716.2 130.9689.9475.776.04.9145.4 2004/05

700.6 124.5707.0478.182.54.8145.8 2005/06

715.3 110.7729.0478.591.34.8149.4 2006/07

794.6 131.8773.5498.398.24.9160.6 2007/08

800.6 147.8784.6481.583.65.0158.8 2008/09

824.2 146.1825.8490.392.75.2158.7 2009/10

831.7 128.3849.5501.291.75.1163.8 2010/11

883.3 132.4879.2505.5103.85.2169.6 2011/12

858.8 123.1868.1517.599.64.9174.8 2012/13

957.1 150.2930.1557.1104.75.4176.5 2013/14

Barley

169.9 34.9166.5120.319.42.275.9 1991/92

166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.372.6 1992/93

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.2 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.2 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.6 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.1 22.6134.494.616.32.553.0 2000/01

143.4 29.1136.995.517.22.655.7 2001/02

134.3 27.5135.994.816.32.454.8 2002/03

142.1 23.4146.3102.614.82.458.3 2003/04

152.1 33.0142.5100.117.02.657.5 2004/05

136.1 28.1141.097.417.42.555.4 2005/06

136.9 21.4143.698.214.62.456.4 2006/07

132.9 20.5133.891.018.52.455.9 2007/08

155.1 31.5144.1100.418.22.855.3 2008/09

150.9 37.3145.0101.317.32.854.2 2009/10

122.6 24.1135.891.215.22.647.2 2010/11

134.3 22.7135.792.421.42.749.6 2011/12

129.3 19.7132.388.918.72.650.6 2012/13

140.1 21.9137.992.518.92.850.9 2013/14

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

August 2013

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.1 1984/85

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.6 143.1400.122.8409.23.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.4399.33.9152.4 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.327.8399.53.9151.3 2001/02

563.1 103.0408.127.5378.23.8146.9 2002/03

585.1 81.6413.727.3392.33.9149.3 2003/04

596.6 74.0408.529.0400.93.9151.8 2004/05

621.4 76.7414.629.1417.34.0153.9 2005/06

624.7 75.5421.231.9419.94.0154.5 2006/07

642.0 80.9427.229.6432.64.1154.9 2007/08

667.7 92.4437.229.4448.74.2158.2 2008/09

656.2 94.9438.131.6440.64.2155.9 2009/10

670.4 98.7445.536.2449.34.2157.8 2010/11

694.5 104.8459.739.1465.84.4159.2 2011/12

699.1 104.8468.938.1468.94.4157.2 2012/13

712.8 107.5475.338.7477.94.4161.3 2013/14

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.

August 2013


56

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.

August 2013


57

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2011/12 starts in 2011); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2011/12 starts in 2012). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.

August 2013

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx


58

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 07-13 July 2013. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 08-13 August 2013. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

August 2013

united states agriculture grain - cornell university

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